Tearsheet

Alphatec (ATEC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.23 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Alphatec (ATEC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.23
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -74 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -74 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATEC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Alphatec (ATEC) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.** Alphatec Holdings (ATEC) reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $0.03, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03 per share, and achieved revenues of $197 million, exceeding the $182.63 million consensus. This strong performance contributed to a significant positive reaction in the stock price, with ATEC trending up by 14.88% on November 1, 2025.

**2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance.** Alongside its impressive third-quarter earnings, Alphatec also raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance for both total revenue and Adjusted EBITDA. The company now anticipates total revenue to reach $760 million, an increase from its previous expectation of $742 million, and expects Adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $91 million, up from the prior outlook of $83 million. This upward revision signaled strong future growth and profitability, boosting investor confidence.

**3. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.** Following the strong Q3 2025 results, several Wall Street research analysts upgraded their ratings and increased their price targets for Alphatec. Firms such as Lake Street, H.C. Wainwright, Piper Sandler, and Canaccord Genuity all raised their price targets for ATEC, with many maintaining or upgrading to "Buy" ratings. These positive analyst revisions reflected a renewed optimistic outlook for the company's stock performance.

**4. Operational Momentum and Strategic Advancements.** The company's strong performance was underpinned by significant operational achievements, including a 30% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025. Alphatec also demonstrated continued momentum with its PTP™ and LTP™ platforms and made strategic advancements in differentiating its offerings within the spine market, contributing to market share expansion.

**5. Enhanced Investor Confidence and Bullish Market Sentiment.** The combination of strong financial results, increased guidance, positive analyst coverage, and operational success led to a notable surge in investor confidence and a bullish market sentiment for ATEC. This was reflected in a 26.6% one-month share price return as of November 20, 2025, and a year-to-date rally of 116.6%, indicating a strong positive trajectory for the stock. The stock surged over 21% after-hours following the Q3 earnings announcement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATEC Return105%-21%8%22%-39%131%198%
Peers Return37%24%-22%-13%-9%5%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATEC Win Rate67%42%67%58%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%50%33%33%31%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATEC Max Drawdown-68%-27%-44%-28%-67%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-9%-31%-33%-15%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, TECH, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATECS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven195.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven387 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven230.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven199 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven284.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven97 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven464.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days1480 days

Compare to A, TECH, CERS, AVRT, BLLN


In The Past

Alphatec's stock fell -66.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2021. A -66.1% loss requires a 195.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Alphatec (ATEC)

Better Bets than Alphatec (ATEC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATEC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alphatec

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATECATECHCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAlphatec Agilent .Bio-Tech.Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Price21.23149.2663.821.99-102.7663.82
Mkt Cap3.242.49.90.4--6.6
Rev LTM7286,7881,217199--972
Op Inc LTM-741,444250-9--120
FCF LTM-31,0882240--112
FCF 3Y Avg-1121,308228-15--106
CFO LTM351,4952514--143
CFO 3Y Avg-361,662271-12--130

Growth & Margins

ATECATECHCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAlphatec Agilent .Bio-Tech.Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Rev Chg LTM27.1%4.5%3.9%13.0%--8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg31.8%0.8%2.9%8.3%--5.6%
Rev Chg Q30.4%10.1%-1.0%14.5%--12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.7%2.4%-0.2%3.5%--2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-10.1%21.3%20.6%-4.8%--7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.8%21.5%21.9%-11.9%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.8%-0.1%0.7%1.3%--1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.8%22.0%20.6%1.8%--12.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.6%24.6%23.0%-7.5%--7.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%16.0%18.4%0.1%--8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.7%19.4%19.4%-9.7%--4.8%

Valuation

ATECATECHCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAlphatec Agilent .Bio-Tech.Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Cap3.242.49.90.4--6.6
P/S3.04.97.11.5--4.0
P/EBIT-19.222.274.8-42.1--1.5
P/E-14.227.5110.9-19.1--6.6
P/CFO62.822.434.485.5--48.6
Total Yield-7.0%4.5%1.5%-5.2%---1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.6%0.0%--0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.2%3.7%2.2%-5.1%---1.5%
D/E0.30.10.00.3--0.2
Net D/E0.20.10.00.1--0.1

Returns

ATECATECHCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameAlphatec Agilent .Bio-Tech.Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
1M Rtn10.1%3.2%4.3%30.9%--7.2%
3M Rtn33.5%19.4%19.8%51.9%--26.7%
6M Rtn72.9%30.4%28.4%38.2%--34.3%
12M Rtn112.3%8.0%-14.5%12.4%--10.2%
3Y Rtn106.7%-2.0%-23.6%-52.0%---12.8%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%3.2%4.4%31.0%--7.2%
3M Excs Rtn22.9%11.1%15.4%44.3%--19.2%
6M Excs Rtn58.2%15.7%13.7%23.5%--19.6%
12M Excs Rtn89.0%-4.5%-28.4%-6.0%---5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn50.7%-72.6%-94.4%-119.0%---83.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Revenue from products and services482    
Single Segment 351243145113
Total482351243145113


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,718,529
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.7%
Average Daily Volume2,792,622
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.91
Basic Shares Quantity151,401,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021302202210-K 12/31/2021