American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $12.66 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $12.66Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 9.7% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Key risksACIC key risks include [1] its acute vulnerability to catastrophic losses due to a high geographic concentration in Florida, Show more. | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 9.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance). |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Key risksACIC key risks include [1] its acute vulnerability to catastrophic losses due to a high geographic concentration in Florida, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ACIC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Based on the available information for American Coastal Insurance (symbol: ACIC) for the period between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, a stock movement of specifically a 15.3% increase is not observed. However, the following key events occurred during this timeframe:
1. American Coastal Insurance Corporation reported its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, on November 5, 2025. Following this earnings report, the company's stock price experienced a decrease of 1.694%.
2. On November 20, 2025, American Coastal Insurance Corporation announced its participation in upcoming conferences. Such announcements typically inform investors about the company's engagement with the financial community and its strategic outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACIC Return | -53% | -20% | -75% | 792% | 42% | 1% | 19% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 7% | -35% | 100% | 57% | 58% | 334% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACIC Win Rate | 25% | 58% | 8% | 75% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 53% | 48% | 65% | 60% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACIC Max Drawdown | -65% | -49% | -93% | -7% | -1% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -23% | -49% | -1% | -3% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HRTG, UVE, HCI, PLMR, KNSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACIC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2556.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 189.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,196 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 194.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,687 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV
In The Past
American Coastal Insurance's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2556.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ACIC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American Coastal Insurance
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 83.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 839 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 302 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 229 |
| CFO LTM | 309 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 235 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 41.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 41.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 13.0 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 47.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 339.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 29.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 311.4% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.7% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.4% | -7.7% | -8.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.3% | -4.6% | -9.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | -5.0% | -1.0% | 6.2% |
| 8/7/2024 | -3.3% | -3.8% | -6.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 11.6% | 15.5% | 0.7% |
| 2/29/2024 | -14.6% | -24.1% | -25.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 13.9% | 16.2% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -4.6% | -8.4% |
| Max Positive | 38.1% | 53.2% | 28.3% |
| Max Negative | -46.3% | -25.4% | -25.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Griffith Christopher | Chief Operating Officer | 11122025 | Sell | 11.86 | 18,409 | 218,331 | 1,221,841 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |