Radware (RDWR)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $22.39 | Market Cap: $959.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Radware (RDWR)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $22.39Market Cap: $959.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 113x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Network Security, Cloud Security, and Software Security. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Network Security, Cloud Security, and Software Security. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 113x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
RDWR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of 7/31/2025 to November 18, 2025, is in the future. As such, it is not possible to provide key points for why Radware's (RDWR) stock moved by -13.2% during this future period. Stock movements are based on actual events, news, and financial performance, which have not yet occurred for the specified timeframe.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RDWR Return | 8% | 50% | -53% | -16% | 35% | -1% | -14% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 13% | -55% | 16% | 37% | -17% | -23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RDWR Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 55% | 35% | 50% | 53% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RDWR Max Drawdown | -35% | -9% | -56% | -27% | -6% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -1% | -59% | -38% | -40% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RDWR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 121 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 750 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ
In The Past
Radware's stock fell -65.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -65.5% loss requires a 190.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Radware Stock Lost 11%, Buy Or Wait? | Return | ||
| RDWR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 10 of Gains Streak for Radware Stock with 12% Return (vs. 37% YTD) [7/8/2025] | |||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy Radware Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Radware (RDWR) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Radware (RDWR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Radware (RDWR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Radware (RDWR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Radware (RDWR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| RDWR Stock Up 12% after 10-Day Win Streak | July 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RDWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Radware
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 907 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8 |
| FCF LTM | 113 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 120 |
| CFO LTM | 138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 149 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 28.2 |
| P/CFO | 20.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -72.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4112022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |