Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49459%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 589x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 167%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -41%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42993%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42993%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -75%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49459%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 589x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 167%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -41%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42993%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42993%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -75%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLPH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Talphera (TLPH) stock moved significantly from approximately August 31, 2025, to today: 1. Achievement of NEPHRO CRRT Pivotal Trial Enrollment Milestones. Talphera announced on August 14, 2025, that 15 patients had been enrolled in its NEPHRO clinical study, with expectations for study completion by year-end 2025 and a planned PMA submission in the first quarter of 2026. Shortly after, on August 25, 2025, the company announced it had achieved the 17-patient enrollment milestone in the NEPHRO CRRT pivotal trial. This milestone was a condition required to close the second tranche of a previously announced three-tranche financing.

2. Strategic Private Placement Financing. On September 8, 2025, Talphera announced a significant private placement financing of up to $29 million. This financing included a strategic investment from CorMedix, Inc., alongside existing and new financial investors, which was seen as validation of the Niyad market opportunity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLPH Return-41%-55%-80%-67%-29%140%-97%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLPH Win Rate33%17%17%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLPH Max Drawdown-64%-60%-84%-80%-31%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLPHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven11865.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven177.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-69.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven231.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Talphera's stock fell -99.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -99.2% loss requires a 11865.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Talphera (TLPH)

Better Bets than Talphera (TLPH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLPH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Talphera

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLPHLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTalphera Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price1.301,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM053,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-1322,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM-12-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg-16-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM-1210,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg-167,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

TLPHLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTalphera Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM-93.2%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-40.8%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.0%
Rev Chg Q-37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-49,459.3%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-20,424.9%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2,137.0%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-42,992.6%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-18,334.7%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-42,992.6%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%18.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-18,375.0%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%17.1%

Valuation

TLPHLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTalphera Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.0928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S588.612.94.83.32.31.94.1
P/EBIT-1.438.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-1.449.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO-1.462.618.412.311.15.511.7
Total Yield-71.1%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-104.1%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%4.9%
D/E0.00.10.10.20.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.40.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

TLPHLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameTalphera Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn-7.8%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%10.8%
3M Rtn139.0%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%19.4%
6M Rtn167.2%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%34.4%
12M Rtn68.8%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%17.7%
3Y Rtn-42.0%182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%-13.3%
1M Excs Rtn-7.8%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%10.9%
3M Excs Rtn146.7%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%13.9%
6M Excs Rtn152.4%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%19.6%
12M Excs Rtn70.3%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%4.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-118.2%116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-84.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of innovative therapies for use in medically supervised settings10   
Contract and other collaboration  230
DSUVIA  110
Zalviso  011
Total10352


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of innovative therapies for use in medically supervised settings-18    
Total-18    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of innovative therapies for use in medically supervised settings 47   
Total 47   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,936,749
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.1%
Average Daily Volume362,260
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.35
Basic Shares Quantity34,530,377
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021