Tearsheet

Block (XYZ)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $66.05 | Market Cap: $40.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Block (XYZ)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $66.05
Market Cap: $40.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
  Key risks
XYZ key risks include [1] federal scrutiny and class-action lawsuits over alleged widespread compliance failures and user figure manipulation, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x
5 Key risks
XYZ key risks include [1] federal scrutiny and class-action lawsuits over alleged widespread compliance failures and user figure manipulation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XYZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -17.1% movement in Block (SQ) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025:

1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report: Block's financial results for the third quarter of 2025, released on November 7, 2025, showed adjusted earnings per share (EPS) that met analyst expectations, but its revenue of $5.98 billion fell short of the $6.24 billion anticipated by Wall Street. This revenue miss contributed to investor dissatisfaction.

2. Cautious Fourth Quarter 2025 and Future Guidance: The company's projections for the fourth quarter of 2025 and its initial outlook for 2026 were perceived as cautious. Specifically, Block's forecast for Q4 gross profit at $2.31 billion was below the market's expectation of $2.35 billion, and its adjusted EBITDA prediction of $725 million also came in slightly under the $750 million experts had estimated, raising concerns among investors about future growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.4% change in XYZ stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -15.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
925202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)73.6866.05-10.36%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23834.6223973.770.58%
Net Income Margin (%)12.41%13.08%5.39%
P/E Multiple15.2712.85-15.81%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)612.88610.200.44%
Cumulative Contribution-10.36%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XYZ-10.4% 
Market (SPY)4.9%51.6%
Sector (XLF)4.2%47.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.4% change in XYZ stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 19.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
626202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)65.1166.051.44%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23935.7223973.770.16%
Net Income Margin (%)10.92%13.08%19.73%
P/E Multiple15.4212.85-16.66%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)619.37610.201.48%
Cumulative Contribution1.42%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XYZ1.4% 
Market (SPY)13.1%52.8%
Sector (XLF)8.0%47.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -27.5% change in XYZ stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -75.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202412252025Change
Stock Price ($)91.0866.05-27.48%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23861.5323973.770.47%
Net Income Margin (%)4.41%13.08%196.34%
P/E Multiple53.3112.85-75.89%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)616.43610.201.01%
Cumulative Contribution-27.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XYZ-27.5% 
Market (SPY)15.8%59.4%
Sector (XLF)14.9%52.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.5% change in XYZ stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 41.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1226202212252025Change
Stock Price ($)60.8966.058.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16959.2223973.7741.36%
P/S Multiple2.131.68-21.00%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)592.67610.20-2.96%
Cumulative Contribution8.38%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XYZ-15.5% 
Market (SPY)48.3%56.2%
Sector (XLF)52.6%49.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XYZ Return248%-26%-61%23%10%-22%6%
Peers Return�-17%-53%169%30%-21%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XYZ Win Rate83%50%42%42%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate�43%37%65%52%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XYZ Max Drawdown-39%-27%-68%-38%-26%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown�-34%-58%-9%-24%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, FI, GPN, AFRM, COIN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXYZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven618.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days120 days

Compare to MA, V, GPN, WU, PYPL

In The Past

Block's stock fell -86.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -86.1% loss requires a 618.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Block (XYZ)

Block, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, creates tools that enables sellers to accept card payments and provides reporting and analytics, and next-day settlement. It provides hardware products, including Magstripe reader, which enables swiped transactions of magnetic stripe cards; Contactless and chip reader that accepts Europay, MasterCard, and Visa (EMV) chip cards and Near Field Communication payments; Square Stand, which enables an iPad to be used as a payment terminal or full point of sale solution; Square Register that combines its hardware, point-of-sale software, and payments technology; Square Terminal, a payments device and receipt printer to replace traditional keypad terminals, which accepts tap, dip, and swipe payments. The company also offers various software products, including Square Point of Sale; Square Appointments; Square for Retail; Square for Restaurants; Square Online and Square Online Checkout; Square Invoices; Square Virtual Terminal; Square Team Management; Square Contracts; Square Loyalty, Marketing, and Gift Cards; and Square Dashboard. In addition, it offers a developer platform, which includes application programming interfaces and software development kits. Further, the company provides Cash App, which enables to send, spend, and store money; and Weebly that offers customers website hosting and domain name registration solutions. It serves in the United States, Canada, Japan, Australia, Ireland, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom. The company was formerly known as Square, Inc. and changed its name to Block, Inc. in December 2021. Block, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in San Francisco, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Block is like a:

  • Shopify for physical businesses and their financial needs: It provides an all-in-one platform for small businesses to accept payments, manage operations, get loans, and handle payroll, much like Shopify does for online stores.

  • Blend of Venmo and Robinhood, acting as a digital bank for everyday consumers: Its Cash App offers peer-to-peer payments, debit cards, simple stock trading, and Bitcoin investing, providing a comprehensive financial toolkit for individuals.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Square Seller Ecosystem: A comprehensive suite of hardware, software, and financial services designed to help businesses manage payments, point-of-sale operations, business banking, and payroll.
  • Cash App: A mobile-first financial platform offering individuals peer-to-peer payments, debit card services, stock investing, and Bitcoin trading.
  • Tidal: A global music and entertainment streaming service providing subscribers with high-fidelity audio, music videos, and exclusive content.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Block (symbol: SQ) serves a diverse customer base, primarily consisting of both businesses and individual consumers. Given the breadth and number of its business customers (primarily small and medium-sized businesses) rather than a few large corporate clients, and its significant direct-to-consumer services, describing customer categories is the most appropriate approach for Block.

Its major customer categories are:

  1. Small and Medium-Sized Businesses (SMBs): These are the primary customers for Block's Square ecosystem. SMBs utilize Block's payment processing hardware and software (e.g., point-of-sale systems, online store builders), business management tools (e.g., payroll, invoicing, team management), and financial services (e.g., Square Loans). Examples include local coffee shops, retail stores, salons, food trucks, and service providers who rely on Square to operate and grow their businesses.
  2. Individual Consumers/Users: This category encompasses the direct users of Block's consumer-facing products. This primarily includes users of Cash App for peer-to-peer payments, investing in stocks and Bitcoin, and debit card services. It also includes subscribers to Tidal for music streaming services. These individuals generate revenue for Block through transaction fees, subscriptions, and other service charges.
  3. Merchants utilizing Afterpay: While Afterpay's service is used by individual consumers, Block's direct customers in this context are the businesses (merchants) who integrate Afterpay as a "buy now, pay later" payment option at their checkout. These merchants, ranging from small online shops to larger retail brands, pay Block (via Afterpay) a fee for each transaction processed, aiming to increase sales and customer satisfaction by offering flexible payment terms to their own customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)
  • Visa Inc. (NYSE: V)
  • Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Jack Dorsey, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder

Jack Dorsey is an American entrepreneur and co-founder of Block, Inc. (formerly Square) in 2009. He is also widely known as the co-founder of Twitter, Inc., where he served as CEO from 2007 to 2008 and again from 2015 to 2021. As a teenager, Dorsey developed taxi-dispatching software that was adopted by taxicab companies. In 2000, he founded a company in Oakland to dispatch couriers, taxis, and emergency services from the web.

Amrita Ahuja, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer

Amrita Ahuja is the Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer at Block, Inc., having joined the company (then Square) in 2019. Prior to her role at Block, she served as the Chief Financial Officer of Blizzard Entertainment, a division of Activision Blizzard, from 2018 to 2019. Her extensive career also includes significant leadership positions in strategy and finance at The Walt Disney Company, Fox Networks Group (where she played a role in launching the streaming service Hulu), McKinsey & Company, and as an investment banker at Morgan Stanley. She currently serves as a director for Airbnb, Inc. and a privately held company.

Brian Grassadonia, Ecosystem Lead

Brian Grassadonia serves as Block's Ecosystem Lead, focusing on connecting Square, Cash App, and other parts of Block's ecosystem through product experiences. He was Square's first product lead and played a key role in launching its flagship card reader in 2010. Grassadonia also co-created Cash App and previously served as its CEO. Before joining Block, he worked at a startup that was acquired by Google and in investment banking at UBS.

Jim McKelvey, Co-Founder and Director

Jim McKelvey is a Co-Founder and Director of Block, Inc. He co-founded the company (then Square) with Jack Dorsey. McKelvey is also known for founding Invisibly and LaunchCode. His professional background includes roles at FINTOP Capital and the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Block (symbol: XYZ) faces several key business risks:

  1. Regulatory Scrutiny, Compliance Failures, and Securities Lawsuits: Block is subject to extensive regulatory oversight in financial services, data protection, and privacy. The company is currently facing class-action lawsuits and federal scrutiny over alleged widespread compliance failures, including facilitating fraudulent transactions and manipulating user figures on platforms like Cash App. These issues could lead to substantial fines, significant reputational damage, and financial instability.
  2. Exposure to Cryptocurrency Market Volatility and Bitcoin Initiatives: Block has a considerable strategic focus and direct investment in Bitcoin through its various ecosystems (e.g., Spiral, TBD, Bitkey). This exposes the company to the inherent volatility and unpredictability of the cryptocurrency market, with risks stemming from price fluctuations, evolving regulations, macroeconomic factors, and potential fraud or cybercrime.
  3. Low Profitability and Intense Competition: Block has consistently demonstrated low profitability and a history of net losses, raising concerns among investors about its ability to generate consistent profits. The company also operates in a highly competitive market, particularly within its Square and Cash App ecosystems, and efforts to reduce spending for profitability could lead to a loss of market share.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Increased regulatory scrutiny and potential restrictions on Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services. Regulators globally, including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in the US, are actively examining BNPL practices regarding consumer protections, data handling, and credit reporting. This could significantly impact Afterpay's business model, increase compliance costs, and limit its growth potential.

2. Entry of traditional financial institutions (banks, credit card networks) into the installment payment space. Major credit card companies and banks are increasingly offering their own "pay in installments" features directly on existing credit lines, providing consumers with similar flexibility without needing a separate BNPL provider. This directly competes with Afterpay's core offering and leverages existing customer relationships and trust, potentially eroding Afterpay's market share and differentiation.

3. Potential emergence of widely adopted Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). While still in exploratory phases in many Western countries, a government-backed, ubiquitous digital currency with peer-to-peer and merchant payment capabilities could offer a direct, potentially lower-cost alternative to private payment networks like Cash App. If designed to be highly interoperable and user-friendly, CBDCs could diminish the need for and usage of private payment applications for everyday transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Block, Inc. (formerly Square) operates in several large addressable markets through its key products and services, primarily the Square Seller Ecosystem, Cash App, and Afterpay.

Square Seller Ecosystem

The Square Seller Ecosystem provides payment processing, hardware, and software solutions for businesses. The total addressable market for Square's seller ecosystem in the United States was estimated at approximately $3 trillion in gross payment volume as of 2017. A more direct market opportunity for the seller ecosystem was identified as $100 billion in the U.S. in a 2021 investor presentation. For context, Block processed $241 billion in payments globally in 2024, and Square's Gross Payment Volume (GPV) reached $210 billion globally in 2025. The Square platform is available in various countries, including the United States, Canada, Japan, Australia, Ireland, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

Cash App

Cash App, a mobile payment service, primarily serves users in the United States. The broad addressable market for Cash App in the U.S. was estimated at $9 trillion as of a 2021 investor day presentation, broken down into $4 trillion for sending, $2 trillion for spending, and $3 trillion for investing. A more direct market opportunity for Cash App was cited as $60 billion in the U.S. Furthermore, the wider U.S. digital wallet market, encompassing services like Cash App, is projected to represent an $800 billion opportunity in the U.S. equity market by 2024. Cash App reported 57 million monthly active users in 2024, with nearly all users based in the U.S.

Afterpay (Buy Now, Pay Later - BNPL)

Afterpay offers buy now, pay later (BNPL) services globally. The addressable market size for BNPL services is considered to be in the "trillions" globally, as Afterpay aims to disrupt traditional credit card spending. Afterpay operates in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United States, and the United Kingdom. As of April 2025, Afterpay had 24 million customers and 348,000 merchants worldwide. The global cashless payments market, of which BNPL is a part, reached $93 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14% towards 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Block (symbol: SQ) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives across its Square and Cash App ecosystems, as well as strategic investments in emerging technologies and markets.

  1. Expansion and Monetization of Cash App: Growth in Cash App's monthly active users (MAUs) and increased engagement are significant drivers. In Q3 2025, Cash App's gross profit surged by 24% year-over-year, with MAUs reaching 58 million. Block is focused on accelerating active user growth and increasing network density, particularly by driving more customers to the Cash App Card as a gateway to broader banking offerings and increasing paycheck deposit actives. The expansion of Cash App Borrow has also shown substantial growth, with a 134% increase in originations. New features like "Cash App Pools" for group payments and the expansion of "Tap to Pay on iPhone" for business sellers using Cash App are aimed at enhancing engagement and monetization.
  2. Growth and Enhanced Offerings within the Square Ecosystem: The Square segment continues to be a crucial revenue driver. Square's Gross Payment Volume (GPV) accelerated to 12% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with strong international performance. Gross profit for Square increased by 9%, primarily driven by software, integrated payments, and banking products. Block is investing in expanding Square's platforms, such as the food and beverage platform, by introducing new tools like voice ordering, ingredient-level cost control, and AI-powered insights for restaurants, aiming to attract higher-value merchant segments. Increased investments in field sales, partner programs, and targeted marketing are also expected to improve Square's GPV and gross profit through both customer retention and acquisition.
  3. Scaling of Buy Now, Pay Later (Afterpay) and its Integration: The Afterpay service continues to contribute significantly to revenue. In Q3 2025, Afterpay's Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) grew by 17%, generating $299 million in gross profit. A key strategy for future growth is the closer integration of Afterpay with Cash App, allowing users to manage their buy now, pay later installments directly within the Cash App. This integration, particularly with the Cash App Card, is anticipated to drive increased spending and deeper engagement across Block's platforms.
  4. Strategic Investments in AI and Bitcoin Infrastructure: Block is making substantial investments in artificial intelligence and Bitcoin infrastructure to broaden global financial access. These investments are leading to new product innovations, including Square AI and enhanced Bitcoin payment integrations. Proto, Block's Bitcoin mining business, began generating revenue in Q3 2025 and has a robust pipeline for 2026 and beyond. Furthermore, upcoming Cash App releases are expected to highlight the company's roadmap for AI integration within the Cash App ecosystem, driving future growth.
  5. International Expansion of Square and Cash App: International markets present a significant opportunity for Block. Square's international GPV grew by a notable 26% year-over-year in Q3 2025, significantly outperforming its U.S. growth. This trend indicates that expanding Block's offerings to new geographies and deepening its penetration in existing international markets for both Square and Cash App will be a crucial driver of revenue growth in the coming years.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Block expanded its share repurchase program by an additional $3 billion, following the completion of a previous $1 billion plan, as announced on August 1, 2024.
  • Under a program initiated on November 2, 2023, Block completed the repurchase of 38,677,000 shares for $2,531.62 million by June 30, 2025.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, Block repurchased 12.5 million shares of its Class A common stock for a total of $692 million, with $1.5 billion remaining available under the current authorization as of June 30, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Total shares outstanding increased by over 15% in fiscal year 2022, rising from approximately 502 million to 579 million.
  • During the first quarter of 2023, shares outstanding grew by 4% to reach 602 million.
  • The acquisition of Afterpay, finalized on January 31, 2022, was primarily a $29 billion stock deal.

Outbound Investments

  • Block completed the acquisition of Afterpay, a "buy now, pay later" service, for $29 billion in stock on January 31, 2022.
  • In March 2021, Block (then Square) acquired a majority stake in the music streaming platform Tidal for $293 million in a transaction involving both stock and cash.
  • Square announced the acquisition of Credit Karma Tax for $50 million in November 2020.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures as a percentage of current assets were approximately 0.97% in 2022, 0.69% in 2023, 0.64% in 2024, and are forecast to remain at 0.64% in 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for the second half of 2025 include the rollout of the Proto hardware, which targets an addressable market of $3 billion to $6 billion.
  • Block is increasing investments in hardware to drive its go-to-market strategy for Square.

Better Bets than Block (XYZ)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to XYZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.8%13.8%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.2%-11.2%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Block

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Mkt Price66.0560.04-81.1975.99239.7375.99
Mkt Cap40.357.035.119.526.561.237.7
Rev LTM23,97432,86221,11210,6803,4597,00815,896
Op Inc LTM2,3086,2966,3442,1115401,8902,209
FCF LTM1,8325,5655,1572,8667691,8072,349
FCF 3Y Avg1,1155,2654,1292,2323617971,674
CFO LTM1,9736,4266,7723,5009721,8072,736
CFO 3Y Avg1,2715,9725,6402,8775278282,074

Growth & Margins

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%4.5%6.7%21.0%37.0%48.6%13.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.6%6.7%7.5%6.8%34.4%23.3%10.0%
Rev Chg Q2.3%7.3%8.0%0.5%33.6%3.3%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.8%2.0%0.1%7.3%0.7%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM9.6%19.2%30.0%19.8%15.6%27.0%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%17.9%26.7%19.8%-13.4%2.9%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.1%0.7%-0.1%5.1%-6.0%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%19.6%32.1%32.8%28.1%25.8%26.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%19.0%28.4%29.7%17.8%10.6%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.6%16.9%24.4%26.8%22.2%25.8%23.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%16.8%20.7%23.0%11.2%9.6%14.0%

Valuation

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Mkt Cap40.357.035.119.526.561.237.7
P/S1.71.71.71.87.78.71.8
P/EBIT19.68.85.76.839.317.213.0
P/E12.911.610.411.1113.521.412.2
P/CFO20.48.95.25.627.233.914.7
Total Yield7.8%8.6%9.6%10.2%0.9%4.7%8.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%7.5%5.3%9.4%1.6%0.5%4.1%
D/E0.20.20.80.80.30.10.3
Net D/E-0.10.00.80.70.2-0.10.1

Returns

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
1M Rtn3.7%-1.9%-10.0%10.4%-5.7%3.7%
3M Rtn-10.4%-9.8%--4.1%-2.5%-21.8%-9.8%
6M Rtn1.4%-17.8%-4.4%13.6%-36.1%1.4%
12M Rtn-27.5%-31.8%--27.3%15.3%-14.3%-27.3%
3Y Rtn8.5%-12.8%--13.5%726.9%575.5%8.5%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%-4.2%-8.5%10.2%-9.7%3.4%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%-14.8%--9.0%-7.5%-26.8%-14.8%
6M Excs Rtn-11.4%-30.6%--8.5%0.7%-49.0%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-43.2%-47.8%--43.5%-1.1%-30.9%-43.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.3%-94.3%--91.8%620.0%500.1%-72.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Cash App14,68211,03212,3155,9681,106
Square7,0336,2945,1933,5293,462
Corporate and Other201206152  
Caviar revenue    146
Total21,91617,53217,6619,4984,714


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$66.05 
Market Cap ($ Bil)40.3 
First Trading Date11/19/2015 
Distance from 52W High-28.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$67.60$66.77
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-2.3%-1.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.7%53.8%
Downside Capture200.86213.17
Upside Capture105.20151.07
Correlation (SPY)51.7%59.3%
XYZ Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.802.012.012.161.691.89
Up Beta1.881.331.441.351.331.54
Down Beta0.122.702.612.671.701.95
Up Capture90%137%101%218%258%1140%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days6212862130390
Down Capture251%215%233%216%148%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12193361116357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of XYZ With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 XYZSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-24.6%18.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.1%
Annualized Volatility53.5%19.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.330.750.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 52.7%59.5%-1.8%17.0%35.5%34.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of XYZ With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 XYZSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-21.9%16.3%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.7%
Annualized Volatility60.4%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.160.720.700.970.510.170.60
Correlation With Other Assets 49.0%63.2%8.5%11.0%45.8%37.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of XYZ With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 XYZSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return18.3%13.0%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.3%
Annualized Volatility57.4%22.3%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.540.540.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 44.0%59.3%4.9%16.8%42.5%24.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,198,311
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-11.6%
Average Daily Volume8,352,082
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.30
Basic Shares Quantity610,199,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-7.7%-12.2%-13.2%
8/7/2025-4.5%-1.1%-1.3%
5/1/2025-20.4%-14.3%5.6%
2/20/2025-17.7%-22.6%-26.4%
11/7/2024-0.9%10.8%26.8%
8/1/20240.8%2.2%10.3%
5/2/2024-1.2%4.1%-8.5%
2/22/202416.1%16.9%18.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131212
# Negative111212
Median Positive9.6%9.6%18.0%
Median Negative-4.5%-10.2%-17.5%
Max Positive26.1%25.0%47.8%
Max Negative-20.4%-22.6%-27.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021