American Bitcoin (ABTC)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $8.65 | Market Cap: $8.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
American Bitcoin (ABTC)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $8.65Market Cap: $8.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Bitcoin Investment & Holding, and Bitcoin Mining. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% Key risksABTC key risks include [1] considerable financial difficulty, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -72% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Bitcoin Investment & Holding, and Bitcoin Mining. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% |
| Key risksABTC key risks include [1] considerable financial difficulty, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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American Bitcoin (ABTC) stock has lost about 40% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Deteriorating Cryptocurrency Market Conditions During Fiscal Q2 2026. The broader cryptocurrency market experienced significant headwinds in fiscal Q2 2026 (April to June 2026), directly impacting American Bitcoin's valuation. Bitcoin itself erased its April gains and ended fiscal Q2 2026 down approximately 11%. This downturn was primarily driven by a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and a rotation of capital into AI-related equities. Furthermore, Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows totaling $4.08 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, with June seeing dominant outflows, and the total stablecoin market capitalization contracted by approximately $4.2 billion, indicating weakening liquidity channels into crypto.
2. Weak Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results. American Bitcoin reported a substantial net loss of $81.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (period ending March 31, 2026), a 37% increase from the prior fiscal quarter's loss of $59.5 million. This loss was largely attributed to a $117.2 million non-cash loss on digital assets due to a 22% depreciation in Bitcoin's price during the quarter. The company also reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.08, significantly missing the consensus estimate of $0.01 per share. Although operational metrics showed record mining output of 817 BTC and a 23% reduction in mining cost per Bitcoin to approximately $36,200, these positives were overshadowed by the adverse impact of falling Bitcoin prices on the company's financials.
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American Bitcoin (ABTC) stock has lost about 40% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Deteriorating Cryptocurrency Market Conditions During Fiscal Q2 2026. The broader cryptocurrency market experienced significant headwinds in fiscal Q2 2026 (April to June 2026), directly impacting American Bitcoin's valuation. Bitcoin itself erased its April gains and ended fiscal Q2 2026 down approximately 11%. This downturn was primarily driven by a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and a rotation of capital into AI-related equities. Furthermore, Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows totaling $4.08 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, with June seeing dominant outflows, and the total stablecoin market capitalization contracted by approximately $4.2 billion, indicating weakening liquidity channels into crypto.
2. Weak Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results. American Bitcoin reported a substantial net loss of $81.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (period ending March 31, 2026), a 37% increase from the prior fiscal quarter's loss of $59.5 million. This loss was largely attributed to a $117.2 million non-cash loss on digital assets due to a 22% depreciation in Bitcoin's price during the quarter. The company also reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.08, significantly missing the consensus estimate of $0.01 per share. Although operational metrics showed record mining output of 817 BTC and a 23% reduction in mining cost per Bitcoin to approximately $36,200, these positives were overshadowed by the adverse impact of falling Bitcoin prices on the company's financials.
3. Nasdaq Delisting Threat and Reverse Stock Split. American Bitcoin's stock price fell below Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement of $1.00 per share, leading the company to announce and implement a 1-for-15 reverse stock split, effective July 2, 2026, to avoid delisting. This strategic move, often perceived negatively by investors as a sign of underlying systemic issues and an inability to organically maintain a sufficient share price, contributed to negative sentiment and triggered an additional approximately 8% dip in the stock price on July 1, 2026.
4. Significant Insider Selling in Late Fiscal Year 2025. Prior to the specified period, a substantial insider selling event occurred on September 3, 2025, where Anchorage Lending CA, LLC, a 10% owner and director, sold 2,534,490 shares of American Bitcoin stock for a total notional value of $20,189,720. This significant divestment by a major shareholder could have signaled a lack of confidence, contributing to negative investor perception and potentially setting a bearish tone that exacerbated the stock's subsequent decline, which included a fall of over 92% since its September 2025 listing.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -38.8% change in ABTC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.87 | 8.49 | -38.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 171 | 217 | 27.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 76.2 | 39.8 | -47.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 937 | 1,018 | -7.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABTC | -38.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 55.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.7% | 14.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -66.7% change in ABTC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.50 | 8.49 | -66.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 217 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 39.8 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 909 | 1,018 | -10.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABTC | -66.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 60.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 33.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABTC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 22.6% | 41.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.5% | 21.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABTC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.5% | 41.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.0% | 21.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABTC Return | - | - | - | - | -79% | -67% | -93% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -85% | 410% | -3% | 66% | 57% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABTC Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 14% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 33% | 73% | 45% | 67% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABTC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -72% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -71% | -89% | -57% | -61% | -60% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MARA, RIOT, CLSK, HUT, CIFR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ABTC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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ABTC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About American Bitcoin (ABTC)
American Bitcoin (ABTC) operates as a dedicated Bitcoin mining company, established in 2020 and headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. Its core business involves running powerful, specialized mining computers to solve complex cryptographic puzzles. This process validates transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain, secures the network, and in return, allows the company to earn newly minted Bitcoins and transaction fees.
A key aspect of American Bitcoin's strategy is its focus on ESG-led (Environmental, Social, and Governance) mining. This commitment emphasizes responsible and sustainable practices in its energy-intensive operations. Essentially, the company's main product is the Bitcoin it mines, and it serves the broader cryptocurrency market by contributing to the integrity and expansion of the Bitcoin network, appealing to investors and participants within the digital asset economy.
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- A gold mining company, but for Bitcoin.
- A specialized data center, focused solely on generating Bitcoin.
- A green energy-driven Bitcoin mining operation.
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- Bitcoin Mining: The process of operating specialized computers to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network and earn newly minted bitcoins as a reward.
- ESG-led Mining: Bitcoin mining services conducted with a commitment to environmental, social, and governance principles, often involving sustainable energy sources and responsible operational practices.
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American Bitcoin (symbol: ABTC), which operates as Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc., is a bitcoin mining company.
Due to the nature of its business model, Gryphon Digital Mining does not have traditional major customers in the sense of other companies or individual consumers directly purchasing its mining services or output. The company's primary revenue is derived from block rewards and transaction fees, which are received directly from the Bitcoin network protocol for successfully validating transactions and discovering new blocks on the blockchain.
When Gryphon Digital Mining chooses to monetize the digital assets it has mined, it typically sells them on cryptocurrency exchanges on the open market. These exchanges serve as platforms for asset liquidation rather than being direct customers of the company's core mining operations.
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Suppliers:
- Bitmain
- Canaan Inc. (NASDAQ: CAN)
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Michael Ho Chief Executive Officer, Director
Michael Ho is the Chief Executive Officer and a Director of American Bitcoin Corp.
Matthew Prusak President, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Matthew Prusak serves as the President and Interim Chief Financial Officer of American Bitcoin Corp.
Asher Genoot Executive Chairman of the Board
Asher Genoot is the Executive Chairman of the Board for American Bitcoin Corp.
Michael Broukhim Independent Director
Michael Broukhim is an Independent Director for American Bitcoin Corp.
Richard Busch Independent Director
Richard Busch is an Independent Director for American Bitcoin Corp.
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Key Business Risks for American Bitcoin (ABTC)
American Bitcoin (NASDAQ: ABTC), operating as Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc., faces several significant risks inherent to the cryptocurrency mining industry and its specific financial situation. The most prominent risks include the extreme volatility of Bitcoin's price, the company's precarious financial stability and associated delisting threats, and ongoing regulatory and environmental scrutiny.
- Bitcoin Price Volatility: As a Bitcoin mining company, American Bitcoin's revenue and profitability are directly and substantially impacted by the fluctuating market price of Bitcoin. Significant declines in Bitcoin's value can lead to substantial losses in revenue, making it challenging for the company to maintain profitability. The company's financial performance is intrinsically linked to this highly unpredictable asset.
- Financial Instability and Nasdaq Delisting Risk: Gryphon Digital Mining, which merged with American Bitcoin, has received notifications from Nasdaq regarding its failure to meet minimum market value and bid price requirements for continued listing. The company has also faced challenges with a significant debt burden, short-term obligations exceeding liquid assets, consistent operational losses, and negative shareholder equity, indicating a precarious financial position. Failure to regain compliance with Nasdaq's listing standards could result in delisting, severely impacting the company's access to capital markets and investor confidence.
- Regulatory and Environmental Scrutiny: Despite operating with an "ESG-led mining" focus, American Bitcoin is part of an industry that faces increasing regulatory and environmental scrutiny due to the high energy consumption and carbon footprint associated with Bitcoin mining. Governments worldwide have considered or implemented restrictions on crypto mining due to energy concerns, and there is an ongoing debate about the environmental impact, which could lead to new regulations, increased operating costs, or public relations challenges for the company.
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The increasing dominance and acceptance of Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanisms in the broader cryptocurrency landscape presents an emerging threat. Exemplified by the successful transition of other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, PoS offers a significantly more energy-efficient alternative to Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work (PoW) model. This shift could lead to increased public and regulatory pressure against the energy consumption inherent in PoW mining, potentially affecting investment sentiment and creating an unfavorable environment for even ESG-led Bitcoin miners.
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- **2026 (estimated):** Between approximately USD 2.775 billion and USD 3.2375 billion.
- **2035 (projected):** Between approximately USD 35.802 billion and USD 41.769 billion.
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American Bitcoin (ABTC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies, following its merger with Gryphon Digital Mining. These drivers include:
- Scaling Bitcoin Mining Operations and Hashrate Expansion: The company plans to significantly increase its Bitcoin mining capacity through ongoing expansion of its mining fleet. This includes opportunistic acquisitions of mining machines and aiming for higher exahash targets, which directly translates to a greater share of Bitcoin block rewards.
- Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Accumulation: American Bitcoin's business model emphasizes not only mining Bitcoin but also strategically accumulating and holding it as a long-term balance sheet asset. By building a substantial Bitcoin reserve, the company aims to benefit from potential future appreciation in Bitcoin's value.
- Expansion into High-Performance Computing (HPC) and AI Infrastructure: American Bitcoin, through the strategic direction of its merged entity, is diversifying its operations by leveraging its energy infrastructure for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) compute tasks. This involves acquiring and developing assets, such as the Captus Energy acquisition, to support AI-related infrastructure, opening new revenue streams beyond traditional Bitcoin mining.
- Cost Structure Optimization and Energy Efficiency: The company is focused on maintaining and improving an industry-leading cost structure, particularly through enhancing energy efficiency and securing ultra-low-cost power sources. Utilizing renewable energy strategies and optimizing operational controls are crucial to reducing the cost of Bitcoin production, thereby boosting profitability and revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program of up to $5 million of its common stock on April 22, 2024.
- As of June 30, 2025, Gryphon Digital Mining had not repurchased any common shares during that quarter.
Share Issuance
- Prior to the merger, Gryphon Digital Mining had a placement of 6,941,856 shares on January 13, 2025, raising $2.78 million.
- In Q2 2025, Gryphon Digital Mining had 83 million shares outstanding, marking an 18.3% increase from the prior quarter.
- As part of the merger with American Bitcoin Corp., Gryphon stockholders approved the issuance of new shares representing over 20% of the outstanding stock as merger consideration in August 2025. After a 5-for-1 reverse stock split, the combined American Bitcoin Corp. had approximately 908 million shares outstanding, with legacy Gryphon shareholders receiving about 2% of the fully diluted equity.
Inbound Investments
- American Bitcoin Corp. raised $220.1 million before its merger with Gryphon Digital Mining.
- Subsequent to September 30, 2024, Gryphon refinanced a bitcoin-denominated note of approximately $19 million, exchanging it for company common stock and a $5 million principal note.
- The stock-for-stock merger between Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc. and American Bitcoin Corp. in September 2025 resulted in the combined entity trading on Nasdaq under the ABTC ticker.
Outbound Investments
- Before the merger, American Bitcoin Corp. acquired approximately 1,726 Bitcoin and purchased around 16,299 new-generation ASIC miners.
Capital Expenditures
- Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc. incurred -$558,000 in capital expenditures over the twelve months leading up to early 2026.
- In Q3 2024, Gryphon Digital invested -$2.5 million in capital expenditures.
- The company completed a machine upgrade program in April 2024, deploying new Bitmain S21 200 TH/s miners to enhance operational efficiency and increase hashing power by approximately 23 PH/s. Following the merger, American Bitcoin expanded its mining capacity by about 14.8 exahash per second (EH/s) in Q3 2025, reaching a total of approximately 25.0 EH/s.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| American Bitcoin Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 07/02/2026 | |
| Market Movers | Winners: XHLD, TLRY, HPP | Losers: SONN, JANX, ABTC | 12/03/2025 | |
| American Bitcoin Stock: Treasury, Mining & Trump | 09/08/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.3 |
| Rev LTM | 469 |
| Op Inc LTM | -319 |
| FCF LTM | -1,072 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -901 |
| CFO LTM | -526 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -337 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 38.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 87.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -99.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -101.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -54.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -73.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -10.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -71.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -61.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -194.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -213.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.49 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/03/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -93.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $64.54 | $64.54 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -86.8% | -86.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 77.7% | 97.5% |
| Downside Capture | 677.01 | 528.70 |
| Upside Capture | 200.10 | 55.09 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 53.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.13 | 2.03 | 3.46 | 3.38 | -0.17 | -0.45 |
| Up Beta | 2.02 | 1.32 | 4.72 | 4.99 | 0.60 | -0.52 |
| Down Beta | 0.25 | -0.06 | 0.29 | 1.52 | 1.01 | 0.19 |
| Up Capture | -168% | 74% | 256% | 253% | 36% | 3% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 14 | 24 | 41 | 74 | 74 |
| Down Capture | 321% | 408% | 417% | 269% | 197% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 15 | 26 | 38 | 79 | 125 | 125 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABTC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABTC | -93.0% | 97.5% | -2.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.0% | 14.7% | 0.31 | 21.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.2% | 12.5% | 1.32 | 41.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.7% | 27.8% | 0.75 | 19.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.2% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.61 | 15.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 42.7% | -1.23 | 39.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABTC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABTC | -41.2% | 97.5% | -2.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 21.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 41.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.80 | 19.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 15.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.2% | 53.6% | 0.45 | 39.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABTC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABTC | -23.3% | 97.5% | -2.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.5% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 21.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 41.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.62 | 19.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.8% | 18.0% | 0.25 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 15.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 39.4% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/8/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -7.2% | -10.4% | -31.0% |
| 2/26/2026 | 2.9% | 9.5% | -13.0% |
| 11/14/2025 | 2.5% | -3.4% | -65.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 9.5% | |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -6.9% | -31.0% |
| Max Positive | 2.9% | 9.5% | |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -10.4% | -65.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -7.2% | -10.4% | -31.0% |
| 2/26/2026 | 2.9% | 9.5% | -13.0% |
| 11/14/2025 | 2.5% | -3.4% | -65.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 9.5% | |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -6.9% | -31.0% |
| Max Positive | 2.9% | 9.5% | |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -10.4% | -65.2% |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/25/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 6162026 | 0.87 | 450,000 | 391,500 | 1,608,608 | Form | |
| 2 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3092026 | 1.15 | 68,000 | 78,200 | 1,608,821 | Form | |
| 3 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 1.15 | 90,000 | 103,500 | 1,530,621 | Form | |
| 4 | Mateen, Justin | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 1.03 | 1,800,000 | 1,854,000 | 2,600,724 | Form | |
| 5 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 0.96 | 240,000 | 230,400 | 1,191,336 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 6162026 | 0.87 | 450,000 | 391,500 | 1,608,608 | Form | |
| 2 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3092026 | 1.15 | 68,000 | 78,200 | 1,608,821 | Form | |
| 3 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 1.15 | 90,000 | 103,500 | 1,530,621 | Form | |
| 4 | Mateen, Justin | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 1.03 | 1,800,000 | 1,854,000 | 2,600,724 | Form | |
| 5 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 3052026 | 0.96 | 240,000 | 230,400 | 1,191,336 | Form | |
| 6 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 12232025 | 1.98 | 101,000 | 199,980 | 1,981,930 | Form | |
| 7 | Busch, Richard | Direct | Buy | 12182025 | 1.66 | 175,000 | 290,500 | 1,493,958 | Form | |
| 8 | Anchorage, Lending Ca, Llc | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 7.97 | 2,534,490 | 20,189,719 | 8 | Form |
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