Vornado Realty Trust (VNO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.92 | Market Cap: $6.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
Vornado Realty Trust (VNO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.92Market Cap: $6.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 73%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 73% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 17% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 73%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 73% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VNO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
As of the current date, information regarding the specific stock movement of Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) by -5.4% for the approximate future period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, and the key points explaining such movement, is not available.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VNO Return | -40% | 18% | -47% | 40% | 51% | -13% | -31% |
| Peers Return | -22% | 34% | -24% | 11% | 1% | -2% | -12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VNO Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 65% | 35% | 55% | 55% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VNO Max Drawdown | -55% | -6% | -47% | -39% | -19% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -6% | -31% | -22% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BXP, ARE, FRT, EPR, ALX. See VNO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VNO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 306.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 368.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to BXP, ARE, FRT, EPR, ALX
In The Past
Vornado Realty Trust's stock fell -75.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -75.4% loss requires a 306.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VNO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 09302023 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 28.2% | 73.2% | -15.3% |
| 12312022 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -11.3% | 39.5% | -39.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 09302023 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 28.2% | 73.2% | -15.3% |
| 12312022 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -11.3% | 39.5% | -39.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vornado Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,534 |
| Op Inc LTM | 408 |
| FCF LTM | 819 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 632 |
| CFO LTM | 909 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 709 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 32.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 46.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 47.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 41.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 42.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| P/S | 5.2 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 15.4 |
| P/CFO | 10.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 18.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property rentals | 1,524 | 1,511 | 1,354 | 1,323 | 1,590 |
| Building Maintenance Services LLC (BMS) cleaning fees | 142 | 138 | 120 | 106 | 125 |
| Other income | 49 | 44 | 33 | 25 | 19 |
| Tenant services | 42 | 45 | 37 | 34 | 48 |
| Trade shows | 21 | 33 | 19 | 11 | 41 |
| Parking revenues | 20 | 19 | 13 | ||
| Management and leasing fees | 13 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| Hotel Pennsylvania | 9 | 90 | |||
| Total | 1,811 | 1,800 | 1,589 | 1,528 | 1,925 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |