Tearsheet

Global Payments (GPN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $79.57 | Market Cap: $19.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Global Payments (GPN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $79.57
Market Cap: $19.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GPN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Global Payments (GPN) experienced a stock movement of approximately -9.7% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors:

1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: While Global Payments reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.26 for the third quarter of 2025, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $3.23, the company's adjusted net revenue of $2.43 billion slightly missed analyst expectations of $2.44 billion. This revenue shortfall, despite the EPS beat, likely contributed to investor concern regarding top-line growth.

2. Analyst Downgrade: On October 22, 2025, KeyCorp downgraded Global Payments' stock from an "overweight" rating to a "sector weight" rating. A downgrade from a prominent research firm can negatively impact investor sentiment and lead to selling pressure on the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GPN Return19%-37%-26%29%-11%-29%-55%
Peers Return30%2%-20%17%43%-13%57%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GPN Win Rate58%42%50%58%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate58%52%42%65%67%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GPN Max Drawdown-36%-45%-31%-3%-27%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-14%-31%-10%-4%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FISV, SYF, MA, V, PYPL. See GPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGPNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven280 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven220 days1480 days

Compare to FISV, SYF, MA, V, PYPL


In The Past

Global Payments's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Global Payments (GPN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-8.1%
GPN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282022GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-15.2%-29.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-8.1%
GPN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282022GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-15.2%-29.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Global Payments

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
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Growth & Margins

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
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Valuation

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
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Returns

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Merchant Solutions7,1526,2055,6664,6884,099
Issuer Solutions2,3992,2462,1661,981605
Consumer Solutions183620784830227
Intersegment eliminations-79-96-91-76-19
Total9,6548,9768,5247,4244,912


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Merchant Solutions2,3452,0401,7261,1631,149
Issuer Solutions41035633327882
Impairment of goodwill0-833   
Consumer Solutions-45413613919
Net gain (loss) on business dispositions-137-199   
Corporate-898-778-836-685-459
Total1,7166401,359894791


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,809,870
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.3%
Average Daily Volume2,674,763
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.92
Basic Shares Quantity239,789,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Watson Patricia A 11102025Buy75.061,33199,905198,984Form