American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $12.81 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $12.81Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 11% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% | Key risksACIC key risks include [1] its acute vulnerability to catastrophic losses due to a high geographic concentration in Florida, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance). |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Key risksACIC key risks include [1] its acute vulnerability to catastrophic losses due to a high geographic concentration in Florida, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ACIC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 15.7% stock movement for American Coastal Insurance (ACIC) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. American Coastal Insurance reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company's net income rose to $32.5 million, a 15.5% increase year-over-year, while total revenue grew by 10.1% to $90.4 million. This performance significantly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimates for both earnings per share and revenue.
2. The company announced a special cash dividend of $0.75 per share on December 1, 2025. This dividend, payable in January 2026, represented an increase of $0.25 from the previous dividend paid, signaling strong financial health and a commitment to shareholder returns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACIC Return | -53% | -20% | -75% | 792% | 42% | -1% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 7% | -35% | 100% | 57% | 53% | 320% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACIC Win Rate | 25% | 58% | 8% | 75% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 53% | 48% | 65% | 60% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACIC Max Drawdown | -65% | -49% | -93% | -7% | -1% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -23% | -49% | -1% | -3% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HRTG, UVE, HCI, PLMR, KNSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACIC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2556.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 189.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1196 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 194.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1687 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV
In The Past
American Coastal Insurance's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2556.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ACIC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American Coastal Insurance
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 839 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 302 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 229 |
| CFO LTM | 309 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 235 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 41.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 41.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 12.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 8.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 38.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 390.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 28.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 296.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.7% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.4% | -7.7% | -8.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.3% | -4.6% | -9.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | -5.0% | -1.0% | 6.2% |
| 8/7/2024 | -3.3% | -3.8% | -6.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 11.6% | 15.5% | 0.7% |
| 2/29/2024 | -14.6% | -24.1% | -25.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 13.9% | 16.2% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -4.6% | -8.4% |
| Max Positive | 38.1% | 53.2% | 28.3% |
| Max Negative | -46.3% | -25.4% | -25.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Griffith Christopher | Chief Operating Officer | 11122025 | Sell | 11.86 | 18,409 | 218,331 | 1,221,841 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |