Tearsheet

BillionToOne (BLLN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.85 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

BillionToOne (BLLN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.85
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
Key risks
BLLN key risks include [1] heavy revenue concentration on its UNITY prenatal platform while facing intense competition in its oncology expansion, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
1 Key risks
BLLN key risks include [1] heavy revenue concentration on its UNITY prenatal platform while facing intense competition in its oncology expansion, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BLLN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining BillionToOne's (BLLN) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: BillionToOne reported a significant increase in revenue and a return to profitability for the third quarter of 2025. Total revenue climbed to $83.5 million, marking a 117% year-over-year increase, and net income turned positive at $5.71 million, reversing a $14.9 million loss from the prior-year period. The company also saw its gross margin expand to 70%.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following its strong Q3 results, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $293 million and $299 million, indicating a 92-96% year-over-year growth. BillionToOne also confirmed expectations for positive GAAP operating income for the full year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BLLN Return
Peers Return58%-5%-52%21%22%60%69%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BLLN Win Rate0% 
Peers Win Rate63%50%30%50%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BLLN Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-19%-61%-19%-30%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTRA, GH, EXAS, MYGN, ILMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BLLN has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BillionToOne (BLLN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BLLN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BillionToOne

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BLLNNTRAGHEXASMYGNILMNMedian
NameBillionT.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Myriad G.Illumina  
Mkt Price92.51225.4997.47101.616.95129.5699.54
Mkt Cap-30.912.219.20.619.819.2
Rev LTM-2,1179033,0828254,2882,117
Op Inc LTM--352-442-155-82798-155
FCF LTM-94-262247-301,00094
FCF 3Y Avg--87-300107-92572-87
CFO LTM-194-223387-21,122194
CFO 3Y Avg--17-271253-45740-17

Growth & Margins

BLLNNTRAGHEXASMYGNILMNMedian
NameBillionT.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Myriad G.Illumina  
Rev Chg LTM-38.2%30.4%14.5%0.2%-2.3%14.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-40.2%28.0%15.5%7.8%-3.0%15.5%
Rev Chg Q-34.7%38.5%20.0%-3.6%0.4%20.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.8%8.9%4.8%-0.9%0.1%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM--16.6%-49.0%-5.0%-9.9%18.6%-9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--27.8%-73.1%-7.9%-14.7%6.6%-14.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.7%6.6%0.1%-0.8%-0.6%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-9.2%-24.7%12.6%-0.3%26.2%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--5.5%-41.4%9.0%-5.8%17.0%-5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.4%-29.1%8.0%-3.6%23.3%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--10.0%-45.5%3.6%-11.8%13.2%-10.0%

Valuation

BLLNNTRAGHEXASMYGNILMNMedian
NameBillionT.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Myriad G.Illumina  
Mkt Cap-30.912.219.20.619.819.2
P/S-10.48.63.40.83.43.4
P/EBIT--72.3-19.8-10.7-1.614.6-10.7
P/E--71.4-19.6-10.5-1.720.7-10.5
P/CFO-113.7-35.026.8-306.013.013.0
Total Yield--1.4%-5.1%-9.5%-59.5%4.8%-5.1%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--2.0%-7.8%1.0%-6.4%3.4%-2.0%
D/E-0.00.20.20.30.20.2
Net D/E--0.00.10.10.10.10.1

Returns

BLLNNTRAGHEXASMYGNILMNMedian
NameBillionT.Natera Guardant.Exact Sc.Myriad G.Illumina  
1M Rtn-0.9%9.4%1.0%51.3%4.4%7.9%6.1%
3M Rtn-28.5%70.4%94.0%-6.1%28.4%28.5%
6M Rtn-31.9%92.7%94.1%37.1%43.5%43.5%
12M Rtn-34.1%179.8%68.3%-49.7%-9.5%34.1%
3Y Rtn-420.5%224.3%95.7%-58.4%-33.2%95.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%8.7%0.3%50.6%3.6%7.2%5.4%
3M Excs Rtn-24.0%64.4%88.3%-10.9%24.4%24.4%
6M Excs Rtn-19.5%80.4%81.8%24.7%31.2%31.2%
12M Excs Rtn-24.3%169.3%54.8%-62.9%-21.0%24.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-406.5%43.6%55.2%-129.1%-104.5%43.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Single Segment72
Total72


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity175,681
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025221.3%
Average Daily Volume181,490
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity44,720,379
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/2025-5.3%-16.0% 
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative111
Median Positive   
Median Negative-5.3%-16.0% 
Max Positive   
Max Negative-5.3%-16.0% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251210202510-Q 9/30/2025
1231202411062025424B4 12/31/2024