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IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.69 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.69
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -97%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5378%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -49%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
  Key risks
IDYA key risks include [1] the uncertain clinical and regulatory success of its precision oncology pipeline and [2] its ongoing unprofitability and need for future funding.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5378%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -97%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -49%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
8 Key risks
IDYA key risks include [1] the uncertain clinical and regulatory success of its precision oncology pipeline and [2] its ongoing unprofitability and need for future funding.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IDYA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that contributed to the stock movement of IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:

1. Significant Servier Partnership and Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results. IDEAYA Biosciences reported a net income of $119.2 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. This was significantly bolstered by an exclusive license agreement with Servier for darovasertib outside the United States, providing IDEAYA with a $210 million upfront payment and eligibility for up to $320 million in milestone payments, which extended the company's cash runway into 2030.

2. Positive Phase 2 Data for Darovasertib in Neoadjuvant Uveal Melanoma. On October 20, 2025, IDEAYA presented positive clinical data from its Phase 2 OptimUM-09 trial of neoadjuvant darovasertib in primary uveal melanoma (UM) at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) conference. The data showed 83% of patients achieved ocular tumor shrinkage, and a 57% eye preservation rate was observed in enucleation-recommended patients. Darovasertib also received U.S. FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation in this setting, and a Phase 3 trial (OptimUM-10) was initiated in Q3 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IDYA Return87%69%-23%96%-28%32%351%
Peers Return-13%-41%-10%-67%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IDYA Win Rate58%67%58%67%25%58% 
Peers Win Rate62%43%37%43%38%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IDYA Max Drawdown-60%-4%-65%-27%-30%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-58%-58%-68%-50% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RPTX, ZNTL, TNGX, KURA, RLAY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIDYAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven227.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven470 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven91 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

IDEAYA Biosciences's stock fell -69.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/22/2021. A -69.4% loss requires a 227.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)

Better Bets than IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IDYA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for IDEAYA Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IDYARPTXZNTLTNGXKURARLAYMedian
NameIDEAYA B.Repare T.Zentalis.Tango Th.Kura Onc.Relay Th. 
Mkt Price33.732.191.348.7810.188.038.40
Mkt Cap3.00.10.11.00.91.40.9
Rev LTM215122767104847
Op Inc LTM-209-79-154-110-240-327-181
FCF LTM-105-70-134-14783-249-120
FCF 3Y Avg-125-93-170-130-68-269-128
CFO LTM-102-70-134-14688-248-118
CFO 3Y Avg-122-92-170-129-66-266-126

Growth & Margins

IDYARPTXZNTLTNGXKURARLAYMedian
NameIDEAYA B.Repare T.Zentalis.Tango Th.Kura Onc.Relay Th. 
Rev Chg LTM5,377.7%-82.2%-33.8%53.3%--16.5%-16.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1,747.2%-39.1%-41.4%-448.1%244.8%
Rev Chg Q---363.6%--363.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2,969.1%4,648.0%0.0%173.7%24.9%0.0%99.3%
Op Mgn LTM-97.2%-667.3%-572.2%-165.9%-230.5%-3,914.4%-401.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2,111.5%-330.8%--260.2%--3,096.7%-1,221.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5,391.7%44,782.7%65.9%481.4%33.3%191.2%336.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-47.6%-591.0%-498.8%-219.3%84.4%-2,973.4%-359.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,451.0%-311.9%--272.6%--2,271.9%-881.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-49.1%-591.0%-498.8%-220.7%79.9%-2,978.3%-359.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,484.2%-313.0%--275.9%--2,288.8%-898.6%

Valuation

IDYARPTXZNTLTNGXKURARLAYMedian
NameIDEAYA B.Repare T.Zentalis.Tango Th.Kura Onc.Relay Th. 
Mkt Cap3.00.10.11.00.91.40.9
P/S11.26.44.114.07.5107.79.3
P/EBIT-11.5---8.4-3.6-2.8-6.0
P/E-15.1-1.0-0.7-9.3-3.6-3.0-3.3
P/CFO-23.6-1.1-0.8-6.48.8-3.6-2.3
Total Yield-6.6%-95.5%-137.1%-10.8%-28.0%-33.1%-30.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.7%---13.9%-5.3%-27.6%-9.8%
D/E0.0--0.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.3---0.1-0.7-0.6-0.5

Returns

IDYARPTXZNTLTNGXKURARLAYMedian
NameIDEAYA B.Repare T.Zentalis.Tango Th.Kura Onc.Relay Th. 
1M Rtn1.2%0.5%1.5%10.0%-6.2%21.3%1.3%
3M Rtn38.0%25.9%-5.6%15.2%25.8%96.3%25.8%
6M Rtn54.3%55.3%-2.9%82.9%68.0%139.0%61.7%
12M Rtn28.1%50.0%-57.2%201.7%4.5%78.4%39.1%
3Y Rtn100.2%-85.7%-93.2%10.9%-16.4%-52.9%-34.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.4%-0.3%0.8%9.3%-6.9%20.6%0.6%
3M Excs Rtn27.3%22.7%-11.4%10.2%19.3%75.1%21.0%
6M Excs Rtn41.9%42.9%-15.3%70.5%55.6%126.6%49.3%
12M Excs Rtn22.8%12.7%-67.7%175.9%-5.4%59.4%17.7%
3Y Excs Rtn29.6%-154.4%-161.7%-46.3%-91.1%-120.6%-105.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development for oncology-focused precision medicine 512820 
Total 512820 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development for oncology-focused precision medicine649   113
Total649   113


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,717,025
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.9%
Average Daily Volume844,033
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.14
Basic Shares Quantity88,526,781
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.8%-1.5%14.8%
8/5/2025-3.5%-8.6%3.0%
5/6/2025-13.3%-10.4%3.1%
2/13/2025-5.4%-1.0%-15.4%
11/4/20244.9%9.4%-6.8%
8/6/2024-2.7%1.6%4.1%
5/7/2024-0.8%-4.7%-8.0%
2/20/2024-6.6%-2.0%-6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7711
# Negative141410
Median Positive2.8%1.6%5.8%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.8%-12.1%
Max Positive12.0%12.8%28.8%
Max Negative-34.8%-34.8%-20.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021