Tearsheet

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.0 | Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.0
Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.04
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
3   Key risks
SMMT key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on its sole drug, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.04
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -935 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
5 Key risks
SMMT key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on its sole drug, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) experienced a decline of -28.2% in its stock price due to several key factors:

1. Summit Therapeutics expanded its At-the-Market (ATM) offering capacity by an additional $360 million on August 11, 2025. This action, while serving to raise capital, likely fueled concerns among investors regarding potential shareholder dilution, which can exert downward pressure on the stock price.

2. The company reported a significant increase in operating expenses in its second-quarter 2025 financial results. Both non-GAAP operating expenses and GAAP research and development (R&D) expenses rose substantially, primarily due to the expansion of clinical studies for ivonescimab. This heightened expenditure without immediate revenue generation likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMMT Return194%-43%58%-39%584%-3%977%
Peers Return4%21%19%-6%-4%8%45%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMMT Win Rate50%42%33%50%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate50%52%58%40%47%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMMT Max Drawdown-14%-48%-75%-69%-8%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-10%-9%-21%-14%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, BMY, REGN, PFE, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1545.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven603 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-92.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1291.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,086 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

Summit Therapeutics's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1545.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)

Better Bets than Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Summit Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMMTMRKBMYREGNPFEAMGNMedian
NameSummit T.Merck Bristol-.Regenero.Pfizer Amgen  
Mkt Price17.0199.1853.55749.7925.04326.0176.37
Mkt Cap12.6247.5109.077.7142.4175.4125.7
Rev LTM064,23548,03414,24862,78635,97142,002
Op Inc LTM-93522,39111,4203,80715,4178,67110,046
FCF LTM-27013,04915,3023,88110,37611,53910,958
FCF 3Y Avg-14513,68513,5983,8538,9279,0678,997
CFO LTM-27017,06516,6215,07113,07713,12613,102
CFO 3Y Avg-14517,50614,8464,84812,12710,32211,224

Growth & Margins

SMMTMRKBMYREGNPFEAMGNMedian
NameSummit T.Merck Bristol-.Regenero.Pfizer Amgen  
Rev Chg LTM-1.7%1.3%2.9%3.9%10.6%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%1.0%1.4%-13.2%11.2%1.4%
Rev Chg Q-3.7%2.8%0.9%-5.9%12.4%2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%0.7%0.2%-1.6%3.0%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-34.9%23.8%26.7%24.6%24.1%24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.7%19.0%30.0%19.4%25.4%23.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.7%2.9%-0.9%-1.4%0.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-26.6%34.6%35.6%20.8%36.5%34.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-28.2%31.7%35.4%18.9%32.7%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.3%31.9%27.2%16.5%32.1%27.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-22.0%29.0%28.2%13.9%28.8%28.2%

Valuation

SMMTMRKBMYREGNPFEAMGNMedian
NameSummit T.Merck Bristol-.Regenero.Pfizer Amgen  
Mkt Cap12.6247.5109.077.7142.4175.4125.7
P/S-3.31.94.12.34.23.3
P/EBIT-16.79.19.211.212.213.710.2
P/E-16.711.015.212.714.721.713.7
P/CFO-57.012.35.511.511.111.611.3
Total Yield-6.0%13.0%12.0%8.3%13.5%7.9%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.9%5.4%0.5%6.7%3.3%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.2%5.5%13.2%4.9%5.5%5.9%5.5%
D/E0.00.20.60.00.40.40.3
Net D/E-0.00.10.4-0.10.30.30.2

Returns

SMMTMRKBMYREGNPFEAMGNMedian
NameSummit T.Merck Bristol-.Regenero.Pfizer Amgen  
1M Rtn0.4%7.7%14.4%6.5%-0.2%-4.6%3.4%
3M Rtn-6.0%23.3%17.6%28.2%5.9%19.5%18.6%
6M Rtn-15.6%27.4%17.4%46.4%8.5%14.3%15.9%
12M Rtn-8.4%2.8%-2.5%1.9%1.6%26.6%1.7%
3Y Rtn371.2%-0.5%-16.8%4.3%-42.1%34.2%1.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%7.0%13.7%5.7%-0.9%-5.3%2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-12.9%21.3%17.7%24.0%4.2%17.7%17.7%
6M Excs Rtn-28.0%15.0%5.0%34.0%-3.8%1.9%3.5%
12M Excs Rtn-15.7%-9.4%-10.3%-8.0%-6.1%13.3%-8.7%
3Y Excs Rtn434.8%-68.0%-90.9%-66.9%-111.3%-38.8%-67.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment203664   
Total203664   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32,347,593
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.6%
Average Daily Volume2,304,436
Days-to-Cover Short Interest14.04
Basic Shares Quantity743,415,917
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/2025-4.5%-8.1%-19.2%
8/11/2025-9.1%-6.9%-37.7%
5/1/202513.1%-0.1%-28.2%
1/13/20251.8%6.6%6.9%
10/30/2024-14.6%-6.6%-13.2%
8/6/2024-4.7%9.6%19.8%
5/1/202419.6%35.1%177.9%
2/20/2024-26.2%-12.0%-28.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive957
# Negative91311
Median Positive1.8%9.6%19.8%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.6%-18.6%
Max Positive19.6%35.1%300.0%
Max Negative-26.2%-15.6%-37.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251020202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021