Can NVIDIA Outrun Advanced Micro Devices in the Next Rally?

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Trefis
AMD: Advanced Micro Devices logo
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices surged 15% during the past week. You may be tempted to buy more or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer NVIDIA gives you more. NVIDIA (NVDA) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in NVDA

  • NVDA’s quarterly revenue growth was 85.2%, vs. AMD’s 37.8%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 70.7%, ahead of AMD’s 35.0%.
  • NVDA leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 64.0% and 3-year average of 60.6%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how AMD’s fundamentals stack up against those of NVDA on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: AMD Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

AMD NVDA Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 192.9 31.6 NVDA
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter 37.8% 85.2% NVDA
Last 12 Months 35.0% 70.7% NVDA
Last 3 Year Average 18.5% 121.7% NVDA
Operating Margins
Last 12 Months 11.7% 64.0% NVDA
Last 3 Year Average 8.2% 60.6% NVDA
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return 306.3% 442.6% NVDA

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell NVDA Stock and Buy or Sell AMD Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
AMD Return 57% -55% 128% -18% 77% 142% 465%
NVDA Return 125% -50% 239% 171% 39% 15% 1546% <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 10% 101%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMD Win Rate 50% 33% 58% 42% 42% 80% 51%
NVDA Win Rate 58% 42% 75% 75% 67% 60% 63%
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60% 64% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
AMD Max Drawdown -25% -63% -27% -44% -40% -26% -37%
NVDA Max Drawdown -24% -63% -18% -27% -37% -16% -31%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9% -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/29/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read NVDA Dip Buyer Analyses and AMD Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about AMD or NVDA? Consider a portfolio approach.

The Right Way To Invest Is Through Portfolios

Stocks soar and sink – the key is staying invested. A balanced portfolio helps you ride market volatility, boosts gains, and reduces single stock risk.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.