Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -327 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3914%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Computational Drug Discovery.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 108x
2  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 142%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2973%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2978%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 87%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -37%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Computational Drug Discovery.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -327 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3914%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 108x
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 142%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2973%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2978%
10 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 87%
11 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -37%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RLAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the significant stock movement for Relay Therapeutics (RLAY) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Initiation of Pivotal Phase 3 Trial for RLY-2608: The company initiated the Phase 3 ReDiscover-2 trial for its lead drug candidate, RLY-2608, a pan-mutant selective PI3Kα inhibitor, targeting breast cancer patients with high unmet medical needs. This advancement into a pivotal trial is a major de-risking event for a clinical-stage biotechnology company and signals significant progress towards potential market approval.

2. Positive Updated Clinical Data from ASCO 2025: Relay Therapeutics presented encouraging updated efficacy data for RLY-2608 at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) 2025 meeting. The data demonstrated a median progression-free survival of 10.3 months overall and 11.0 months in second-line patients with PI3Kα-mutated, HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer when combined with fulvestrant.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RLAY Return--26%-51%-26%-63%82%-82%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RLAY Win Rate60%42%42%50%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RLAY Max Drawdown--37%-57%-60%-63%-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRLAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven923.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Relay Therapeutics's stock fell -90.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/22/2021. A -90.2% loss requires a 923.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Relay Therapeutics (RLAY)

Better Bets than Relay Therapeutics (RLAY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RLAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Relay Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RLAYVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRelay Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price7.83463.13-1.07-11.079.45
Mkt Cap1.3118.4----59.9
Rev LTM811,723---08
Op Inc LTM-327-92----93-93
FCF LTM-2493,337----60-60
FCF 3Y Avg-2692,064----897
CFO LTM-2483,718----60-60
CFO 3Y Avg-2662,419----1,077

Growth & Margins

RLAYVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRelay Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-16.5%10.3%-----3.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg448.1%10.5%----229.3%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.7%----1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-3,914.4%-0.8%-----1,957.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3,096.7%26.2%-----1,535.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM191.2%1.0%----96.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,973.4%31.7%-----1,470.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2,271.9%23.1%-----1,124.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-2,978.3%28.5%-----1,474.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2,288.8%19.8%-----1,134.5%

Valuation

RLAYVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRelay Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap1.3118.4----59.9
P/S107.78.5----58.1
P/EBIT-2.822.4----9.8
P/E-3.027.2----12.1
P/CFO-3.626.9----11.7
Total Yield-33.1%3.7%-----14.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-27.6%2.3%-----12.7%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.6-0.0-----0.3

Returns

RLAYVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRelay Th.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn12.8%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Rtn90.5%16.8%---12.5%16.8%
6M Rtn142.4%3.9%----73.1%
12M Rtn78.4%1.3%----39.9%
3Y Rtn-58.3%44.1%-----7.1%
1M Excs Rtn12.9%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn90.4%11.3%---4.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn127.7%-10.8%----58.4%
12M Excs Rtn53.0%-14.6%----19.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.3%-25.9%-----78.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment26    
License and other revenue 13  
Total2613  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment   800393
Total   800393


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,371,170
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.6%
Average Daily Volume2,572,113
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.31
Basic Shares Quantity172,389,209
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021