Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.0 | Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.0Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.04 | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% | ||
| Key risksSMMT key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on its sole drug, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.04 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% |
| Key risksSMMT key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on its sole drug, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SMMT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) experienced a decline of -28.2% in its stock price due to several key factors:
1. Summit Therapeutics expanded its At-the-Market (ATM) offering capacity by an additional $360 million on August 11, 2025. This action, while serving to raise capital, likely fueled concerns among investors regarding potential shareholder dilution, which can exert downward pressure on the stock price.
2. The company reported a significant increase in operating expenses in its second-quarter 2025 financial results. Both non-GAAP operating expenses and GAAP research and development (R&D) expenses rose substantially, primarily due to the expansion of clinical studies for ivonescimab. This heightened expenditure without immediate revenue generation likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SMMT Return | 194% | -43% | 58% | -39% | 584% | -3% | 977% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 21% | 19% | -6% | -4% | 8% | 45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SMMT Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 52% | 58% | 40% | 47% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SMMT Max Drawdown | -14% | -48% | -75% | -69% | -8% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -10% | -9% | -21% | -14% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, BMY, REGN, PFE, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SMMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -93.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1545.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 603 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -92.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1291.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,086 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Summit Therapeutics's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1545.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SMMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Summit Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 125.7 |
| Rev LTM | 42,002 |
| Op Inc LTM | 10,046 |
| FCF LTM | 10,958 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,997 |
| CFO LTM | 13,102 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,224 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 125.7 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 10.2 |
| P/E | 13.7 |
| P/CFO | 11.3 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 1.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/20/2025 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -19.2% |
| 8/11/2025 | -9.1% | -6.9% | -37.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 13.1% | -0.1% | -28.2% |
| 1/13/2025 | 1.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| 10/30/2024 | -14.6% | -6.6% | -13.2% |
| 8/6/2024 | -4.7% | 9.6% | 19.8% |
| 5/1/2024 | 19.6% | 35.1% | 177.9% |
| 2/20/2024 | -26.2% | -12.0% | -28.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| # Negative | 9 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 9.6% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -6.6% | -18.6% |
| Max Positive | 19.6% | 35.1% | 300.0% |
| Max Negative | -26.2% | -15.6% | -37.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10202025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |