Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
Market Price (7/8/2026): $15.87 | Market Cap: $12.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
Market Price (7/8/2026): $15.87Market Cap: $12.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.2 Bil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.2 Bil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
Qualitative Assessment
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Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) stock has lost about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Disappointing Interim HARMONi-3 Clinical Trial Update.
Summit Therapeutics' stock declined following the Q2 2026 interim progression-free survival (PFS) analysis of the squamous cohort in its HARMONi-3 trial. While the independent Data Monitoring Committee recommended the study continue with no safety concerns, the trial "did not hit the high statistical bar for early success/stop," which disappointed investors. This outcome prompted Piper Sandler to lower its price target on Summit's shares from $17 to $16.
2. Wider-Than-Expected Net Loss in Fiscal Q1 2026.
Summit reported a net loss of $189.4 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), significantly wider than the $62.9 million loss in the same period a year earlier. This increased loss, despite beating analyst consensus estimates for EPS, was attributed to ramping up spending on its lead asset, ivonescimab, in the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), raising concerns about the company's cash burn.
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Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) stock has lost about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Disappointing Interim HARMONi-3 Clinical Trial Update.
Summit Therapeutics' stock declined following the Q2 2026 interim progression-free survival (PFS) analysis of the squamous cohort in its HARMONi-3 trial. While the independent Data Monitoring Committee recommended the study continue with no safety concerns, the trial "did not hit the high statistical bar for early success/stop," which disappointed investors. This outcome prompted Piper Sandler to lower its price target on Summit's shares from $17 to $16.
2. Wider-Than-Expected Net Loss in Fiscal Q1 2026.
Summit reported a net loss of $189.4 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), significantly wider than the $62.9 million loss in the same period a year earlier. This increased loss, despite beating analyst consensus estimates for EPS, was attributed to ramping up spending on its lead asset, ivonescimab, in the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), raising concerns about the company's cash burn.
3. Proposed and Subsequently Withdrawn Public Offering.
The company announced a proposed public offering of common stock on June 9, 2026, which was subsequently withdrawn due to "unfavorable market conditions." This event intensified investor concerns regarding potential dilution and the company's financing risk, particularly highlighting worries about "heavy cash burn and weak fundamentals."
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.2% change in SMMT stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.96 | 15.88 | -16.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 767 | 775 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMMT | -16.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 12.2% | 7.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.2% change in SMMT stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.49 | 15.88 | -9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 743 | 775 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMMT | -9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 29.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.7% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.4% change in SMMT stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.28 | 15.88 | -25.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 738 | 775 | -4.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMMT | -25.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.0% | 27.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.6% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 532.7% change in SMMT stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.51 | 15.88 | 532.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 2,086.1 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 378 | 775 | -51.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMMT | 532.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.6% | 11.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 29.7% | 11.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SMMT Return | -43% | 58% | -39% | 584% | -2% | -9% | 239% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 19% | -6% | -4% | 10% | 5% | 50% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SMMT Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 58% | 40% | 47% | 50% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SMMT Max Drawdown | -78% | -80% | -76% | -55% | -56% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -18% | -26% | -27% | -26% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MRK, BMY, REGN, PFE, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SMMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -68.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 216.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 427 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -46.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Summit Therapeutics's stock fell -23.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | SMMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -68.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 216.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 427 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -46.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Summit Therapeutics's stock fell -23.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
Summit Therapeutics Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines to treat infectious diseases. The company's core strategic area is addressing Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI), a significant and often recurrent bacterial infection that poses a substantial challenge in healthcare.
The company's lead product candidate is ridinilazole, an orally administered small molecule antibiotic currently undergoing Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of CDI. In addition to ridinilazole, Summit Therapeutics is developing SMT-738 to combat multidrug-resistant infections, particularly carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae, and the DDS-04 series for potential treatment of infections caused by Enterobacteriaceae. The primary markets for Summit Therapeutics' pipeline and future commercialization efforts are healthcare providers and patients in the United States and Latin America.
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Here are a few analogies for Summit Therapeutics:
Like a 'Gilead Sciences for bacterial infections'.
A 'Vertex Pharmaceuticals for bacterial superbugs'.
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- ridinilazole: An orally administered small molecule antibiotic in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI).
- SMT-738: A drug candidate aimed at combating multidrug-resistant infections, primarily carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae infections.
- DDS-04 series: A series of drug candidates being developed for the potential treatment of infections caused by Enterobacteriaceae.
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Based on the provided company description, Summit Therapeutics Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company whose lead product candidate, ridinilazole, is currently in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI). Other product candidates are also in development.
As Summit Therapeutics' products are still in clinical development stages and have not yet received regulatory approval for commercialization, the company does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling approved medicines to other companies (e.g., distributors, hospitals, pharmacies) or directly to individuals.
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Robert W. Duggan Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Robert W. Duggan joined Summit Therapeutics' Board of Directors in December 2019, became Executive Chairman in February 2020, and assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer in April 2020, currently serving as Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board. Since 2015, he has been the Founder and CEO of Duggan Investments, a venture capital and equity investment firm. From 2008 to 2015, Mr. Duggan was Chairman, CEO, and the largest investor in Pharmacyclics, Inc., where he led the collaboration and license deal for ibrutinib with Johnson & Johnson in 2011 and the subsequent sale of Pharmacyclics to AbbVie Inc. for approximately $21 billion in 2015. Prior to that, from 1990 to 2003, he served as Chairman of Computer Motion, Inc., a robotic surgery company, and as CEO from 1997 to 2003. Computer Motion merged with Intuitive Surgical, Inc. in 2003, and he was on Intuitive Surgical's Board of Directors until 2011. Mr. Duggan invested $63 million in Summit Therapeutics in 2020 and is its controlling stockholder. He is also the majority shareholder and CEO of Pulse Biosciences.
Dr. Maky Zanganeh Co-Chief Executive Officer and President
Dr. Maky Zanganeh was appointed Co-Chief Executive Officer & President of Summit Therapeutics in July 2022. She previously served as the company's Chief Operating Officer since November 2020. Prior to joining Summit, Dr. Zanganeh founded Maky Zanganeh and Associates in 2015. From 2008 to 2015, she held multiple leadership positions at Pharmacyclics, Inc., culminating in her role as Chief Operating Officer. She was instrumental in the collaboration and license deal for ibrutinib with Janssen Biotech, Inc. in 2011 and the subsequent sale of Pharmacyclics to AbbVie Inc. for $21 billion in 2015. Her career in healthcare business began at Computer Motion Inc., a pioneer in robotic surgery, which later merged with Intuitive Surgical.
Manmeet S. Soni Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Manmeet S. Soni currently serves as Summit Therapeutics' Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer, having assumed CFO responsibilities in April 2024. He joined Summit in October 2023 as Chief Operating Officer from Reata Pharmaceuticals, Inc., where he held the positions of President, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer. His tenure at Reata concluded with its sale to Biogen Inc. for $7.5 billion. Previously, Mr. Soni was Chief Financial Officer at Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. He also served as Chief Financial Officer at ARIAD Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which was acquired by Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited for $5.4 billion in 2017. Before ARIAD, he was Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Pharmacyclics, Inc. until its acquisition by AbbVie in 2015. He is a Certified Public Accountant and Chartered Accountant from the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India. Mr. Soni serves on the Board of Directors of Pulse Biosciences, Inc. and was previously on the board of Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which was sold to Pfizer Inc. for $6.7 billion.
Robert LaCaze Chief Commercial Officer
Robert LaCaze joined Summit Therapeutics as Chief Commercial Officer in March 2025. He brings over 35 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, with a specialization in Oncology. Prior to Summit, he was the Executive Vice President and Head of the Oncology Strategic Business Unit at Bayer, overseeing its global oncology franchise, and served on the Executive Committee for Bayer Pharmaceuticals. Before his time at Bayer, he was Senior Vice President and Head of Global Oncology at Bristol-Myers Squibb. Mr. LaCaze has also held a CEO role at Mnemo Therapeutics. He has been directly responsible for numerous multi-billion-dollar Oncology product launches.
Dr. Urte Gayko Chief Regulatory, Quality and Pharmacovigilance Officer
Dr. Urte Gayko is Summit Therapeutics' Chief Regulatory, Quality and Pharmacovigilance Officer. While at Pharmacyclics, she led the regulatory approval process for 12 U.S. indications for IMBRUVICA® (ibrutinib). Dr. Gayko performed her PhD research in molecular and cellular biology at Harvard University.
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The addressable markets for Summit Therapeutics' main products are as follows:
-
Ridinilazole (for Clostridioides difficile infection - CDI):
- The market size for Clostridioides difficile infection across the 7MM (United States, EU4, United Kingdom, and Japan) was valued at approximately USD 551 million in 2025 and is projected to reach about USD 1,715 million by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5%.
- Globally, the Clostridium Difficile Infection (CDI) Treatment Market was estimated at USD 1.91 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.87 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.9%.
-
SMT-738 (for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae - CRE infections):
- The estimated annual U.S. market for new anti-CRE antibiotics was USD 289 million (ranging from USD 169 million to USD 439 million), based on sales data from February 2018 to January 2019.
-
DDS-04 series (for infections caused by Enterobacteriaceae): NULL
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Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) is poised for significant future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by its lead investigational oncology asset, ivonescimab, a novel bispecific antibody. While the company's historical focus included *Clostridioides difficile* infection (CDI) with ridinilazole, recent financial and analyst commentary strongly emphasizes the strategic shift and potential of ivonescimab in solid tumor cancers.
The key drivers of future revenue growth for Summit Therapeutics are:
- U.S. Commercialization of Ivonescimab for EGFRm Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC): Summit Therapeutics has strategically shifted its primary focus to oncology, with ivonescimab being the lead candidate. The company anticipates FDA approval and subsequent market launch of ivonescimab for EGFR-mutated NSCLC, specifically post-TKI therapy, in late 2025 or early 2026. The Biologics License Application (BLA) for ivonescimab in combination with chemotherapy for this indication has been accepted by the FDA. This represents the most immediate and substantial expected driver of revenue.
- Expansion of Ivonescimab into Additional Solid Tumor Indications: Beyond EGFRm NSCLC, Summit Therapeutics is actively pursuing the expansion of ivonescimab's clinical development program into other significant solid tumor settings. This includes initiating Phase III studies in colorectal cancer (HARMONi-GI3) in the fourth quarter of 2025 and planning further new Phase III studies in 2026, such as the ILLUMINE study in head and neck cancer. Broadening the approved indications for ivonescimab will significantly enlarge its total addressable market and contribute to sustained revenue growth.
- Strategic Collaborations and Novel Combinations for Ivonescimab: In January 2026, Summit Therapeutics announced a clinical trial collaboration with GSK to evaluate ivonescimab in combination with GSK's B7-H3 antibody-drug conjugate across multiple solid tumor settings, including small cell lung cancer (SCLC). These trials are expected to commence in mid-2026. Such strategic partnerships and the exploration of novel combinations aim to enhance ivonescimab's efficacy and market potential, potentially generating revenue through milestones, licensing, or shared commercialization efforts.
- Global Market Penetration of Ivonescimab: While ivonescimab is already commercialized in China by Akeso, Summit Therapeutics is focused on securing regulatory approvals and commercializing the drug in major global markets, particularly the United States. Analysts project a significant inflection point for Summit's valuation, with revenue growth primarily underpinned by ivonescimab's potential to achieve significant market penetration. The non-small cell lung cancer immunotherapy market alone is expected to exceed $20 billion by 2028, highlighting the substantial opportunity for global market capture.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 93.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 127.6 |
| Rev LTM | 42,852 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11,769 |
| FCF LTM | 9,040 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,736 |
| CFO LTM | 11,370 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 10,932 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $15.88 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 12.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/05/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -45.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $16.49 | $17.68 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.7% | -10.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 88.2% | 74.9% |
| Downside Capture | 116.73 | 165.66 |
| Upside Capture | -5.86 | 85.80 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.8% | 27.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.63 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.67 | 1.39 |
| Up Beta | 3.17 | 5.09 | 2.71 | 3.11 | 2.94 | 2.22 |
| Down Beta | 1.63 | 1.62 | 1.22 | 1.75 | 1.16 | 0.80 |
| Up Capture | -147% | -126% | 22% | 55% | 89% | 587% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 33 | 62 | 121 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 53% | 109% | 154% | 121% | 142% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 29 | 60 | 126 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMT | -29.9% | 74.9% | -0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 23.0% | 15.7% | 1.13 | 26.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.7% | 12.5% | 1.22 | 27.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.0% | 27.8% | 0.73 | 21.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.9% | 18.6% | 0.97 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 24.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.8% | 42.8% | -1.14 | 21.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMT | 17.3% | 184.9% | 0.63 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.1% | 14.9% | 0.29 | 8.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 7.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 19.5% | 0.29 | -3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 10.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.2% | 53.5% | 0.43 | 9.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMT | 7.1% | 144.3% | 0.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.9% | 16.6% | 0.54 | 8.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 7.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.1% | 0.59 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.2% | 18.0% | 0.27 | -1.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 8.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.9% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 6.4% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/12/2026 | -13.4% | -13.4% | -22.5% |
| 10/20/2025 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -19.2% |
| 8/11/2025 | -9.1% | -6.9% | -37.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 13.1% | -0.1% | -28.2% |
| 2/24/2025 | -14.8% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| 10/30/2024 | -14.6% | -6.6% | -13.2% |
| 8/6/2024 | -4.7% | 9.6% | 19.8% |
| 5/1/2024 | 19.6% | 35.1% | 177.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 10.9% | 11.7% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -9.1% | -8.1% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 19.6% | 35.1% | 300.0% |
| Max Negative | -26.2% | -15.8% | -37.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/12/2026 | -13.4% | -13.4% | -22.5% |
| 10/20/2025 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -19.2% |
| 8/11/2025 | -9.1% | -6.9% | -37.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 13.1% | -0.1% | -28.2% |
| 2/24/2025 | -14.8% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| 10/30/2024 | -14.6% | -6.6% | -13.2% |
| 8/6/2024 | -4.7% | 9.6% | 19.8% |
| 5/1/2024 | 19.6% | 35.1% | 177.9% |
| 2/20/2024 | -26.2% | -12.0% | -28.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | -12.2% | -15.6% | 11.5% |
| 8/9/2023 | 10.9% | 9.7% | -12.0% |
| 5/11/2023 | -10.6% | -15.8% | -7.5% |
| 3/9/2023 | 4.9% | 28.9% | 7.7% |
| 1/9/2023 | 16.7% | 21.8% | -30.8% |
| 11/9/2022 | 2.0% | 6.1% | 300.0% |
| 8/11/2022 | -2.8% | -8.3% | 22.0% |
| 5/11/2022 | 15.7% | -1.0% | -6.1% |
| 3/17/2022 | 0.3% | -2.9% | -33.5% |
| 11/15/2021 | -3.7% | -0.9% | -14.3% |
| 8/11/2021 | -4.0% | -10.7% | -18.6% |
| 5/17/2021 | 17.4% | 11.7% | -3.5% |
| 3/17/2021 | 0.8% | -10.0% | -8.3% |
| 11/16/2020 | -6.7% | -10.4% | 13.0% |
| 9/29/2020 | 0.7% | -2.0% | -4.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 10.9% | 11.7% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -9.1% | -8.1% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 19.6% | 35.1% | 300.0% |
| Max Negative | -26.2% | -15.8% | -37.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/20/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/20/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/31/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/16/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 06/02/2020 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2019 | 10/11/2019 | 6-K |
| 04/30/2019 | 06/12/2019 | 6-K |
| 10/31/2018 | 12/11/2018 | 6-K |
| 07/31/2018 | 09/20/2018 | 6-K |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Buy | 6122026 | 13.12 | 3,810,000 | 49,987,200 | 7,529,356,492 | Form |
| 2 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 6122026 | 13.12 | 3,810,000 | 49,987,200 | 7,529,356,492 | Form |
| 3 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | the Mahkam Zanganeh Revocable Trust, with the Reporting Person as Trustee | Buy | 6042026 | 14.60 | 100,000 | 1,460,000 | 377,037,320 | Form |
| 4 | Soni, Manmeet Singh | COO and CFO | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 14.45 | 50,000 | 722,250 | 45,120,445 | Form |
| 5 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | the Mahkam Zanganeh Revocable Trust, with the Spouse of Reporting Person as Trustee | Buy | 6042026 | 14.60 | 100,000 | 1,460,000 | 377,037,320 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Buy | 6122026 | 13.12 | 3,810,000 | 49,987,200 | 7,529,356,492 | Form |
| 2 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 6122026 | 13.12 | 3,810,000 | 49,987,200 | 7,529,356,492 | Form |
| 3 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | the Mahkam Zanganeh Revocable Trust, with the Reporting Person as Trustee | Buy | 6042026 | 14.60 | 100,000 | 1,460,000 | 377,037,320 | Form |
| 4 | Soni, Manmeet Singh | COO and CFO | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 14.45 | 50,000 | 722,250 | 45,120,445 | Form |
| 5 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | the Mahkam Zanganeh Revocable Trust, with the Spouse of Reporting Person as Trustee | Buy | 6042026 | 14.60 | 100,000 | 1,460,000 | 377,037,320 | Form |
| 6 | Xia, Yu | Akeso, Inc. | Buy | 10232025 | 18.74 | 533,617 | 9,999,983 | 600,750,935 | Form | |
| 7 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Immediate family member of Spouse | Buy | 10232025 | 18.74 | 26,680 | 499,983 | 1,436,983 | Form |
| 8 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Immediate family member | Buy | 10232025 | 18.74 | 26,680 | 499,983 | 1,436,983 | Form |
| 9 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Buy | 9112025 | 18.07 | 5,000 | 90,350 | 10,048,602,136 | Form |
| 10 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 9112025 | 18.07 | 5,000 | 90,350 | 10,048,602,136 | Form |
| 11 | Zanganeh, Mahkam | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Buy | 9112025 | 17.68 | 333,394 | 5,894,406 | 9,831,637,431 | Form |
| 12 | Duggan, Robert W | Co-Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 9112025 | 17.68 | 333,394 | 5,894,406 | 9,831,637,431 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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