Tearsheet

American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.285 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.285
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 11%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
 
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
 
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance).
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Climate Change Adaptation & Financial Resilience. Themes include Coastal Property Insurance, Catastrophe Risk Underwriting, and Climate Risk Data Analytics (for Insurance).
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACIC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following is an analysis of key factors influencing American Coastal Insurance (ACIC) stock performance for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, based on the most recent available information: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat

American Coastal Insurance reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.61. This significantly surpassed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.39, resulting in a positive surprise of 56.41%. Positive earnings surprises often lead to an increase in investor confidence and a subsequent upward movement in stock price. 2. Analyst Rating Upgrades

In late November 2025, multiple brokerages, including Wall Street Zen and Weiss Ratings, upgraded American Coastal Insurance's stock from a "hold" to a "buy" rating. These upgrades by financial analysts can signal an improved outlook for the company and attract increased buying interest from investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACIC Return-53%-20%-75%792%42%-6%11%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACIC Win Rate25%58%8%75%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACIC Max Drawdown-65%-49%-93%-7%-1%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACICS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2556.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven263 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1196 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven194.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1687 days1480 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

American Coastal Insurance's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2556.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)

Better Bets than American Coastal Insurance (ACIC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACIC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Coastal Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACICHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameAmerican.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price12.22131.8658.37227.20295.05282.50179.53
Mkt Cap1.237.015.9133.2117.263.350.2
Rev LTM32827,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1205,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg504,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM1205,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg505,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

ACICHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameAmerican.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM22.4%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg187.9%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%11.2%
Rev Chg Q10.0%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM36.7%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.6%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM36.7%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%21.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.6%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

ACICHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameAmerican.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap1.237.015.9133.2117.263.350.2
P/S3.41.41.11.91.91.31.6
P/EBIT8.88.19.111.78.58.18.7
P/E13.010.514.215.011.610.612.3
P/CFO9.26.32.29.38.46.37.3
Total Yield7.7%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.7%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.4%
D/E0.10.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.3

Returns

ACICHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameAmerican.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn1.3%3.5%4.6%8.4%3.3%1.9%3.4%
3M Rtn4.8%-1.7%-2.6%-8.7%5.8%1.5%-0.1%
6M Rtn11.5%3.8%10.0%-18.9%1.9%5.1%4.5%
12M Rtn-11.3%11.2%-3.0%-11.0%5.1%9.7%1.0%
3Y Rtn3,921.1%87.2%75.7%78.3%43.1%59.9%77.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%2.3%3.3%7.1%2.0%0.6%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn1.7%-5.2%-8.6%-12.6%0.6%-2.7%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-4.0%-11.6%-5.5%-34.3%-13.6%-10.3%-11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-19.1%-2.8%-17.6%-25.6%-10.3%-4.4%-13.9%
3Y Excs Rtn3,792.9%12.1%-0.5%5.2%-31.1%-13.3%2.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial8961,2701,012940 
Personal851291,2351,370 
Adjustments713452539 
Assets held for disposal 1,435   
Total1,0522,8372,6992,849 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity656,928
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-12.2%
Average Daily Volume172,204
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.81
Basic Shares Quantity97,329,194
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023821202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023519202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022417202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Griffith ChristopherChief Operating Officer11122025Sell11.8618,409218,3311,221,841Form