Paramount (PGRE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.59 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
Paramount (PGRE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.59Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 234% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Green Building Certification, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | |
| Key risksPGRE key risks include [1] heavy market concentration in New York City and San Francisco, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Green Building Certification, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 234% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Key risksPGRE key risks include [1] heavy market concentration in New York City and San Francisco, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PGRE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain a stock movement for Paramount (PGRE) around the specified time period:
1. Acquisition by Rithm Capital at a Fixed Price. Paramount Group's shareholders approved an all-cash acquisition by Rithm Capital Corp. for $6.60 per share on December 16, 2025. This definitive acquisition price would set a ceiling for the stock, and if shares were trading above this value, the stock would likely decline to align with the agreed-upon offer.
2. Executive Compensation and Governance Concerns. A Wall Street Journal article on May 20, 2025, highlighted that Paramount spent over $900,000 on the CEO's personal accounting services and more than $3 million on a private jet company partly owned by the CEO from 2022 to 2024. Industry analysts criticized high executive compensation amidst lagging returns, leading to an investigation by a shareholder litigation firm and potential legal challenges.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PGRE Return | -32% | -5% | -26% | -9% | -3% | 33% | -44% |
| Peers Return | -32% | 19% | -47% | 22% | 13% | -18% | -51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PGRE Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 60% | 37% | 50% | 52% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PGRE Max Drawdown | -57% | -11% | -31% | -32% | -17% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -5% | -48% | -39% | -27% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BXP, VNO, SLG, KRC, HPP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PGRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 184.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, BXP
In The Past
Paramount's stock fell -64.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -64.9% loss requires a 184.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PGRE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Paramount
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,019 |
| Op Inc LTM | 210 |
| FCF LTM | 142 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 191 |
| CFO LTM | 368 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 401 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.2 |
| P/E | 3.5 |
| P/CFO | 9.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 1.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 21.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.5% | 7.8% | 17.2% |
| 2/27/2025 | -2.0% | -6.7% | -7.6% |
| 10/30/2024 | -4.0% | 1.8% | -3.8% |
| 7/31/2024 | -3.4% | -10.5% | -5.5% |
| 5/1/2024 | 3.9% | 3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2/14/2024 | 7.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 11/1/2023 | 9.4% | 3.3% | 19.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -5.3% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.4% | 15.3% | 73.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.4% | -15.7% | -33.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |