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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.82 | Market Cap: $8.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.82
Market Cap: $8.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23258%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 63x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 50x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 315%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 191%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 84%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
4  Key risks
ARWR key risks include [1] a high-stakes patent dispute with Ionis Pharmaceuticals over its drug plozasiran, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23258%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 63x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 50x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 315%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 191%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 84%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
7 Key risks
ARWR key risks include [1] a high-stakes patent dispute with Ionis Pharmaceuticals over its drug plozasiran, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARWR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 194% stock movement for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:

1. FDA Approval of REDEMPLO (plozasiran)
On November 18, 2025, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved REDEMPLO (plozasiran), Arrowhead's small interfering RNA (siRNA) medicine, as an adjunct to diet for reducing triglycerides in adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS). This marked Arrowhead's first FDA-approved medicine, signifying a pivotal transition for the company into a commercial-stage entity and validating its proprietary RNAi platform.

2. Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Plozasiran in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia
Following the FDA approval, plozasiran received Breakthrough Therapy designation for severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG). This designation is anticipated to expedite the development and regulatory review process for a significantly larger patient population, potentially transforming plozasiran into a multi-billion dollar opportunity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARWR Return21%-14%-39%-25%-39%244%2%
Peers Return96%15%22%-3%-8%19%190%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARWR Win Rate50%50%42%25%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%63%48%42%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARWR Max Drawdown-68%-24%-58%-48%-42%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-29%-23%-32%-26%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, IONS, MRNA, SRPT, VRTX. See ARWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARWRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven326.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven231 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven148 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2330.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4171 days1480 days

Compare to ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ACSB, AIXC


In The Past

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -76.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -76.6% loss requires a 326.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)

Better Bets than Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARWRALNYIONSMRNASRPTVRTXMedian
NameArrowhea.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Sarepta .Vertex P. 
Mkt Price64.80392.1077.0830.5121.14449.5270.94
Mkt Cap8.951.512.311.92.1114.912.1
Rev LTM8293,2109672,2022,41411,7232,308
Op Inc LTM98265-278-3,463-86-92-89
FCF LTM157221-309-2,663-3893,337-76
FCF 3Y Avg-25957-420-3,092-4952,064-340
CFO LTM180266-247-1,978-2453,718-33
CFO 3Y Avg-146108-380-2,421-3792,419-262

Growth & Margins

ARWRALNYIONSMRNASRPTVRTXMedian
NameArrowhea.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Sarepta .Vertex P. 
Rev Chg LTM23,258.2%53.2%20.4%-56.4%47.1%10.3%33.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7,719.5%51.4%7.1%-52.3%40.6%10.5%25.5%
Rev Chg Q-149.3%17.1%-46.0%-14.5%11.0%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM44.8%30.4%2.4%-27.9%-2.7%2.7%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%8.2%-28.8%-157.3%-3.6%-0.8%-2.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5,666.8%-7.1%-55.1%-79.9%-11.6%26.2%-33.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM30.7%15.6%-0.5%-50.1%-3.5%1.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM21.6%8.3%-25.5%-89.8%-10.1%31.7%-0.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4,358.9%3.7%-52.4%-58.7%-26.8%23.1%-39.6%
FCF/Rev LTM18.9%6.9%-32.0%-120.9%-16.1%28.5%-4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5,712.2%1.3%-57.4%-76.1%-33.7%19.8%-45.6%

Valuation

ARWRALNYIONSMRNASRPTVRTXMedian
NameArrowhea.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Sarepta .Vertex P. 
Mkt Cap8.951.512.311.92.1114.912.1
P/S10.818.710.84.60.88.59.7
P/EBIT63.4460.0-60.0-3.2-8.422.49.6
P/E-5,477.91,375.9-40.8-3.2-7.127.2-5.2
P/CFO49.8225.5-42.3-5.1-7.926.910.9
Total Yield-0.0%0.1%-2.5%-30.9%-14.1%3.7%-1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.1%0.0%-6.0%-16.2%-10.0%2.3%-8.0%
D/E0.00.00.10.10.60.00.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.40.2-0.0-0.1

Returns

ARWRALNYIONSMRNASRPTVRTXMedian
NameArrowhea.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Sarepta .Vertex P. 
1M Rtn61.4%-14.9%5.2%23.2%20.5%3.6%12.9%
3M Rtn122.5%-13.2%26.0%22.0%24.0%16.1%23.0%
6M Rtn314.9%25.5%108.3%20.1%1.8%0.2%22.8%
12M Rtn191.0%59.0%104.6%-25.1%-83.2%-4.2%27.4%
3Y Rtn104.0%65.5%99.4%-84.2%-82.9%47.5%56.5%
1M Excs Rtn60.7%-15.6%4.5%22.5%19.8%2.8%12.1%
3M Excs Rtn104.3%-14.6%23.5%18.5%12.8%14.8%16.7%
6M Excs Rtn302.5%13.2%95.9%7.7%-10.6%-12.1%10.4%
12M Excs Rtn185.5%48.7%99.5%-38.1%-94.0%-14.1%17.3%
3Y Excs Rtn35.0%-2.2%33.0%-150.0%-151.0%-25.4%-13.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Discovery, development, manufacturing and commercialization of RNAi therapeutics  24313888
Total  24313888


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Discovery, development, manufacturing and commercialization of RNAi therapeutics1,140766   
Total1,140766   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,836,793
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.1%
Average Daily Volume3,444,806
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.44
Basic Shares Quantity137,877,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/25/202523.3%38.2% 
8/7/20252.2%16.9%69.2%
5/12/20259.4%12.7%19.8%
2/10/2025-5.2%2.6%-20.8%
11/26/202424.2%9.8%-9.9%
8/8/2024-9.4%-12.3%-15.8%
5/9/2024-10.7%1.1%-0.8%
11/29/2023-26.8%-17.9%5.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8148
# Negative14814
Median Positive8.6%5.1%14.5%
Median Negative-6.5%-6.4%-14.5%
Max Positive24.2%38.2%69.2%
Max Negative-26.8%-17.9%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251125202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241126202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221128202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hamilton James CChief Medical Officer9162025Sell30.0015,000450,0006,963,660Form
1Hamilton James CChief Medical Officer9042025Sell25.0015,000375,0006,178,050Form
2Hamilton James CChief Medical Officer8152025Sell20.0061112,2205,430,220Form
3Anzalone Christopher RichardChief Executive Officer4112025Sell9.9335,305350,57939,988,825Form
4OLUKOTUN ADEOYE Y 1272025Sell21.0095920,139751,401Form