Tearsheet

Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $25.0 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $25.0
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 54x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 180%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1128%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 54x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 180%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 232%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

STOK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide information on stock movements for a future time period. The requested period, July 31, 2025, to today (November 13, 2025), is in the future. I am unable to access or predict future stock performance and related events.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STOK Return119%-61%-62%-43%110%128%-11%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-17%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STOK Win Rate58%17%58%33%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STOK Max Drawdown-41%-71%-71%-63%-22%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTOKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1971.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven182 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

Stoke Therapeutics's stock fell -95.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -95.2% loss requires a 1971.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)

Better Bets than Stoke Therapeutics (STOK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STOK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.6%-25.6%-25.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%13.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.2%-9.2%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.6%-25.6%-25.6%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.6%13.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stoke Therapeutics

Financials

STOKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price25.13434.191.4212.631.935.328.98
Mkt Cap1.5111.0----56.2
Rev LTM20611,723-0--206
Op Inc LTM27-92--93---92
FCF LTM523,337--60--52
FCF 3Y Avg-392,064----1,012
CFO LTM533,718--60--53
CFO 3Y Avg-382,419----1,190

Growth & Margins

STOKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM1,128.2%10.3%----569.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg403.5%10.5%----207.0%
Rev Chg Q117.2%11.0%----64.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.7%----2.8%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%-0.8%----6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-634.2%26.2%-----304.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-6.9%1.0%-----3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM25.7%31.7%----28.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-457.7%23.1%-----217.3%
FCF/Rev LTM25.5%28.5%----27.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-465.0%19.8%-----222.6%

Valuation

STOKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap1.5111.0----56.2
P/S7.29.5----8.3
P/EBIT54.224.9----39.5
P/E36.330.2----33.3
P/CFO27.929.8----28.9
Total Yield2.8%3.3%----3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-19.0%2.3%-----8.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

STOKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameStoke Th.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn-17.2%6.6%-10.4%10.2%0.0%6.2%3.1%
3M Rtn48.6%9.7%-0.3%29.0%10.3%-10.3%
6M Rtn179.5%3.1%36.2%--17.9%-19.6%
12M Rtn84.5%-11.4%18.0%--14.9%-3.3%
3Y Rtn101.2%43.2%-78.4%---43.2%
1M Excs Rtn-31.2%2.2%-14.0%11.9%-17.3%-2.7%-8.4%
3M Excs Rtn40.4%5.3%-8.9%20.5%2.3%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn163.3%-13.2%19.9%--34.1%-3.4%
12M Excs Rtn66.8%-30.2%0.9%--30.7%--14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn38.2%-36.8%-157.0%----36.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Stoke9    
Single Segment 12   
Total912   


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Stoke-105    
Total-105    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  239298229
Total  239298229


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,666,109
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-1.5%
Average Daily Volume1,118,745
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.53
Basic Shares Quantity58,611,677
Short % of Basic Shares18.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-9.9%  
8/12/202525.0%36.7%76.5%
3/18/2025-1.4%-7.9%-13.9%
11/5/2024-0.4%5.4%-2.2%
8/7/2024-3.7%-0.4%6.5%
3/25/202458.3%101.2%79.4%
11/7/202312.5%-0.9%-2.3%
8/7/2023-4.4%-11.1%-10.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive886
# Negative111113
Median Positive8.8%9.0%12.9%
Median Negative-3.7%-7.2%-12.3%
Max Positive58.3%101.2%79.4%
Max Negative-25.3%-35.9%-33.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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