Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%

Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 26.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%

Key risks
HRTX key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and cash burn, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -99%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 26.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%
7 Key risks
HRTX key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and cash burn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Short-Lived Positive Earnings Reaction and Subsequent Decline.

Heron Therapeutics reported better-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings on February 26, 2026, with an EPS of -$0.02 against an estimated -$0.03, and revenue of $40.59 million exceeding the $39.53 million consensus. This news initially triggered an 11.1% gain in the stock price the day after the announcement. However, this positive momentum was not sustained, as the stock subsequently drifted 16.7% lower over the next 56 days following the earnings report, indicating that the initial positive reaction failed to hold investor confidence over a longer period.

2. Persistent Net Losses and Delayed Path to Profitability.

Despite positive revenue growth, Heron Therapeutics reported a net loss of $20.19 million for the full year 2025 and an EPS of -$0.13 over the last four quarters. Although the company issued 2026 guidance for net product sales between $173 million and $183 million and adjusted EBITDA of $10 million to $20 million, the forecast for the company to achieve profitability has been pushed back to 2027. This prolonged period of unprofitability and a deferred breakeven date likely contributed to investor apprehension regarding the company's financial stability and long-term outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.5% change in HRTX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120254242026Change
Stock Price ($)1.301.19-8.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)155155-0.1%
P/S Multiple1.41.41.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)170188-9.5%
Cumulative Contribution-8.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HRTX-8.5% 
Market (SPY)4.2%49.1%
Sector (XLV)-6.9%26.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.6% change in HRTX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020254242026Change
Stock Price ($)1.261.19-5.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1501553.5%
P/S Multiple1.31.411.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)154188-18.2%
Cumulative Contribution-5.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HRTX-5.6% 
Market (SPY)7.0%46.1%
Sector (XLV)4.0%20.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -45.9% change in HRTX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254242026Change
Stock Price ($)2.201.19-45.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1441557.4%
P/S Multiple2.31.4-38.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)153188-18.6%
Cumulative Contribution-45.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HRTX-45.9% 
Market (SPY)28.1%32.3%
Sector (XLV)0.1%24.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.2% change in HRTX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234242026Change
Stock Price ($)1.511.19-21.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10815543.9%
P/S Multiple1.71.4-13.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)119188-36.7%
Cumulative Contribution-21.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HRTX-21.2% 
Market (SPY)79.8%22.7%
Sector (XLV)16.6%18.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HRTX Return-57%-73%-32%-10%-15%-23%-95%
Peers Return27%-10%-5%-7%13%-3%11%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%89%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRTX Win Rate33%17%50%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%47%40%42%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRTX Max Drawdown-61%-75%-78%-38%-31%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-31%-22%-24%-19%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PCRX, MRK, BHC, ABBV, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3819.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1348.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to PCRX, MRK, BHC, ABBV, PFE

In The Past

Heron Therapeutics's stock fell -97.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -97.4% loss requires a 3819.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)

Heron Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in developing treatments to address unmet patient needs. The company's product candidates utilize its proprietary Biochronomer, a drug delivery technology, which delivers therapeutic levels of a range of short-acting pharmacological agents over a period from days to weeks with a single administration. It offers SUSTOL (granisetron), an extended-release injection for the prevention of acute and delayed nausea and vomiting associated with moderately emetogenic chemotherapy, or anthracycline and cyclophosphamide combination chemotherapy regimens; and CINVANTI, an intravenous formulation of aprepitant, a substance P/neurokinin-1 receptor antagonist for the prevention of acute and delayed nausea and vomiting associated with highly emetogenic cancer chemotherapy, as well as nausea and vomiting associated with moderately emetogenic cancer chemotherapy. The company is also developing ZYNRELEF, a dual-acting local anesthetic that delivers a fixed-dose combination of the local anesthetic bupivacaine and a low dose of the nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug meloxicam; HTX-019, an investigational agent for the prevention of postoperative nausea and vomiting; and HTX-034 for postoperative pain management, as well as is in Phase Ib/II clinical study in patients undergoing bunionectomy. The company was formerly known as A.P. Pharma, Inc. and changed its name to Heron Therapeutics, Inc. in January 2014. Heron Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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Heron Therapeutics is like:

  • Pacira BioSciences for extended-release pain management, plus anti-nausea drugs for oncology.
  • Merck's chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) portfolio, but also with innovative extended-release pain medications.

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  • SUSTOL: An extended-release injection to prevent acute and delayed nausea and vomiting associated with moderately emetogenic chemotherapy.
  • CINVANTI: An intravenous formulation of aprepitant for the prevention of acute and delayed nausea and vomiting associated with highly or moderately emetogenic cancer chemotherapy.
  • ZYNRELEF: A dual-acting local anesthetic that combines bupivacaine and meloxicam for postoperative pain management.
  • HTX-019: An investigational agent in development for the prevention of postoperative nausea and vomiting.
  • HTX-034: An investigational agent in development for postoperative pain management.

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Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) sells its pharmaceutical products primarily to other companies and organizations within the healthcare sector.

The provided company description does not list the names of specific major customer companies. However, based on the nature of its products (pharmaceuticals for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting, and postoperative pain management), its major customers generally include:

  • Hospitals and Healthcare Systems: These institutions administer products such as SUSTOL and CINVANTI to patients undergoing chemotherapy, and ZYNRELEF for postoperative pain management in surgical settings.
  • Oncology Centers and Clinics: Specialized facilities focused on cancer treatment would be purchasers and users of Heron's supportive care products like SUSTOL and CINVANTI.
  • Pharmaceutical Wholesalers and Distributors: These companies serve as intermediaries, purchasing pharmaceutical products from manufacturers like Heron Therapeutics and distributing them to hospitals, clinics, and pharmacies across the healthcare supply chain.

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  • Baxter International Inc. (BAX)
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)
  • Siegfried AG (SFN)
  • Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA (FMS)
  • Hovione LLC
  • Recro Gainesville LLC
  • ChemCon GmbH
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Craig Collard, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Collard was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Heron Therapeutics in April 2023. He most recently served as CEO of Veloxis Pharmaceutics A/S (now Veloxis Pharmaceuticals Inc.) from 2015 to December 2021, leading it through its acquisition by Asahi Kasei Corp. Prior to Veloxis, Mr. Collard was CEO and Chairman of the Board of Cornerstone Therapeutics, Inc. from 2011 until its acquisition by Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A. in 2014. He also held roles as Interim CFO (2010-2011) and President (2008-2011) at Cornerstone. Mr. Collard founded, and served as President and CEO of, Cornerstone BioPharma Inc. from 2004 to 2008, and also founded Carolina Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in 2003, serving as its President and CEO. Additionally, he served as Chairman of Opiant Pharmaceuticals, Inc. from October 2018 until its acquisition by Indivior in March 2023.


Ira Duarte, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Duarte joined Heron as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer in June 2023. She brings over twenty-five years of experience in finance and accounting, including more than a decade in the pharmaceutical industry. Prior to Heron, Ms. Duarte held financial leadership roles from 2016 to 2023, notably as CFO at Veloxis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. She also served as Corporate Controller at BioDelivery Sciences, Inc. from 2014 to 2016, and as Senior Director of Corporate Finance for Chiesi USA, Inc. and Director of Accounting and Financial Planning for Cornerstone Therapeutics, Inc. from 2009 to 2014. She was a key member of the team that facilitated the sale of Cornerstone Therapeutics, Inc. to Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A.


William Forbes, Executive Vice President, Chief Development Officer
Mr. Forbes is responsible for overseeing the company's development pipeline.


Mark Hensley, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Hensley is responsible for managing the day-to-day operational execution of the company's commercial strategy.


Brett Fleshman, Chief Business Officer
Mr. Fleshman joined Heron as Chief Business Officer in August 2024. He has 25 years of experience in corporate and business development, commercial strategy, and marketing within the pharmaceuticals, biologics, and surgical devices sectors. Prior to Heron, he was a Managing Director at NovaQuest Capital Management and served as Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development for Veloxis Pharmaceuticals, where he contributed to a commercialization strategy that led to the company's acquisition by Asahi Kasei in 2020.

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The key risks to Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) include challenges in the commercialization and market acceptance of its new products, the decline of its established oncology franchise due to intense competition, and its overall financial health and need for future financing.

  1. Commercialization and Market Acceptance Challenges for ZYNRELEF: Heron Therapeutics faces significant hurdles in successfully commercializing ZYNRELEF, its dual-acting local anesthetic for postoperative pain. Despite gaining FDA approval and expanded indications, ZYNRELEF has struggled to achieve substantial market penetration, with revenues not exceeding $10 million in any quarter. The product carries "black box warnings" regarding increased risks of serious cardiovascular events (such as heart attack and stroke) and gastrointestinal issues (including bleeding, ulcers, and perforation), which may limit its use or market adoption. Furthermore, ZYNRELEF has specific contraindications, including use during coronary artery bypass graft surgery, and its marketing authorizations in the UK and EU were cancelled as the company does not plan commercial launches in those regions. The anticipated growth for ZYNRELEF is also dependent on a prefilled syringe launch, which is not expected until 2027.
  2. Competition and Decline of Oncology Franchise: The company's oncology franchise, comprising SUSTOL and CINVANTI, has historically been a major revenue driver, contributing approximately 70% of overall revenues as of Q3 2025. However, this segment is facing significant competitive pressures. SUSTOL has seen declining trends due to increased market competition, leading Heron to plan for the wind-down of its commercialization. CINVANTI, while not facing a complete wind-down, is described as "stagnating with minimal growth" amid competitive pressures. The company is also dealing with pending litigation concerning CINVANTI, which introduces legal and timing uncertainties for the oncology franchise.
  3. Financial Health and Need for Future Financing: Heron Therapeutics carries a substantial debt burden, evidenced by weak interest coverage and a high net debt-to-EBITDA ratio. The company has experienced substantial negative free cash flow, indicating that its debt usage is relatively risky. Although a refinancing in 2025 was considered a "meaningful de-risking event," the company's current cash runway is projected only into 2027, suggesting that additional financing will likely be required before any significant product-driven turnaround can occur. Planned increases in commercial investments for 2026, aimed at accelerating long-term revenue, are also expected to temporarily moderate EBITDA growth.

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Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) operates in several addressable markets related to chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV), postoperative pain management, and postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV).

Chemotherapy-Induced Nausea and Vomiting (CINV) Market (for SUSTOL and CINVANTI)

  • Globally, the chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) treatment market was valued at approximately US$ 6,412.0 million at the end of 2023 and is projected to reach US$ 12,688.0 million by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.4%.
  • In the U.S., the CINV treatment market was estimated at US$ 2,475.9 million in 2024 and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 6.0% through 2034.

Postoperative Pain Management Market (for ZYNRELEF and HTX-034)

  • The global postoperative pain therapeutics market was valued at USD 14.71 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 23.0 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.19% from 2025 to 2033.
  • Another estimate indicates the global postoperative pain management market is likely to be valued at US$ 45.13 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach US$ 65.22 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.4%.
  • For ZYNRELEF specifically, its expanded U.S. label covers approximately 13 million surgical procedures annually.
  • North America is a dominant region in the postoperative pain management market, holding over 46.0% of the market share in 2024.

Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting (PONV) Market (for HTX-019)

  • The global postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) market was valued at USD 2,999.53 million in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 5,174.08 million by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.1%.
  • North America leads the PONV treatment market, commanding about 40% of the global market share. The U.S. market alone captured 81.2% of the North American revenue share in 2024.

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Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily driven by the expanding adoption of its acute care products and strategic commercial initiatives. The company anticipates revenue growth from the following key drivers:

  1. Increased Adoption and Expanded Use of ZYNRELEF: ZYNRELEF, an extended-release solution for postoperative pain management, is consistently highlighted as a significant growth engine. The company has seen substantial year-over-year revenue growth for ZYNRELEF, with a 48% increase in Q4 2025 compared to Q4 2024. Key initiatives contributing to this growth include the CrossLink IGNITE program, which aims to boost promotional efforts for ZYNRELEF, and the rollout of the Vial Access Needle (VAN) in late 2024, designed to facilitate rapid preparation and administration in operating rooms. Furthermore, the FDA's approval of an expanded indication for ZYNRELEF in January 2024 broadens its potential patient base. The product also benefits from a permanent J-code (J0668), supporting broader hospital and ambulatory surgical center (ASC) adoption and streamlined reimbursement.
  2. Growth of APONVIE: APONVIE, for the prevention of postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV), is another significant contributor to the Acute Care franchise's growth. The product experienced a 97% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025. Its inclusion in the Fifth Consensus Guidelines for PONV management and the establishment of a dedicated sales team are expected to further support its continued adoption and provide a significant tailwind. APONVIE also received a permanent J-code (J8502), which is anticipated to aid its market penetration.
  3. Strategic Commercial Team Expansion and Targeted Investments: Heron Therapeutics is making strategic investments to accelerate the expansion of its commercial team in key markets. This expansion is aimed at maximizing near-term commercial productivity and pulling forward revenue, particularly for its Acute Care portfolio. These targeted investments, while potentially moderating EBITDA growth in the short term, are expected to drive meaningful top-line revenue growth in the coming years.
  4. Operational Efficiencies and Improved Gross Margins: While not a direct revenue driver, improved operational efficiency and gross margins contribute to the company's financial health, indirectly supporting revenue growth initiatives. Heron has significantly improved its gross margins, reaching approximately 73% in 2025, up from 49% in 2024. This improvement is attributed to better cost control, a more favorable product mix towards higher-margin assets, and production scale-up. The company aims to maintain strong and consistent gross margins while shifting its product mix towards higher-growth assets.

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Share Issuance

  • On August 8, 2025, Heron Therapeutics completed a comprehensive capital restructuring that included a private placement, resulting in $27.7 million in gross proceeds through the issuance of common and preferred equity.
  • In July 2023, the company executed a private placement financing, issuing approximately 20.7 million shares of its common stock at a purchase price of $1.37 per share, generating $30 million.
  • Heron Therapeutics' common shares outstanding have increased by 9.35% in one year, and by an average annual rate of 16% over the past three and five years.

Inbound Investments

  • As part of a capital restructuring on August 8, 2025, Heron Therapeutics received $27.7 million in gross proceeds from a private placement of common and preferred equity with select investors.
  • This August 2025 restructuring also involved the issuance and sale of $35.0 million of new 5.0% senior convertible notes due 2031.
  • In July 2023, institutional investors, including Rubric Capital Management LP, Velan Capital, Clearline Capital, and Hercules Capital, Inc., participated in a $30 million private placement financing into the company.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the last 12 months (prior to March 2026), Heron Therapeutics reported capital expenditures of approximately $317,000.
  • For 2026, the company plans to accelerate the expansion of its commercial team in key markets, which involves targeted investments aimed at maximizing near-term commercial productivity and driving revenue growth for products like ZYNRELEF and APONVIE.

Better Bets vs. Heron Therapeutics (HRTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HRTX.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PGNY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312026PGNYProgynyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CNC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026CNCCenteneDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-0.6%
OSCR_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026OSCROscar HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.0%3.0%-2.6%
WAT_3202026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03202026WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.4%-0.4%-3.3%
GILD_3202026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03202026GILDGilead SciencesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%-2.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Mkt Price1.1924.51111.905.63198.7127.0025.76
Mkt Cap0.21.0277.62.1351.5153.577.8
Rev LTM15572665,01110,26661,16062,57935,713
Op Inc LTM-33422,1082,21420,09117,4069,810
FCF LTM-2813712,36099317,8169,0755,034
FCF 3Y Avg-3715213,2001,00319,2377,9014,452
CFO LTM-2815216,4721,40019,03011,7046,552
CFO 3Y Avg-3616516,9821,34320,22511,0496,196

Growth & Margins

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM7.4%3.6%1.3%6.7%8.6%-1.6%5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.0%2.9%3.2%8.1%1.9%-12.0%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-0.5%5.1%5.0%9.3%10.0%-1.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%1.3%1.2%2.4%2.5%-0.3%1.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM78.0%-65.5%9.3%19.2%68.9%16.5%17.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg68.1%-10.2%170.1%16.8%9.6%55.5%36.1%
Op Mgn LTM-1.6%4.6%34.0%21.6%32.8%27.8%24.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-32.2%10.5%23.5%19.7%26.3%19.6%19.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.7%-3.7%-0.9%1.7%8.8%0.9%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-17.8%20.9%25.3%13.6%31.1%18.7%19.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.6%23.6%26.8%14.0%35.5%17.8%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.0%18.8%19.0%9.7%29.1%14.5%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-27.3%21.7%20.8%10.5%33.8%12.7%16.7%

Valuation

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
Mkt Cap0.21.0277.62.1351.5153.577.8
P/S1.41.44.30.25.72.51.9
P/Op Inc-88.330.912.60.917.58.810.7
P/EBIT-21.233.112.41.137.015.113.7
P/E-11.1148.115.213.383.219.817.5
P/CFO-8.16.916.91.518.513.110.0
Total Yield-9.0%0.7%9.5%7.5%4.5%11.4%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%3.3%6.4%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.0%14.0%5.1%35.5%6.0%5.3%5.7%
D/E0.60.40.210.00.20.40.4
Net D/E0.40.20.19.30.20.30.3

Returns

HRTXPCRXMRKBHCABBVPFEMedian
NameHeron Th.Pacira B.Merck Bausch H.AbbVie Pfizer  
1M Rtn49.4%4.3%-6.3%10.8%-3.3%-1.0%1.7%
3M Rtn-16.2%18.6%4.2%-4.7%-8.6%5.3%-0.3%
6M Rtn-0.8%12.7%29.9%-9.2%-11.4%12.8%6.0%
12M Rtn-47.6%-5.7%45.2%2.7%13.8%27.1%8.2%
3Y Rtn-52.8%-44.8%5.3%-20.9%34.2%-17.7%-19.3%
1M Excs Rtn40.7%-4.4%-15.0%2.1%-12.0%-9.7%-7.0%
3M Excs Rtn-19.8%15.0%0.6%-8.3%-12.2%1.7%-3.9%
6M Excs Rtn-7.0%7.1%22.8%-16.7%-18.6%6.1%-0.4%
12M Excs Rtn-79.2%-36.0%14.0%-24.4%-17.4%-3.9%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.4%-118.5%-65.0%-97.7%-35.2%-92.1%-94.9%

Comparison Analyses

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

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Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA216457  APONVIEaprepitantemulsion9162022-41.3%-50.3%-74.1%-60.0%-78.6%
NDA211988  ZYNRELEF KITbupivacainesolution, extended release5122021-34.0%-33.3%-80.2%-92.0%-94.3%
NDA209296  CINVANTIaprepitantemulsion1109201717.0%71.5%63.4%23.7%-94.2%
NDA022445  SUSTOLgranisetroninjectable8092016-19.2%-32.8%-23.0%96.4%-95.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
CINVANTI net product sales10095877488
ZYNRELEF net product sales2618103 
SUSTOL net product sales141310101
APONVIE net product sales510  
Total1441271088689


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date08/27/1987 
Distance from 52W High-50.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.97$1.27
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA22.7%-6.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.6%66.0%
Downside Capture1.651.25
Upside Capture148.3282.62
Correlation (SPY)50.5%30.7%
HRTX Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.961.651.821.720.991.37
Up Beta3.261.321.631.250.840.76
Down Beta-0.85-0.031.141.110.540.83
Up Capture160%113%131%176%68%733%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days7142352100321
Down Capture350%279%245%196%151%113%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days15273763131380

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HRTX
HRTX-46.0%66.1%-0.66-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.7%15.8%0.2819.9%
Equity (SPY)34.0%12.6%2.0531.3%
Gold (GLD)42.9%27.2%1.2912.7%
Commodities (DBC)46.4%18.0%1.97-14.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.3%0.7431.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-16.6%42.1%-0.3223.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HRTX
HRTX-41.4%88.3%-0.21-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.1%14.6%0.1723.5%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5830.3%
Gold (GLD)21.2%17.8%0.976.1%
Commodities (DBC)14.5%19.1%0.620.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1028.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.3%0.3420.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HRTX
HRTX-24.9%74.7%-0.05-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.3%16.5%0.4628.3%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7131.7%
Gold (GLD)13.9%15.9%0.733.3%
Commodities (DBC)10.1%17.8%0.476.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2325.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.3%66.9%1.0714.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120264.4%
Average Daily Volume1.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest26.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity188.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares21.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/202611.1%4.6%-23.6%
11/4/2025-3.4%-5.9%11.0%
8/8/2025-28.3%-26.6%-29.3%
2/27/202519.9%40.4%35.1%
11/12/2024-30.4%-36.4%-8.2%
8/6/2024-25.1%-23.6%-32.6%
3/12/202427.5%25.0%24.6%
11/14/202359.3%142.6%237.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1077
# Negative101313
Median Positive11.0%25.0%24.9%
Median Negative-12.5%-9.8%-21.2%
Max Positive59.3%142.6%237.0%
Max Negative-30.4%-36.4%-32.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/12/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/29/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Revenue153.00 Mil158.00 Mil163.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 158.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA9.00 Mil11.00 Mil13.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 11.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/8/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Revenue153.00 Mil158.00 Mil163.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 158.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA9.00 Mil11.00 Mil13.00 Mil37.5% RaisedGuidance: 8.00 Mil for 2025