FuelCell Energy (FCEL)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $8.64 | Market Cap: $313.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
FuelCell Energy (FCEL)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $8.64Market Cap: $313.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -42% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -77% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 123% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% | ||
| Key risksFCEL key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a high cash burn rate that strains its financial stability, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -42% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -77% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 123% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -63% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Key risksFCEL key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a high cash burn rate that strains its financial stability, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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**1. Stronger-than-Expected Q3 2025 Financial Results and Positive Market Reaction.**FuelCell Energy reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on September 9, 2025, which, despite a net loss, showcased significant revenue growth. This announcement led to a notable positive market reaction, with the stock price rising by 22.75%. **2. Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Strategic Pivot Towards Data Centers.**
On December 18, 2025, FuelCell Energy announced its fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results, reporting a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to $55 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $47.2 million. The company also narrowed its net loss to $29.3 million, or $0.85 per share, outperforming the consensus estimate of a $0.97 loss per share. A key highlight was the strategic pivot towards addressing the escalating demand for electricity from AI and data center projects, positioning its carbonate fuel cell technology as a critical solution for this rapidly growing market. This news catalyzed a significant stock surge, with shares jumping over 30% in premarket trading. **3. Growing Backlog and Scalable Production Capacity.**
In conjunction with its Q4 earnings, FuelCell Energy reported a robust backlog of $1.19 billion as of October 31, 2025, indicating strong future revenue streams and commercial traction. The company also highlighted its manufacturing capabilities, noting an annualized production rate of 41 MW at its Torrington facility as of the end of fiscal year 2025, with existing capacity for 100 MW and potential for further expansion up to 350 MW per year to meet anticipated demand. Management indicated that reaching the 100 MW production level is a key milestone for achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA. **4. Securing $25 Million EXIM Financing for South Korean Project.**
On December 1, 2025, FuelCell Energy successfully secured a $25 million debt financing agreement from the Export-Import (EXIM) Bank of the United States. This financing is earmarked for the final phase of upgrading fuel cell modules at the Gyeonggi Green Energy site in South Korea, recognized as the world's largest fuel cell park. This agreement enhances the company's capital flexibility and supports its ongoing expansion in international markets. **5. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases.**
Throughout the specified period, FuelCell Energy received increased confidence from financial analysts. For instance, UBS Group raised its price target for FCEL from $4.50 to $7.25 on September 17, 2025, marking a 61.11% increase. Additionally, TD Cowen increased its price target to $9.00, and Zacks Research upgraded the stock from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating in October 2025, signaling growing analyst support and a positive outlook for the company's prospects. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.8% change in FCEL stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -48.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.60 | 8.76 | -8.80% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 152.47 | 158.16 | 3.73% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.54 | 2.01 | 30.48% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24.44 | 36.27 | -48.41% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.18% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCEL | -8.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.6% | 44.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.9% change in FCEL stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 103.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.88 | 8.76 | 48.89% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 129.42 | 158.16 | 22.20% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.99 | 2.01 | 103.29% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21.74 | 36.27 | -66.85% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.65% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCEL | 48.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.6% | 35.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.0% change in FCEL stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -116.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.42 | 8.76 | -15.98% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 85.27 | 158.16 | 85.49% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.05 | 2.01 | -2.04% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16.77 | 36.27 | -116.27% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -129.56% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCEL | -16.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 19.2% | 24.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -89.1% change in FCEL stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -168.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 80.10 | 8.76 | -89.07% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 130.48 | 158.16 | 21.21% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.30 | 2.01 | -75.81% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13.52 | 36.27 | -168.27% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -120.02% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCEL | -82.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 21.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.3% | 22.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FCEL Return | 345% | -53% | -47% | -42% | -81% | -8% | -89% |
| Peers Return | 305% | -8% | -26% | -18% | -9% | 69% | 247% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FCEL Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 8% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 42% | 40% | 47% | 42% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FCEL Max Drawdown | -57% | -54% | -51% | -63% | -88% | -59% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -29% | -44% | -35% | -39% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BE, PLUG, BLDP, APD, LIN. See FCEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FCEL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2614.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17396.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 595 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 550.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMSC, THR, LYTS, ETN, EMR
In The Past
FuelCell Energy's stock fell -96.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -96.3% loss requires a 2614.6% gain to breakeven.
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FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, installs, operates, and services stationary fuel cell power plants for distributed baseload power generation. It offers SureSource1500, a 1.4-megawatt (MW) platform; SureSource 3000, a 2.8 MW platform; SureSource 4000, a 3.7 MW platform; SureSource 250, a 250- kilowatt (kW) platform; SureSource 400, a 400-kW platform; and SureSource Hydrogen, a 2.3 MW platform that is designed to produce up to 1,200 kilograms of hydrogen per day for multi-megawatt utility, microgrid, and distributed hydrogen applications, as well as on-site heat and chilling applications. It also provides SureSource Capture system that separates and concentrates carbon dioxide from the flue gases of natural gas, biomass, or coal-fired power plants, as well as industrial facilities; solid oxide fuel cell/solid oxide electrolysis cell stack technology. The company's SureSource power plants generate clean electricity, usable heat, water, and hydrogen. In addition, it provides engineering, procurement, and construction services; project financing services; and real-time monitoring and remote operation, online support system, preventative maintenance, parts and supplies, on-site and classroom training, and power plant refurbishment/recycling services, as well as technical services in the areas of plant operation and performance, and fuel processing. It serves various markets, including utilities and independent power producers, industrial and process applications, education and health care, data centers and communication, wastewater treatment, government, microgrids, food and beverage, and commercial and hospitality. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, England, Germany, and Switzerland. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for FuelCell Energy (FCEL):
- Like First Solar (FSLR), but instead of manufacturing solar panels, FCEL builds complete fuel cell power plants for clean electricity generation.
- Think of it as a specialized, smaller version of General Electric's (GE) power division, exclusively focused on advanced fuel cell power plants for grid and industrial uses.
- Similar to Plug Power (PLUG), but FCEL focuses on large, stationary fuel cell power plants for industrial and utility-scale electricity, rather than fuel cell systems primarily for forklifts and vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- SureSource Power Plants: Integrated fuel cell platforms that provide ultra-clean, continuous baseload power generation, often with combined heat and power (CHP) capabilities.
- Carbon Capture and Storage Solutions: Proprietary fuel cell technology designed to simultaneously produce electricity and capture carbon dioxide emissions from industrial and power generation facilities.
- Hydrogen Production Systems: Fuel cell-based platforms that efficiently produce green hydrogen from various feedstocks, suitable for energy storage or industrial uses.
- Long-Duration Energy Storage Solutions: Systems leveraging fuel cell technology and hydrogen storage to provide grid-scale, long-duration energy storage capabilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
FuelCell Energy (FCEL) primarily sells its fuel cell power plants and related services to other companies and governmental entities, operating on a business-to-business (B2B) model.
Its major customers and types of clients include:
- Utilities and Independent Power Producers: These customers integrate FuelCell Energy's power plants into their grids or for distributed generation projects.
- Eversource Energy (NYSE: ES)
- United Illuminating (UI), a subsidiary of Avangrid (NYSE: AGR)
- Long Island Power Authority (LIPA) - a public authority in New York
- Industrial and Commercial Companies: These clients use FuelCell Energy's solutions for on-site power generation, combined heat and power (CHP), or specific energy needs for their facilities.
- Toyota North America (NYSE: TM - parent company) - for its Port of Long Beach facility
- Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) - for its Groton, CT facility
- Governmental and Defense Agencies: FuelCell Energy has contracts for various specialized applications, including hydrogen production and microgrids.
- U.S. Navy - for projects at naval facilities
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Jason Few, President and Chief Executive Officer
Jason Few was appointed President and CEO of FuelCell Energy in August 2019. He has over 35 years of experience as a business leader, entrepreneur, and technology leader across various industries including energy, technology, and telecommunications. Few founded and served as the Senior Managing Director of BJF Partners LLC, a privately held strategic transformation consulting firm, beginning in 2016. He was also President and CEO of Continuum Energy from 2013 to 2016, and President of Sustayn Analytics LLC from 2018 to 2019. His prior experience includes serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Customer Officer of NRG Energy, and holding leadership roles at Reliant Energy, Motorola, NCR Corp., and AT&T Inc. Few is recognized for engineering a billion-dollar turnaround to transform Reliant Energy into a multi-brand, multi-product consumer services company. He currently serves on the board of Atlantic Aviation, a privately held KKR company.
Michael S. Bishop, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Michael S. Bishop was appointed Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, and Treasurer of FuelCell Energy Inc. in June 2011, and later became Executive Vice President in 2019. He joined FuelCell Energy in 2003 as Assistant Controller, moving to Corporate Controller in 2004, and Vice President, Controller in 2007. Bishop possesses nearly 20 years of experience in financial operations and management within public high-growth technology companies. Before joining FuelCell Energy, he held finance and accounting positions at TranSwitch Corporation, Cyberian Outpost, Inc., and United Technologies, Inc. He began his professional career as an auditor at McGladrey and Pullen, LLP.
Anthony Rauseo, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Anthony Rauseo serves as the Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of FuelCell Energy. He began his tenure at FuelCell Energy in an unspecified role.
Jennifer Arasimowicz Esq., Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Jennifer Arasimowicz is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary for FuelCell Energy. She also served as interim president of the company at one point.
Anthony Leo, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer
Anthony Leo is the Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer. He holds a Master of Science in Electrical Engineering from Arizona State University and has a leadership certification from the Center for Creative Leadership.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to FuelCell Energy (FCEL):- Financial Fragility and Lack of Profitability: FuelCell Energy has consistently struggled with profitability, operating at a loss and experiencing negative cash flow. The company's financials indicate a "cash burn machine" with a dwindling cash runway, necessitating continuous external funding to sustain operations. As of January 2025, its trailing twelve-month (TTM) free cash flow margin was -161%, with net losses of $32.4 million in Q1 2025 alone. The company's cash reserves have significantly decreased, and its cash runway was estimated at only eight months as of May 2025, further strained by debt obligations and preferred stock redemption. This ongoing financial instability is a fundamental challenge to the business.
- Shareholder Dilution: The persistent need for funding to cover operational losses and maintain the business has historically led FuelCell Energy to issue new shares. This practice significantly dilutes the ownership stake of existing shareholders. Over a ten-year period, shares outstanding increased by 540%, while the stock price dropped by 95%, illustrating the impact of such dilution.
- Intense Competition and Technology Commercialization Challenges: FuelCell Energy operates in a highly competitive landscape, facing growing threats from alternative energy solutions such as solar power and battery storage, which are becoming increasingly cost-effective. Beyond competition, the broader fuel cell technology itself faces significant hurdles in commercialization, including high costs, durability concerns, and challenges related to system size, weight, and thermal/water management. These factors can limit the widespread adoption and cost-competitiveness of FuelCell Energy's products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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The rapid advancements and significant cost reductions in battery energy storage systems (BESS). BESS are increasingly competing for grid services, peak shaving, and distributed energy applications that FuelCell Energy's solutions also target, offering a different and rapidly expanding technological paradigm for energy management and delivery.
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The accelerating development and widespread deployment of dedicated green hydrogen production via electrolysis. While FuelCell Energy has capabilities in hydrogen production, the specialized electrolyzer market is seeing massive investment and technological improvements from numerous competitors, potentially offering more cost-effective and scalable methods for green hydrogen generation than FuelCell Energy's integrated or reversible fuel cell systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
FuelCell Energy (FCEL) participates in several addressable markets for its main products and services, including distributed energy generation, carbon capture, and hydrogen production.
Distributed Energy Generation / Stationary Fuel Cells
The global distributed energy generation market was valued at approximately USD 476.18 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 713.90 billion by 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.8% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates for the global market size vary, with one report indicating USD 337.4 billion in 2024, projected to surpass USD 1,176.09 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 13.30%. The stationary segment holds a significant share within the broader fuel cell market, accounting for over 68.8% of revenue globally in 2024.
- Global Distributed Energy Generation Market:
- USD 476.18 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 713.90 billion by 2030 (CAGR 5.8% from 2025-2030).
- Regional Breakdown for Distributed Energy Generation (2024):
- Asia-Pacific: Largest share at 34.32%.
- North America: Approximately 37% of global revenue.
- Europe: Around 30% of global revenue.
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
The global carbon capture and storage market was estimated at approximately USD 3.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 6.72 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.0% from 2025 to 2033. Another report estimates the global market size at USD 2.97 billion in 2024, reaching USD 6.17 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.05%. Other projections suggest a global market size of USD 8.92 billion in 2025, reaching USD 50.70 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 21.37%.
- Global Carbon Capture and Storage Market:
- Approximately USD 3.68 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 6.72 billion by 2033 (CAGR 7.0% from 2025-2033).
- Regional Breakdown for Carbon Capture and Storage (2024):
- North America: Largest share at 36.83%.
- U.S. Market: Valued at USD 3.16 billion in 2024, expected to surpass USD 11 billion by 2034.
Hydrogen Production
The global hydrogen generation market size was valued at USD 172.5 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 272.4 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.14% from 2025 to 2033. Another source reported the global hydrogen market value at USD 204.5 billion in 2024, with an estimated CAGR of 12.2% from 2025 to 2034.
- Global Hydrogen Generation Market:
- USD 172.5 billion in 2024, estimated to reach USD 272.4 billion by 2033 (CAGR 5.14% from 2025-2033).
- Regional Breakdown for Hydrogen Generation (2024):
- Asia-Pacific: Largest share at over 35.4%.
- North America: Nearly 11.5% of the overall revenue share.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for FuelCell Energy (FCEL) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion in the South Korean Market and Long-Term Service Agreements: FuelCell Energy anticipates continued revenue growth from long-term service agreements and module replacements, particularly highlighted by the agreement with Gyeonggi Green Energy (GGE) in South Korea. This involves providing 42 upgraded replacement fuel cell modules and associated operations and maintenance services over the next two years, representing a significant growth opportunity.
- Advancement of Carbon Capture Projects: The company is progressing with its carbon capture project in collaboration with ExxonMobil at the Esso refinery in Rotterdam. The expansion into integrated carbon capture solutions is identified as a substantial market opportunity for future revenue.
- Development of Renewable Green Hydrogen Production: FuelCell Energy sees significant market opportunities in the expansion of renewable green hydrogen production. This includes ongoing commercial development efforts related to its solid oxide power generation and electrolysis platforms, with testing at Idaho National Laboratory validating the commercialization potential of its electrolyzer for nuclear power integration.
- Growth in Bio-generation Projects: The company is making progress on its bio-generation project for the Sacramento Area Sewer District with Ameresco, which has already contributed to product revenues. Expanding these types of long-term service agreements in bio-generation represents another avenue for revenue growth.
- Focus on Distributed Power Generation, Grid Resiliency, and Data Center Growth: FuelCell Energy's global restructuring initiatives aim to realign resources towards core technologies supporting distributed power generation, enhancing grid resiliency, and capitalizing on the rising energy demands from data centers. The company is focusing on expanding its carbonate technology to serve these high-demand sectors.
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Share Repurchases
- FuelCell Energy made very small, sporadic share repurchases, with quarterly amounts generally in the thousands or low millions of dollars between 2020 and 2025.
- The company's 6-Month Share Buyback Ratio was -40.21% as of July 2025, and its Buyback Yield % was -25.04% as of November 2025, indicating net share issuance rather than repurchases over these periods.
Share Issuance
- The company executed significant public offerings in October 2020, including the closing of an offering of 50,025,000 shares of common stock.
- FuelCell Energy actively utilized an at-the-market (ATM) offering program, selling approximately 95.2 million shares for net proceeds of about $65.9 million in the three months ended July 31, 2024, and an additional 1.6 million shares for approximately $8.1 million in Q2 fiscal 2025.
- A 1-for-30 reverse stock split became effective on November 8, 2024, to help meet Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.
Inbound Investments
- FuelCell Energy secured $10.1 million in project debt financing from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) in November 2024, expected to provide approximately $9.4 million in net cash for projects with Gyeonggi Green Energy (GGE) in South Korea.
- The company entered into an $87 million project financing facility in 2023.
- A strategic partnership was formed to create Dedicated Power Partners (DPP) with Diversified Energy and TESIAC, aiming to provide turnkey power solutions for data centers and industrial end-users.
Capital Expenditures
- As part of a global restructuring plan initiated in late 2024, FuelCell Energy deferred capital spending for the Calgary expansion and canceled or deferred other planned capital and project expenditures.
- This restructuring, which included a workforce reduction, aims to reduce operating costs by approximately 15% in fiscal year 2025 compared to fiscal year 2024.
- The focus of these capital expenditure adjustments is to prioritize commercially available technologies and streamline business operations.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.5% | 5.5% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.3% | 3.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FuelCell Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,247 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -126 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -236 |
| CFO LTM | 44 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -120 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -35.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -57.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -33.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -62.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -62.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -89.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.1 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | -1.5 |
| P/E | -1.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.1 |
| Total Yield | -7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -14.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 66.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 51.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -111.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.76 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/27/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -33.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.92 | $6.06 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 10.6% | 44.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 117.2% | 104.0% |
| Downside Capture | 490.29 | 278.61 |
| Upside Capture | 390.88 | 221.21 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.5% | 25.1% |
FCEL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.95 | 3.10 | 3.57 | 3.79 | 1.31 | 1.74 |
| Up Beta | -2.36 | -0.32 | -1.63 | 0.57 | 0.29 | 0.87 |
| Down Beta | 5.39 | 5.17 | 6.12 | 4.97 | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| Up Capture | 215% | 228% | 661% | 702% | 285% | 652% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 29 | 57 | 105 | 305 |
| Down Capture | 438% | 341% | 286% | 317% | 156% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 31 | 65 | 138 | 417 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of FCEL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -16.9% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 104.4% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 25.0% | 25.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 12.0% | 25.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of FCEL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -48.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 96.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 32.4% | 34.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 29.7% | 22.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of FCEL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -42.7% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 120.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 | 0.60 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 24.6% | 26.2% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 11.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/18/2025 | 22.0% | ||
| 9/9/2025 | 22.7% | 56.2% | 141.5% |
| 6/6/2025 | 24.4% | 21.5% | 7.7% |
| 3/11/2025 | 3.6% | -3.3% | -38.2% |
| 11/15/2024 | -12.1% | 13.0% | 54.8% |
| 9/5/2024 | 1.9% | 9.0% | -12.0% |
| 6/10/2024 | 12.6% | -5.7% | -31.0% |
| 3/7/2024 | -9.0% | -15.6% | -7.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 11.2% | 9.0% | 23.1% |
| Median Negative | -10.1% | -11.1% | -17.7% |
| Max Positive | 24.4% | 56.2% | 141.5% |
| Max Negative | -22.9% | -37.2% | -39.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12182025 | 10-K 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3112025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12272024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12192023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9112023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12202022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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