Tearsheet

Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.38 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.38
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 51x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 34x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 183%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 171%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 51x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 34x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 183%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 171%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STOK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive Financial Outlook. Stoke Therapeutics reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings on August 12, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations with a narrower net loss per share and significantly higher revenue than forecasted. The company's revenue reached $13.8 million, surpassing the expected $9.39 million. Additionally, Stoke Therapeutics maintained a robust cash position, with $328.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of September 30, 2025, which is projected to fund operations into mid-2028.

2. Advancement of Zorevunersen into Phase 3 Clinical Trials for Dravet Syndrome. On August 12, 2025, Stoke Therapeutics announced the dosing of the first patient in the global Phase 3 EMPEROR study for zorevunersen, its lead investigational medicine for Dravet syndrome. This significant milestone, coupled with new three-year open-label extension (OLE) data, demonstrated continued and durable reductions in seizures and improvements in cognition and behavior, supporting zorevunersen's potential as a disease-modifying treatment. Further supporting this, data from Phase 1/2a and OLE studies were presented at the 36th International Epilepsy Congress on September 2, 2025, highlighting zorevunersen's therapeutic potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STOK Return119%-61%-62%-43%110%170%5%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STOK Win Rate58%17%58%33%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STOK Max Drawdown-41%-71%-71%-63%-22%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTOKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1971.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven182 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Stoke Therapeutics's stock fell -95.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -95.2% loss requires a 1971.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)

Better Bets than Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STOK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stoke Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STOKVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price30.96463.13-1.07-11.0721.02
Mkt Cap1.8118.4----60.1
Rev LTM20611,723---0206
Op Inc LTM27-92----93-92
FCF LTM523,337----6052
FCF 3Y Avg-392,064----1,012
CFO LTM533,718----6053
CFO 3Y Avg-382,419----1,190

Growth & Margins

STOKVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM1,128.2%10.3%----569.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg403.5%10.5%----207.0%
Rev Chg Q117.2%11.0%----64.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.7%----2.8%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%-0.8%----6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-634.2%26.2%-----304.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-6.9%1.0%-----3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM25.7%31.7%----28.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-457.7%23.1%-----217.3%
FCF/Rev LTM25.5%28.5%----27.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-465.0%19.8%-----222.6%

Valuation

STOKVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap1.8118.4----60.1
P/S6.78.5----7.6
P/EBIT50.622.4----36.5
P/E34.027.2----30.6
P/CFO26.126.9----26.5
Total Yield2.9%3.7%----3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-19.0%2.3%-----8.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

STOKVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn18.6%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Rtn56.6%16.8%---12.5%16.8%
6M Rtn183.0%3.9%----93.4%
12M Rtn170.9%1.3%----86.1%
3Y Rtn320.7%44.1%----182.4%
1M Excs Rtn18.7%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn52.4%11.3%---4.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn168.3%-10.8%----78.7%
12M Excs Rtn142.1%-14.6%----63.7%
3Y Excs Rtn249.0%-25.9%----111.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Stoke9    
Single Segment 12   
Total912   


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Stoke-105    
Total-105    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  239298229
Total  239298229


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,246,166
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.4%
Average Daily Volume1,353,970
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.31
Basic Shares Quantity58,611,677
Short % of Basic Shares19.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021