Tearsheet

Global Payments (GPN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $82.205 | Market Cap: $19.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Global Payments (GPN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $82.205
Market Cap: $19.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
  Key risks
GPN key risks include [1] the failure to realize expected growth benefits and cost savings from integrating its Worldpay acquisition and [2] operational underperformance tied to its ongoing business transformation activities.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
6 Key risks
GPN key risks include [1] the failure to realize expected growth benefits and cost savings from integrating its Worldpay acquisition and [2] operational underperformance tied to its ongoing business transformation activities.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GPN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Global Payments (GPN) stock moved by -6.9% due to several key factors.

1. Analyst Downgrades and Cautious Outlooks: Rothschild & Co Redburn issued a "sell" rating on Global Payments in early December 2025, contributing to negative investor sentiment. Additionally, StockInvest.us forecasted a potential fall of over 12% for the stock in the subsequent three months, indicating a cautious short-term outlook.

2. Ongoing Worldpay Acquisition Integration Risks and Financing: While the European Commission approved the Worldpay acquisition in December 2025, the extensive integration process, the company's efforts to market up to $6.2 billion in bond sales to finance the deal in November 2025, and the anticipated closing in the first quarter of 2026 likely fostered continued investor uncertainty regarding execution and potential financial leverage.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GPN Return19%-37%-26%29%-11%-26%-53%
Peers Return30%2%-20%17%43%-9%62%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GPN Win Rate58%42%50%58%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%52%42%65%67%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GPN Max Drawdown-36%-45%-31%-3%-27%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-14%-31%-10%-4%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FISV, SYF, MA, V, PYPL. See GPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGPNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven280 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven220 days1,480 days

Compare to FISV, SYF, MA, V, PYPL


In The Past

Global Payments's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Global Payments (GPN)

Better Bets than Global Payments (GPN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-8.1%
GPN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282022GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-15.2%-29.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-8.1%
GPN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282022GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.1%-15.2%-29.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Global Payments

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
Mkt Price82.2268.3383.23565.47344.4160.1882.72
Mkt Cap19.736.930.5513.4445.757.247.0
Rev LTM10,68021,16014,98930,24140,00032,86225,700
Op Inc LTM2,1116,078-17,64526,5566,2966,296
FCF LTM2,8664,6199,75015,86721,5775,5657,658
FCF 3Y Avg2,2324,3129,22812,41219,9895,2657,246
CFO LTM3,5006,3399,75016,95323,0596,4268,088
CFO 3Y Avg2,8775,8489,22813,56621,2555,9727,600

Growth & Margins

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
Rev Chg LTM21.0%5.2%0.5%14.6%11.3%4.5%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.8%6.8%10.1%13.2%10.9%6.7%8.4%
Rev Chg Q0.5%0.9%0.2%16.8%11.5%7.3%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%0.2%0.1%4.0%2.8%1.8%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM19.8%28.7%-58.3%66.4%19.2%28.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.8%27.0%-58.2%66.8%17.9%27.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-1.3%-0.3%-0.1%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM32.8%30.0%65.0%56.1%57.6%19.6%44.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.7%29.1%64.3%50.4%58.9%19.0%40.1%
FCF/Rev LTM26.8%21.8%65.0%52.5%53.9%16.9%39.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.0%21.5%64.3%46.0%55.4%16.8%34.5%

Valuation

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
Mkt Cap19.736.930.5513.4445.757.247.0
P/S1.91.71.717.111.01.91.9
P/EBIT6.96.2-30.117.89.89.8
P/E11.410.27.338.022.013.012.2
P/CFO5.75.82.730.519.29.97.9
Total Yield10.0%9.8%15.4%2.6%5.3%7.7%8.7%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.8%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.4%5.5%50.5%2.7%4.6%7.5%6.5%
D/E0.80.80.60.00.10.20.4
Net D/E0.70.8-0.20.00.00.00.0

Returns

GPNFISVSYFMAVPYPLMedian
NameGlobal P.Fiserv Synchron.Masterca.Visa PayPal  
1M Rtn13.6%9.0%18.1%5.3%5.7%-2.8%7.4%
3M Rtn-3.4%-49.1%11.7%-5.4%-0.3%-12.1%-4.4%
6M Rtn8.6%-57.7%36.6%5.2%1.6%-12.0%3.4%
12M Rtn-27.5%-66.5%26.1%7.1%9.0%-33.6%-10.2%
3Y Rtn-10.6%-30.7%168.7%66.4%70.3%-12.9%27.9%
1M Excs Rtn12.9%8.2%17.4%4.6%5.0%-3.5%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-5.5%-49.9%7.9%-4.7%0.7%-13.3%-5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-3.8%-70.0%24.2%-7.1%-10.8%-24.4%-9.0%
12M Excs Rtn-38.2%-77.7%13.4%-3.6%-0.9%-44.8%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.2%-101.8%82.5%-7.8%-4.3%-86.7%-45.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Merchant Solutions7,1526,2055,6664,6884,099
Issuer Solutions2,3992,2462,1661,981605
Consumer Solutions183620784830227
Intersegment eliminations-79-96-91-76-19
Total9,6548,9768,5247,4244,912


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Merchant Solutions2,3452,0401,7261,1631,149
Issuer Solutions41035633327882
Impairment of goodwill0-833   
Consumer Solutions-45413613919
Net gain (loss) on business dispositions-137-199   
Corporate-898-778-836-685-459
Total1,7166401,359894791


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,194,623
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.9%
Average Daily Volume1,965,138
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.66
Basic Shares Quantity239,789,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20253.7%-1.8%3.4%
8/6/20259.1%5.1%11.3%
5/6/20250.0%4.9%-3.2%
2/13/2025-4.3%-3.0%-13.2%
10/30/20244.3%8.4%20.5%
8/7/20246.9%11.5%17.1%
5/1/2024-11.2%-9.7%-18.1%
2/14/20242.1%-2.7%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131111
# Negative111313
Median Positive3.7%5.1%12.1%
Median Negative-8.6%-7.0%-13.1%
Max Positive9.5%11.5%23.8%
Max Negative-11.2%-22.2%-20.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Watson Patricia A 11102025Buy75.061,33199,905198,984Form