Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.625 | Market Cap: $622.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.625Market Cap: $622.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Pharmaceutical Innovation. Themes include Advanced Drug Delivery, Specialty Disease Therapeutics, and Patient-Centric Drug Development. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -116%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 179% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | ||
| Key risksAQST key risks include [1] its critical dependence on securing regulatory approval for its lead product candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Pharmaceutical Innovation. Themes include Advanced Drug Delivery, Specialty Disease Therapeutics, and Patient-Centric Drug Development. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -116%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 179% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Key risksAQST key risks include [1] its critical dependence on securing regulatory approval for its lead product candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AQST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Aquestive Therapeutics (AQST) experienced a significant stock movement from approximately late August 2025 to December 18, 2025, primarily driven by positive developments regarding its lead product candidate, Anaphylm, and subsequent analyst confidence.
1. FDA Not Requiring Advisory Committee Meeting for Anaphylm. On September 4, 2025, Aquestive Therapeutics announced that the FDA would not require an advisory committee meeting to discuss the New Drug Application (NDA) for Anaphylm (dibutepinephrine) Sublingual Film. This decision by the regulatory body generally streamlines the approval process and indicates a potentially clearer path to market, leading to a 28.1% increase in shares on the day of the announcement and a 42.2% rally year-to-date at that time.
2. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases. Following the positive FDA news, several financial analysts expressed increased confidence in AQST. Oppenheimer, for instance, boosted its price target for Aquestive Therapeutics from $7.00 to $8.00 on September 8, 2025, with this action cited as spurring a "dramatic 43.77% rise in stock price". Additionally, JMP Securities raised its price target from $9.00 to $12.00 on October 9, 2025, and Zacks Research upgraded shares to a "strong-buy" rating on October 17, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AQST Return | -8% | -27% | -77% | 124% | 76% | 63% | 0% |
| Peers Return | � | -36% | -0% | 36% | 69% | -3% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AQST Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 33% | 44% | 54% | 52% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AQST Max Drawdown | -74% | -39% | -84% | -20% | -0% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -48% | -37% | -23% | -19% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPRY, AMPH, VTRS, ETON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AQST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 968.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1201 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 338.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 523.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY
In The Past
Aquestive Therapeutics's stock fell -90.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -90.6% loss requires a 968.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Aquestive Therapeutics Earnings Notes | ||
| Aquestive Therapeutics Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AQST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Aquestive Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 143 |
| Op Inc LTM | -3 |
| FCF LTM | 13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8 |
| CFO LTM | 21 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | -7.7 |
| P/E | -9.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.8 |
| Total Yield | -8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and advancement of a product pipeline for the treatment of severe allergic reactions | 51 | ||||
| Co-development and research fees | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| License and royalty revenue | 2 | 5 | 14 | 7 | |
| Manufacture and supply revenue | 36 | 35 | 25 | 39 | |
| Proprietary product sales, net | 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| Total | 51 | 48 | 51 | 46 | 53 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and advancement of a product pipeline for the treatment of severe allergic reactions | -15 | ||||
| Total | -15 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and advancement of a product pipeline for the treatment of severe allergic reactions | -8 | ||||
| Total | -8 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 2.2% | -7.0% | 10.3% |
| 8/11/2025 | -2.1% | 8.3% | 26.4% |
| 5/12/2025 | -19.6% | -14.0% | 19.6% |
| 1/13/2025 | 1.0% | 0.6% | -3.6% |
| 11/4/2024 | -7.7% | -1.6% | -16.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | 0.9% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| 5/7/2024 | -8.7% | -5.3% | -16.9% |
| 8/7/2023 | -5.4% | -9.8% | -22.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -10.2% | -16.6% |
| Max Positive | 13.2% | 26.4% | 64.3% |
| Max Negative | -19.6% | -35.2% | -26.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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