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Revolution Medicines (RVMD)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $79.42 | Market Cap: $15.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Revolution Medicines (RVMD)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $79.42
Market Cap: $15.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -69%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Bil
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -69%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RVMD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Revolution Medicines (RVMD) stock moved by approximately 107% from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Breakthrough Therapy Designations for Key Assets.

Revolution Medicines received two significant Breakthrough Therapy Designations (BTD) from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) during this period. On July 23, 2025, elironrasib, a RAS(ON) G12C-selective inhibitor, was granted BTD for previously treated KRAS G12C-mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Earlier, on June 23, 2025, daraxonrasib, a RAS(ON) multi-selective inhibitor, also received BTD for previously treated metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in patients with KRAS G12 mutations. These designations are intended to expedite development and review, highlighting strong preliminary clinical evidence and significant unmet medical needs. 2. FDA Orphan Drug Designation and Priority Voucher.

Further enhancing its regulatory position, Revolution Medicines announced on October 27, 2025, that its RAS(ON) multi-selective inhibitor, daraxonrasib, was granted U.S. FDA Orphan Drug Designation in pancreatic cancer. Additionally, on October 16, 2025, daraxonrasib was awarded one of the first vouchers under the FDA Commissioner's National Priority Voucher Pilot Program, a move designed to accelerate the development and review of important drugs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RVMD Return--36%-5%20%53%79%98%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%3%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RVMD Win Rate50%50%50%67%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RVMD Max Drawdown--40%-42%-23%-7%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRVMDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven274.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven904 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven68 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Revolution Medicines's stock fell -73.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -73.3% loss requires a 274.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Revolution Medicines (RVMD)

Better Bets than Revolution Medicines (RVMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RVMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Revolution Medicines

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RVMDVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRevoluti.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price78.48457.36-1.17-11.5445.01
Mkt Cap14.9116.9----65.9
Rev LTM011,723---00
Op Inc LTM-1,037-92----93-93
FCF LTM-7773,337----60-60
FCF 3Y Avg-5432,064----760
CFO LTM-7623,718----60-60
CFO 3Y Avg-5312,419----944

Growth & Margins

RVMDVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRevoluti.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%10.3%-----44.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-69.5%10.5%-----29.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

RVMDVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRevoluti.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap14.9116.9----65.9
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-8.222.4----7.1
P/E-9.227.2----9.0
P/CFO-11.626.9----7.7
Total Yield-10.9%3.7%-----3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%2.3%-----3.2%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

RVMDVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameRevoluti.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn34.0%8.5%-23.2%--4.6%15.8%
3M Rtn101.5%15.2%---14.5%15.2%
6M Rtn95.2%3.1%----49.1%
12M Rtn62.7%-1.4%----30.6%
3Y Rtn222.7%44.0%----133.4%
1M Excs Rtn32.7%7.2%-22.0%--5.9%14.6%
3M Excs Rtn88.0%9.7%---10.8%10.8%
6M Excs Rtn79.8%-12.4%----33.7%
12M Excs Rtn38.1%-15.2%----11.5%
3Y Excs Rtn173.4%-28.7%----72.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  294350
Total  294350


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment2,062812   
Total2,062812   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,485,484
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.0%
Average Daily Volume2,723,493
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.42
Basic Shares Quantity189,231,562
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021