Tearsheet

Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.275 | Market Cap: $217.2 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.275
Market Cap: $217.2 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.1, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
4   Key risks
HRTX key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and cash burn, Show more.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.1, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
7 Key risks
HRTX key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and cash burn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HRTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss.

Heron Therapeutics reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, with net revenue of $38.2 million, which fell below the analyst consensus estimate of $39.8 million. Additionally, the company reported a non-GAAP earnings per share loss of $0.05, wider than the projected loss of $0.0153 per share, leading to a decline of approximately 3.4% in shares in pre-market trading. 2. Q2 2025 Earnings Impact.

Although slightly preceding the specified period, Heron Therapeutics' Q2 2025 earnings, announced on August 8, 2025, missed both EPS and revenue forecasts. This resulted in a significant stock decline of 28.26% on that day, establishing negative momentum that likely influenced the stock performance entering the requested timeframe.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HRTX Return-10%-57%-73%-32%-10%-10%-94%
Peers Return4%27%-10%-5%-7%12%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRTX Win Rate58%33%17%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%47%40%42%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRTX Max Drawdown-56%-61%-75%-78%-38%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-9%-31%-22%-24%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PCRX, MRK, BHC, ABBV, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3819.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1348.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Heron Therapeutics's stock fell -97.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -97.4% loss requires a 3819.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)

Better Bets than Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HRTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heron Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Mkt Price1.2726.5599.186.82224.3125.0425.80
Mkt Cap0.21.2247.52.5396.8142.472.4
Rev LTM15571764,2359,85859,64462,78634,751
Op Inc LTM26022,3911,88614,36615,4178,126
FCF LTM-3112413,0491,10419,68410,3765,740
FCF 3Y Avg-4714913,68545020,0128,9274,688
CFO LTM-3014117,0651,50620,86013,0777,292
CFO 3Y Avg-4616517,50678020,96212,1276,454

Growth & Margins

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM12.6%3.1%1.7%7.1%7.4%3.9%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.6%3.1%2.9%6.4%1.2%-13.2%3.0%
Rev Chg Q16.5%6.5%3.7%5.3%9.1%-5.9%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%1.6%1.0%1.3%2.3%-1.6%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.0%8.4%34.9%19.1%24.1%24.6%21.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-38.7%11.1%23.7%18.2%27.0%19.4%18.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.4%3.7%0.1%0.6%-1.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-19.5%19.7%26.6%15.3%35.0%20.8%20.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-35.3%23.8%28.2%8.0%37.0%18.9%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.1%17.3%20.3%11.2%33.0%16.5%16.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-36.1%21.6%22.0%4.4%35.3%13.9%17.8%

Valuation

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Mkt Cap0.21.2247.52.5396.8142.472.4
P/S1.41.63.30.26.92.31.9
P/EBIT38.519.99.11.490.212.216.1
P/E-15.852.911.024.4171.514.719.6
P/CFO-7.18.012.31.619.611.19.6
Total Yield-6.3%1.9%13.0%4.1%3.4%13.5%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.9%0.0%2.8%6.7%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-28.2%16.0%5.5%18.1%6.2%5.5%5.9%
D/E0.70.40.29.10.20.40.4
Net D/E0.40.20.18.40.20.30.2

Returns

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
1M Rtn16.5%11.2%7.7%11.3%-4.1%-0.2%9.4%
3M Rtn5.0%1.8%23.3%-0.1%2.3%5.9%3.6%
6M Rtn-36.5%9.9%27.4%10.4%22.9%8.5%10.1%
12M Rtn-23.0%33.9%2.8%-11.2%32.4%1.6%2.2%
3Y Rtn-53.6%-30.9%-0.5%-4.3%56.0%-42.1%-17.6%
1M Excs Rtn15.8%10.4%7.0%10.5%-4.9%-0.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn-2.9%-1.7%21.3%-2.4%0.4%4.2%-0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-48.9%-2.4%15.0%-2.0%10.5%-3.8%-2.2%
12M Excs Rtn-31.7%22.6%-9.4%-23.8%22.8%-6.1%-7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.0%-110.1%-68.0%-79.3%-17.0%-111.3%-94.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
CINVANTI net product sales95877488
ZYNRELEF net product sales18103 
SUSTOL net product sales1310101
APONVIE net product sales10  
Total1271088689


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35,966,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume2,103,420
Days-to-Cover Short Interest17.10
Basic Shares Quantity170,348,000
Short % of Basic Shares21.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-3.4%-5.9%11.0%
8/8/2025-28.3%-26.6%-29.3%
2/27/202519.9%40.4%35.1%
11/12/2024-30.4%-36.4%-8.2%
8/6/2024-25.1%-23.6%-32.6%
3/12/202427.5%25.0%24.6%
11/14/202359.3%142.6%237.0%
8/14/202310.9%14.6%-15.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1078
# Negative111413
Median Positive9.5%25.0%24.8%
Median Negative-12.3%-10.6%-21.2%
Max Positive59.3%142.6%237.0%
Max Negative-30.4%-36.4%-37.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023312202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021