Tearsheet

Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (7/9/2026): $11.4 | Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Stubhub (STUB)


Market Price (7/9/2026): $11.4
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.5%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -75%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 82%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -45%

Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Experiential Retail, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -75%
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 82%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -45%
7 Key risks
STUB key risks include [1] a UK regulatory investigation into its pricing practices carrying the threat of fines up to 10% of global turnover and [2] multiple US securities class-action lawsuits alleging misleading IPO disclosures.

STUB in ETFs

Weight = STUB's share of each fund

ITOT0.00%
IWM0.09%
IWO0.18%
SCHA0.02%
IWV0.00%
SCHB0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/9/2026

Stubhub (STUB) stock has gained about 85% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. StubHub achieved a significant return to profitability and strong financial growth in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), exceeding analyst expectations. The company reported net income of $48.0 million, a substantial turnaround from a net loss of $22.2 million in the prior-year period and its first profitable quarter since Q4 2024. Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $446.0 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 4.94%. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 50% to $72.1 million, expanding the adjusted EBITDA margin to 16%. This robust performance was further supported by strong cash generation, with free cash flow increasing 92% to $290.6 million, and a $100 million debt reduction in May. Management also reiterated a positive full-year 2026 outlook, projecting Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) between $9.9 billion and $10.1 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA of $400 million to $420 million.

2. The company expanded its strategic "Open Distribution" (formerly Direct Issuance) partnerships, enhancing inventory and market reach. In June 2026, StubHub announced its largest festival partnership to date, becoming the Official Open Distribution Partner for Danny Wimmer Presents across its U.S. festival portfolio. This follows earlier initiatives, including a multi-year agreement with Major League Baseball (MLB) in September 2025 to distribute primary ticket inventory using StubHub's direct issuance technology, launched ahead of the 2026 MLB season. Additionally, in December 2025, StubHub expanded its local footprint through new direct issuance partnerships for various 2026 events, such as the "Duel in the District" college basketball game and the Country Thunder festivals. This strategic shift towards a "product-led, AI-driven direct issuance strategy" aims to maximize long-term revenue opportunities.

Show more
Updated on 7/9/2026

Stubhub (STUB) stock has gained about 85% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. StubHub achieved a significant return to profitability and strong financial growth in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), exceeding analyst expectations. The company reported net income of $48.0 million, a substantial turnaround from a net loss of $22.2 million in the prior-year period and its first profitable quarter since Q4 2024. Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $446.0 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 4.94%. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 50% to $72.1 million, expanding the adjusted EBITDA margin to 16%. This robust performance was further supported by strong cash generation, with free cash flow increasing 92% to $290.6 million, and a $100 million debt reduction in May. Management also reiterated a positive full-year 2026 outlook, projecting Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) between $9.9 billion and $10.1 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA of $400 million to $420 million.

2. The company expanded its strategic "Open Distribution" (formerly Direct Issuance) partnerships, enhancing inventory and market reach. In June 2026, StubHub announced its largest festival partnership to date, becoming the Official Open Distribution Partner for Danny Wimmer Presents across its U.S. festival portfolio. This follows earlier initiatives, including a multi-year agreement with Major League Baseball (MLB) in September 2025 to distribute primary ticket inventory using StubHub's direct issuance technology, launched ahead of the 2026 MLB season. Additionally, in December 2025, StubHub expanded its local footprint through new direct issuance partnerships for various 2026 events, such as the "Duel in the District" college basketball game and the Country Thunder festivals. This strategic shift towards a "product-led, AI-driven direct issuance strategy" aims to maximize long-term revenue opportunities.

3. Positive analyst sentiment and the anticipated impact of the FIFA World Cup 2026 boosted investor confidence. Following the strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, analyst firm Guggenheim upgraded StubHub's stock to "Buy" from "Neutral" on June 13, 2026, and raised its price target to $12.50 from $8.50, citing "reset expectations and potential upside in Direct Issuance and Advertising." Evercore ISI also raised its price target to $15, maintaining an "Outperform" rating. Alongside company-specific factors, the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which commenced in mid-June across North American venues, was identified by StubHub as a "tier 1 event" expected to significantly contribute to the company's fiscal Q2 and Q3 results, providing a substantial industry-wide tailwind.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 103.5% change in STUB stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 101.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267082026Change
Stock Price ($)6.2412.70103.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7451,7942.8%
P/S Multiple1.32.5101.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)353359-1.7%
Cumulative Contribution103.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB103.5% 
Market (SPY)14.6%16.3%
Sector (XLC)-1.3%21.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.1% change in STUB stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257082026Change
Stock Price ($)13.5312.70-6.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5961,79412.3%
P/S Multiple2.82.5-8.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)329359-8.4%
Cumulative Contribution-6.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB-6.1% 
Market (SPY)9.6%27.7%
Sector (XLC)-6.7%26.0%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB  
Market (SPY)21.7%26.2%
Sector (XLC)1.9%26.3%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STUB  
Market (SPY)74.1%26.2%
Sector (XLC)73.5%26.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
STUB Return-----38%0%-38%
Peers Return35%-47%79%21%6%-5%57%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STUB Win Rate----50%71% 
Peers Win Rate60%31%67%50%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STUB Max Drawdown------62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-55%-31%-32%-38%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, PPLI, GOOGL, META.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

STUB has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

EventXLCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven470 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven112 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven109 days105 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, PPLI, GOOGL, META

In The Past

State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

STUB has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

EventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven470 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven112 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven109 days105 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, PPLI, GOOGL, META

In The Past

State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stubhub (STUB)

StubHub (STUB) operates the largest global secondary ticketing marketplace for live events, connecting fans with sellers of event tickets. The company's mission is to be the premier destination for accessing live events, bringing liquidity, transparency, and trust to what was historically a fragmented and opaque market. Its core business involves facilitating the buying and selling of tickets for a wide range of live events, including sports, concerts, and theater, primarily through its two main brands: StubHub in North America and viagogo internationally.

The company's main service is its technology-enabled marketplace, which offers end-to-end functionality for handling diverse event types and dynamically pricing tickets. StubHub leverages global distribution, robust data intelligence, and trusted brands to optimize outcomes for both buyers and sellers. Its primary customers are passionate fans seeking tickets and individuals or entities looking to efficiently sell their tickets, forming a powerful flywheel effect that generates significant revenue, profit, and cash flow.

StubHub has established a leadership position with durable competitive moats by creating scale and fostering an efficient monetization engine. Looking ahead, the company aims to expand its role beyond secondary sales into original ticket issuance, aspiring to be a comprehensive global marketplace for all ticketing transactions. This strategic vision leverages its existing technology, distribution networks, data capabilities, and strong brands to capture a larger market opportunity across the entire live events ecosystem.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Stubhub:

  • eBay for event tickets.

  • The secondary market equivalent of Ticketmaster.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Online Secondary Ticket Marketplace: An online platform facilitating the buying and selling of secondary market tickets for a wide range of live events and experiences globally, operating under the StubHub and viagogo brands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Stubhub primarily serves individual customers. Its major customers can be categorized as follows:

  1. Ticket Purchasers (Fans and Event Attendees): These are individuals who use Stubhub's marketplace to find and buy tickets for a wide variety of live events, including concerts, sporting events, theater performances, and other experiences. They are the ultimate consumers seeking access to live entertainment.
  2. Ticket Sellers (Individuals and Small-scale Resellers): These are individuals or smaller entities who utilize Stubhub's platform to list and sell tickets they possess. This includes individuals who may have surplus tickets, can no longer attend an event, or those who engage in professional ticket reselling.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Eric H. Baker, CEO / President

Eric H. Baker is the co-founder of StubHub, which he established in 2000 alongside Jeff Fluhr while attending Stanford Graduate School of Business. After departing StubHub in 2005, Baker founded the competing global ticketing platform viagogo in 2006, expanding into international markets. In 2019, he orchestrated viagogo's $4.05 billion acquisition of StubHub from eBay, subsequently becoming the CEO of the combined entity, StubHub Holdings, Inc. Prior to his entrepreneurial ventures, Baker worked at Bain Capital and McKinsey & Company.

Connie James, Chief Financial Officer

Connie James serves as the Chief Financial Officer of StubHub. In November 2025, she was noted for discussing the company's strategy related to interest earned on delayed refunds and seller payments.

Nayaab Islam, President

Nayaab Islam serves as the President of StubHub, having been named to the position in 2022. Previously, Islam held the title of Head of Product for StubHub.

Art Yegorov, Head of Technology / CTO

Art Yegorov serves as the Head of Technology, and also holds the title of CTO, at StubHub.

Jeff Zwelling, Chief Operating Officer

Jeff Zwelling serves as the Chief Operating Officer of StubHub.

AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub (STUB) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its position in the secondary ticketing market. These include stringent regulatory scrutiny, intense competition and potential disintermediation by the primary ticketing market, and a fundamental reliance on the health and popularity of the live events industry.

Key Risks to StubHub's Business

  1. Regulatory Scrutiny and Changes: StubHub operates within a complex and evolving global regulatory landscape, facing extensive exposure to laws concerning data privacy, consumer protection, and ticketing across various jurisdictions. The company is subject to a wave of regulatory actions targeting secondary ticket resale, including proposed legislation for price caps and bans on speculative tickets in regions like California and New York. Regulators, such as the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), are also actively scrutinizing "drip pricing" practices, where additional fees are added late in the transaction process. StubHub has previously faced threats of legal action for allegedly misleading customers regarding ticket validity and availability, indicating an ongoing challenge in meeting consumer protection standards.
  2. Competition and Disintermediation from the Primary Ticketing Market: StubHub encounters intense competition from both primary and other secondary ticketing providers. The company's business model, which historically operates "without controlling the box office or venue access," makes it vulnerable to strategies employed by primary ticket sellers and event organizers. These entities, including major players like Live Nation (Ticketmaster), are increasingly moving into the secondary market or implementing policies that could limit the supply of tickets available to platforms like StubHub or make resales more difficult. StubHub's strategic pivot towards "original issuance ticketing" reflects its effort to mitigate this risk and achieve a more defensible position against competitors and regulators.
  3. Dependence on the Live Events Industry: The core of StubHub's business is heavily dependent on the volume, popularity, and availability of live events, such as sports, concerts, and theater. The company's revenue and profitability are directly tied to consumer demand for tickets to these events. Factors that could disrupt the live events industry, including economic downturns affecting discretionary spending, changes in consumer entertainment preferences, or unforeseen global events like pandemics, would directly reduce the supply of tickets and demand on StubHub's platform, thereby impacting its financial performance. The business also experiences pronounced seasonality linked to major sports and concert tours.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub operates in the live event ticketing market, primarily focusing on secondary ticketing and expanding into primary ticket sales.

Addressable Market Sizes for StubHub's Main Products and Services:

  • Global Secondary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • In 2023, the global secondary tickets market was valued at approximately USD 2.85 billion and is projected to reach USD 6.56 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 9.7% during the forecast period (2024-2032).
    • Other estimates place the global secondary ticketing market at USD 6.58 billion in 2024.
    • Another valuation states the market reached USD 3.41 billion in 2026 and is projected to grow at an 8.74% CAGR to USD 5.19 billion by 2031.
  • North American Secondary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • StubHub estimates the secondary ticketing market in North America to be approximately $17.5 billion.
    • North America held the largest share of the global secondary tickets market at 45%. The U.S. alone accounted for approximately 41% of global resale transactions in 2024.
  • Global Primary Ticketing Market for Live Events:

    • The primary issuance market is estimated to be $132 billion in 2024.
    • The global online event ticketing market, which encompasses primary sales, was valued at USD 56.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 99.31 billion by 2032.
    • Another estimate for the global online event ticketing market puts its value at USD 63.39 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 117.04 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

StubHub (STUB) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  • International Expansion: StubHub expects faster growth from its international markets, operated under the viagogo brand, which currently represent approximately 15% of its Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS). The company views this overseas business as a major long-term growth runway, aiming to replicate its domestic scale and deepen localization globally.
  • North American Market Growth and Market Share Gains: The company plans to continue increasing its GMS within the North American market, where it holds a significant share, estimated at around 50% of the secondary ticketing market. This involves both overall market expansion and capturing additional market share.
  • Strategic Shift to Product-Led, AI-Enabled Direct Issuance: StubHub is pivoting towards a product-led and AI-enabled supply strategy for direct ticket issuance. This initiative aims to reduce friction for partners and enable scalable self-serve distribution tools, prioritizing long-term, durable, and automated growth over immediate revenue gains in the near term.
  • Improved Marketing Efficiency: The company is focused on refining its marketing efficiency to achieve higher returns while sustaining its market share gains. This optimization of sales and marketing expenses is expected to contribute to overall financial performance.
  • Leveraging Core Resale Marketplace and Consistent Unit Economics: StubHub's core resale marketplace is projected to remain a significant driver, supported by consistent take rates (around 20% of GMS) and strong adjusted gross margins (above 80%). The company expects substantial profit growth from this established segment, demonstrating the structural strength of its business model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • StubHub Holdings, Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on September 17, 2025, raising approximately $800 million by offering 34 million shares at $23.50 per share.
  • The company stated its intention to use the proceeds primarily to reduce debt and for general corporate purposes.
  • In March 2026, an S-8 filing was made for securities to be offered to employees through benefit plans.

Inbound Investments

  • In 2020, Viagogo acquired StubHub from eBay for $4.05 billion, forming the combined entity that eventually went public as StubHub Holdings, Inc.
  • StubHub Holdings is backed by various institutional investors and private equity firms, including Madrone Capital Partners and Bessemer Venture Partners, with Madrone Capital Partners holding 22.1% after the IPO.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, StubHub Holdings reported approximately $35 million in capital expenditures, derived from $193 million in net cash provided by operating activities and $158 million in Free Cash Flow.
  • These investments are strategically focused on growth initiatives, including a shift to a product-led direct issuance strategy and the launch of an advertising business.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STUBZZIPPPLIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.People Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Price12.7032.273.8947.33361.92603.1239.80
Mkt Cap4.67.60.3-4,378.91,528.37.6
Rev LTM1,7942,6934462,622422,499214,9622,658
Op Inc LTM-1,34513-9-29138,12988,5932
FCF LTM2982971134064,42948,253319
FCF 3Y Avg-217415569,47450,101217
CFO LTM33346417355174,353124,000409
CFO 3Y Avg-41950154138,01398,823419

Growth & Margins

STUBZZIPPPLIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.People Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.8%16.8%-3.3%-10.2%17.5%26.2%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.6%-18.8%-4.3%14.1%22.4%12.6%
Rev Chg Q12.2%18.4%-2.3%286.0%21.8%33.1%20.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%4.3%-0.6%73.3%4.9%7.0%4.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-911.3%108.1%2.8%87.5%17.5%21.2%19.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-29.0%-46.5%-13.3%24.3%50.4%24.3%
Op Mgn LTM-75.0%0.5%-2.1%-1.1%32.7%41.2%-0.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--6.3%2.5%-5.3%31.5%40.5%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%1.7%2.2%4.9%0.7%-0.2%1.9%
CFO/Rev LTM18.5%17.2%3.9%13.5%41.3%57.7%17.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.9%9.4%6.1%37.3%55.9%17.9%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%11.0%2.4%12.9%15.2%22.4%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.1%7.6%3.4%19.3%29.3%9.1%

Valuation

STUBZZIPPPLIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.People Alphabet Meta Pla. 
Mkt Cap4.67.60.3-4,378.91,528.37.6
P/S2.52.80.7-10.47.12.8
P/Op Inc-3.4585.0-35.2-31.717.317.3
P/EBIT-3.492.745.2-22.416.822.4
P/E-2.5124.7-13.1-27.321.721.7
P/CFO13.716.418.7-25.112.316.4
Total Yield-40.2%0.8%-7.7%-3.9%5.0%0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.2%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.9%6.3%-3.2%3.6%3.4%
D/E0.30.11.7-0.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.5--0.00.0-0.0

Returns

STUBZZIPPPLIGOOGLMETAMedian
NameStubhub Zillow ZipRecru.People Alphabet Meta Pla. 
1M Rtn26.9%-7.2%21.2%12.5%-0.4%3.1%7.8%
3M Rtn99.7%-22.1%99.5%13.5%14.1%-1.4%13.8%
6M Rtn1.1%-52.7%10.8%13.5%12.6%-6.9%6.0%
12M Rtn-42.3%-55.6%-25.8%13.5%108.2%-16.0%-20.9%
3Y Rtn-42.3%-32.5%-78.2%13.5%205.6%109.4%-9.5%
1M Excs Rtn35.4%-9.3%21.0%12.2%-3.1%0.5%6.3%
3M Excs Rtn83.8%-34.0%83.4%0.4%5.5%-8.1%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-14.0%-59.5%-3.3%5.1%6.1%-16.7%-8.6%
12M Excs Rtn-62.4%-75.5%-46.3%-6.6%85.2%-35.9%-41.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.4%-103.9%-146.2%-54.6%136.9%43.9%-79.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment1,7451,7711,3681,037673
Total1,7451,7711,3681,037673


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$12.70 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.6 
First Trading Date09/17/2025 
Distance from 52W High-42.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.35$17.35
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-26.8%-26.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility57.0%79.7%
Downside Capture-8.36262.61
Upside Capture272.79136.85
Correlation (SPY)20.3% 
STUB Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.930.930.501.380.34-0.18
Up Beta0.451.060.230.14-0.460.40
Down Beta-0.22-0.21-0.371.88-0.87-0.50
Up Capture357%384%258%168%108%10%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days112436619494
Down Capture3%-45%-70%164%159%86%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days91525619999

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-42.4%79.7%-0.51-
Sector ETF (XLC)3.3%13.8%-0.0026.3%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.5%1.2626.2%
Gold (GLD)21.9%27.8%0.7010.1%
Commodities (DBC)25.0%18.7%1.06-1.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.7%13.9%0.6222.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-41.4%42.8%-1.1331.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-10.4%79.7%-0.51-
Sector ETF (XLC)7.2%20.7%0.2626.3%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.6026.2%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7910.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.5%0.30-1.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.9%0.0522.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.1%53.5%0.4131.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STUB
STUB-5.3%79.7%-0.51-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.0%22.2%0.4626.3%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7626.2%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.1%0.5810.1%
Commodities (DBC)6.4%18.0%0.28-1.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2222.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9831.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120261.2%
Average Daily Volume5.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity359.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/16/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/13/202613.7%33.0%52.4%
3/4/2026-12.4%-25.5%-36.7%
11/13/2025-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative222
Median Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Median Negative-16.7%-35.3%-33.1%
Max Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Max Negative-21.0%-45.2%-36.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/13/202613.7%33.0%52.4%
3/4/2026-12.4%-25.5%-36.7%
11/13/2025-21.0%-45.2%-29.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative222
Median Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Median Negative-16.7%-35.3%-33.1%
Max Positive13.7%33.0%52.4%
Max Negative-21.0%-45.2%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202509/17/2025424B4
03/31/202508/11/2025S-1/A
06/30/202408/22/2024DRS/A
03/31/202406/24/2024DRS/A
12/31/202211/20/2023DRS/A
12/31/202110/19/2022DRS/A
12/31/202002/10/2022DRS/A
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202509/17/2025424B4
03/31/202508/11/2025S-1/A
06/30/202408/22/2024DRS/A
03/31/202406/24/2024DRS/A
12/31/202211/20/2023DRS/A
12/31/202110/19/2022DRS/A
12/31/202002/10/2022DRS/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 GMS9.90 Bil10.00 Bil10.10 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA400.00 Mil410.00 Mil420.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 410.00 Mil for 2026

null

Insider Activity

Updated 7/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.012,80039,214118,369,756Form
2Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.014005,60321,861,813Form
3Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0228,531371,40220,321,906Form
4Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0354,801714,183110,185,021Form
5Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.003,00239,02618,643,729Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.012,80039,214118,369,756Form
2Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell709202614.014005,60321,861,813Form
3Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0228,531371,40220,321,906Form
4Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.0354,801714,183110,185,021Form
5Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.003,00239,02618,643,729Form
6Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell706202613.002,09927,287110,624,345Form
7Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.0318,167236,75118,728,600Form
8Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.0325,400330,886110,881,447Form
9Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.003003,90018,918,926Form
10Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell701202613.001,30016,900110,981,832Form
11Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell626202612.0525,080302,141102,862,525Form
12Islam, NayaabSee RemarksDirectSell616202611.3716,720190,05397,338,955Form
13Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell612202610.338678,9602,249,212Form
14Streams, MarkSee RemarksDirectSell51520269.04232,5672,101,54510,066,447Form
15Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell51320267.571,61312,214707,575Form
16Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell41520266.501,61910,518628,488Form
17Fitzgerald, Scott MichaelPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell31220267.6628,387217,547597,462Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/8/2026