Tearsheet

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.7 | Market Cap: $13.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.7
Market Cap: $13.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.49
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.49
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the decline in Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) stock by -22.5% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Wider-than-expected Q3 2025 Net Loss.

Summit Therapeutics reported a GAAP net loss per share of $0.31 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, which was significantly wider than Wall Street's analyst consensus estimate of a non-GAAP loss of $0.1345 per share. Despite beating non-GAAP EPS forecasts, the stock experienced a decline of almost 12% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor concerns about the higher GAAP loss and its implications for future cash burn.

2. Increased Operating Expenses and High Cash Burn.

The company's non-GAAP operating expenses surged to $103.4 million in Q3 2025, more than doubling the $39 million reported in the same quarter of the previous year. This substantial increase was primarily driven by aggressive investment in extensive global Phase III clinical trials for its lead drug candidate, ivonescimab, which raised investor concerns about the company's financial sustainability and future spending.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMMT Return194%-43%58%-39%584%-3%978%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMMT Win Rate50%42%33%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMMT Max Drawdown-14%-48%-75%-69%-8%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1545.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven603 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-92.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1291.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2086 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Summit Therapeutics's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1545.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)

Better Bets than Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Summit Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMMTVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSummit T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price18.37463.13-1.07-11.0714.72
Mkt Cap13.7118.4----66.0
Rev LTM011,723---00
Op Inc LTM-935-92----93-93
FCF LTM-2703,337----60-60
FCF 3Y Avg-1452,064----959
CFO LTM-2703,718----60-60
CFO 3Y Avg-1452,419----1,137

Growth & Margins

SMMTVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSummit T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

SMMTVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSummit T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap13.7118.4----66.0
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-16.722.4----2.9
P/E-16.727.2----5.3
P/CFO-57.026.9-----15.0
Total Yield-6.0%3.7%-----1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.2%2.3%----0.1%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-----0.0

Returns

SMMTVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSummit T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn0.8%8.7%----9.9%0.8%
3M Rtn-21.9%16.8%---12.5%12.5%
6M Rtn-6.1%3.9%-----1.1%
12M Rtn3.4%1.3%----2.4%
3Y Rtn2,255.1%44.1%----1,149.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.9%8.7%----9.9%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-28.2%11.3%---4.5%4.5%
6M Excs Rtn-20.8%-10.8%-----15.8%
12M Excs Rtn-14.0%-14.6%-----14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn1,781.5%-25.9%----877.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment203664   
Total203664   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31,236,590
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume2,501,115
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.49
Basic Shares Quantity743,415,917
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251020202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021