Surmodics (SRDX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.99 | Market Cap: $613.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Surmodics (SRDX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $42.99Market Cap: $613.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SRDX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Surmodics (SRDX) experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, largely driven by developments related to its acquisition by GTCR and positive clinical study results.
1. Court Denies FTC Injunction to Block GTCR Acquisition: On November 11, 2025, the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois denied the Federal Trade Commission's (FTC) request for a preliminary injunction to block the proposed acquisition of Surmodics by an affiliate of GTCR. This ruling removed a major regulatory hurdle for the merger, sending Surmodics' stock up significantly, with reports indicating a surge of nearly 50% on this news alone.
2. FTC Does Not Appeal Injunction Denial, Clearing Path for Merger: Following the District Court's decision, on November 17, 2025, Surmodics announced that the FTC and certain state regulators did not intend to appeal the denial of the preliminary injunction. This further solidified the expectation of the merger's completion, subject to a temporary restraining order expiring and other customary closing conditions. The company anticipated closing the acquisition promptly thereafter, leading to continued positive momentum for the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SRDX Return | 5% | 11% | -29% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 3% | -9% | -5% | -14% | 33% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SRDX Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 25% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SRDX Max Drawdown | -46% | -3% | -40% | -50% | -30% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -12% | -25% | -25% | -21% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SRDX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 252.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3384 days | 1480 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX
In The Past
Surmodics's stock fell -71.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -71.6% loss requires a 252.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Surmodics Stock Surges 63%, With A 8-Day Winning Spree | Notification | |
| null |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SRDX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Surmodics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 199 |
| Op Inc LTM | -12 |
| FCF LTM | -3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -10 |
| CFO LTM | 4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | -28.6 |
| P/E | -16.7 |
| P/CFO | 42.6 |
| Total Yield | -4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 33.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 38.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 23.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -72.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11202024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11222023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2062023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11232022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11242021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |