Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $25.0 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $25.0Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 54x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 180% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 54x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 180% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
STOK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I cannot provide information on stock movements for a future time period. The requested period, July 31, 2025, to today (November 13, 2025), is in the future. I am unable to access or predict future stock performance and related events.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STOK Return | 119% | -61% | -62% | -43% | 110% | 128% | -11% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STOK Win Rate | 58% | 17% | 58% | 33% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STOK Max Drawdown | -41% | -71% | -71% | -63% | -22% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | STOK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1971.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 148 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
Stoke Therapeutics's stock fell -95.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -95.2% loss requires a 1971.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is Stoke Therapeutics Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Stoke Therapeutics Stock with 41% Return (vs. 68% YTD) [8/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Stoke Therapeutics Stock with 39% Return (vs. 65% YTD) [8/15/2025] | Notification | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics Stock Surges 12% In A Single Day, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Stoke Therapeutics (STOK) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| STOK Stock Up 41% after 6-Day Win Streak | August 19th, 2025 | ||
| STOK Stock Up 39% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 16th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: TLRY, STOK, CC | Losers: ACDC, KLC, CAVA | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to STOK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.2% | -9.2% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.6% | 13.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.2% | -9.2% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.6% | 13.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Stoke Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.2 |
| Rev LTM | 206 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | 52 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,012 |
| CFO LTM | 53 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,190 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 569.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 207.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 64.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -304.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -217.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -222.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.2 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| P/EBIT | 39.5 |
| P/E | 33.3 |
| P/CFO | 28.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -9.9% | ||
| 8/12/2025 | 25.0% | 36.7% | 76.5% |
| 3/18/2025 | -1.4% | -7.9% | -13.9% |
| 11/5/2024 | -0.4% | 5.4% | -2.2% |
| 8/7/2024 | -3.7% | -0.4% | 6.5% |
| 3/25/2024 | 58.3% | 101.2% | 79.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | 12.5% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| 8/7/2023 | -4.4% | -11.1% | -10.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -7.2% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 58.3% | 101.2% | 79.4% |
| Max Negative | -25.3% | -35.9% | -33.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |