Tearsheet

Afya (AFYA)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $14.5 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Afya (AFYA)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $14.5
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 53%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 49%, FCF Yield is 84%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 53%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 49%, FCF Yield is 84%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

AFYA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 5.7% movement in Afya (AFYA) stock between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Afya reported robust financial and operating results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2025 on November 12, 2025. The company announced a 10.4% year-over-year increase in third-quarter revenue, reaching R$928.5 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 14.6% to R$398.9 million, showcasing margin expansion to 43.0%. Net income for the quarter also saw a significant increase of 28.4% to R$159.4 million. Furthermore, Afya reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between BRL 3,670 million and BRL 3,770 million, which likely boosted investor confidence.

2. New Share Repurchase Program Announcement: On August 13, 2025, Afya's Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program, authorizing the company to buy back up to 4,000,000 of its outstanding Class A common shares. This program, set to begin on August 15, 2025, and run until December 31, 2026, signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AFYA Return-7%-38%-1%40%-28%-8%-46%
Peers Return19%-15%-10%-9%-13%-22%-45%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AFYA Win Rate50%42%67%67%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate30%19%33%33%35%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AFYA Max Drawdown-48%-50%-43%-36%-34%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-19%-39%-36%-35%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, EDTK, EEIQ, FCHL, GV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAFYAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-67.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to LOPE, EDTK, EEIQ, FCHL, GV


In The Past

Afya's stock fell -67.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -67.6% loss requires a 208.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Afya (AFYA)

Better Bets than Afya (AFYA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AFYA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Afya

Financials

AFYALOPEEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameAfya Grand Ca.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Mkt Price14.48163.111.080.330.351.211.14
Mkt Cap1.34.5----2.9
Rev LTM3,5461,091----2,318
Op Inc LTM1,149297----723
FCF LTM1,097242----669
FCF 3Y Avg885223----554
CFO LTM1,537279----908
CFO 3Y Avg1,221262----742

Growth & Margins

AFYALOPEEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameAfya Grand Ca.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Rev Chg LTM15.6%7.0%----11.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.8%6.5%----12.6%
Rev Chg Q13.5%9.6%----11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%2.1%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM32.4%27.2%----29.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.4%26.6%----28.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.1%----0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM43.3%25.6%----34.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.5%25.8%----32.6%
FCF/Rev LTM30.9%22.2%----26.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg28.6%21.8%----25.2%

Valuation

AFYALOPEEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameAfya Grand Ca.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Mkt Cap1.34.5----2.9
P/S0.44.1----2.3
P/EBIT1.114.2----7.7
P/E1.921.4----11.6
P/CFO0.916.2----8.5
Total Yield53.0%4.7%----28.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg59.0%5.1%----32.0%
D/E2.50.0----1.2
Net D/E1.6-0.0----0.8

Returns

AFYALOPEEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameAfya Grand Ca.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
1M Rtn-2.8%-22.9%3.7%-21.7%-20.0%-23.9%-20.8%
3M Rtn-5.0%-18.2%-2.1%-40.2%--34.6%-18.2%
6M Rtn-23.0%-17.6%13.1%-49.9%--38.9%-23.0%
12M Rtn-8.4%2.2%11.2%-58.9%--13.6%-8.4%
3Y Rtn-4.0%47.2%19.9%-77.3%--89.5%-4.0%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%-23.0%3.6%-21.8%-20.1%-24.0%-21.0%
3M Excs Rtn-7.2%-23.7%-7.8%-43.5%--36.1%-23.7%
6M Excs Rtn-34.9%-29.5%1.2%-61.8%--50.8%-34.9%
12M Excs Rtn-26.7%-14.6%-5.7%-71.4%--32.9%-26.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.0%-17.5%-55.1%-150.3%--157.9%-77.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Undergraduate2,5112,0381,4981,002654
Continuing education2361837310765
Medical practice solutions1401151529336
Elimination (inter-segment transactions)-11-8-4-2-4
Total2,8762,3291,7191,201751


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Undergraduate7,104    
Continuing education337    
Medical practice solutions155    
Adjustments and eliminations-11    
Total7,584    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity289,301
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume118,881
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.43
Basic Shares Quantity90,523,294
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024429202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023426202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111320236-K 9/30/2023
630202382820236-K 6/30/2023
331202352420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022428202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112120226-K 9/30/2022
630202282220226-K 6/30/2022
331202252320226-K 3/31/2022
12312021429202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021112220216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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