Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $65.06 | Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $65.06Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -108 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2816% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 101x | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -100% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 293%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2816% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -100% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -108 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 101x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 293%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ARWR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) experienced a significant stock price increase of approximately 194% between August 31, 2025, and December 3, 2025, driven by several key developments.
1. FDA Approval of Redemplo and Transition to Commercial Stage: The company announced the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of its first commercial drug, Redemplo, for the treatment of adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS). This approval marks a pivotal transition for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals into a commercial-stage entity.
2. FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Plozasiran: Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals received Breakthrough Therapy designation from the FDA for its investigational drug, plozasiran, for severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG). This designation is expected to expedite the development and review process for the drug, indicating its potential to offer substantial improvement over existing therapies.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARWR Return | 21% | -14% | -39% | -25% | -39% | 244% | 2% |
| Peers Return | 110% | 32% | 9% | -8% | -17% | 48% | 245% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARWR Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 38% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARWR Max Drawdown | -68% | -24% | -58% | -48% | -42% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -14% | -21% | -27% | -30% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ACSB, AIXC. See ARWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 326.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 148 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2330.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4171 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ACSB, AIXC
In The Past
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -76.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -76.6% loss requires a 326.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Is The 20.8% Decline In Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| ARWR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 30th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 23rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 4th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ARWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.5 |
| Rev LTM | 967 |
| Op Inc LTM | -108 |
| FCF LTM | -18 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -298 |
| CFO LTM | -6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -175 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -23.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -67.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -55.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -17.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -66.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.5 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| P/EBIT | -16.2 |
| P/E | -9.0 |
| P/CFO | 47.7 |
| Total Yield | -4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 91.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 101.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 104.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 76.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 91.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 40.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11262024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2062023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11282022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11222021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Hamilton James C | Chief Medical Officer | 9162025 | Sell | 30.00 | 15,000 | 450,000 | 6,963,660 | Form |
| 1 | Hamilton James C | Chief Medical Officer | 9042025 | Sell | 25.00 | 15,000 | 375,000 | 6,178,050 | Form |
| 2 | Hamilton James C | Chief Medical Officer | 8152025 | Sell | 20.00 | 611 | 12,220 | 5,430,220 | Form |
| 3 | Anzalone Christopher Richard | Chief Executive Officer | 4112025 | Sell | 9.93 | 35,305 | 350,579 | 39,988,825 | Form |
| 4 | OLUKOTUN ADEOYE Y | 1272025 | Sell | 21.00 | 959 | 20,139 | 751,401 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |