BXP (BXP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $69.58 | Market Cap: $11.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
BXP (BXP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $69.58Market Cap: $11.0 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 140% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.9%, FCF Yield is 10% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | Key risksBXP key risks include [1] its high concentration in premier office assets facing occupancy pressures, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.9%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 140% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
| Key risksBXP key risks include [1] its high concentration in premier office assets facing occupancy pressures, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BXP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The available information indicates that the requested time period, August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, falls within the future. Therefore, actual stock movement data and definitive causal factors for a -3.2% change during this specific future period are not available. However, some analyst expectations and reports from within 2025 offer insights into potential influences on BXP's stock performance leading up to and within this general timeframe.
1. Analyst Expectations of Funds From Operations (FFO) Decline for Fiscal Year 2025.
Analysts projected that BXP would deliver an FFO of $6.88 per share for the full fiscal year 2025, ending in December, representing a 3.1% year-over-year decrease. A decline in FFO per share can negatively impact investor sentiment.
2. Persistent Low Occupancy Rates.
BXP consistently observed low occupancy rates, with its total portfolio occupancy at 86.4% in Q2 2025. This sustained low occupancy likely unsettled investor confidence. Although the portfolio percentage leased saw a slight increase to 89.2% in Q3 2025 (excluding development deliveries), the total portfolio occupancy decreased to 86.0% when new development properties were added to the in-service portfolio, as these new properties had leases for which revenue recognition had not yet commenced.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BXP Return | -28% | 26% | -39% | 11% | 12% | -1% | -32% |
| Peers Return | -16% | 21% | -43% | 1% | -5% | -30% | -61% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BXP Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 57% | 33% | 45% | 48% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BXP Max Drawdown | -47% | -5% | -42% | -30% | -17% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -7% | -47% | -37% | -29% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARE, CUZ, HPP, BDN, BXP. See BXP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BXP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 315.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2098 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ARE, CUZ, HPP, BDN, BXP
In The Past
BXP's stock fell -64.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -64.3% loss requires a 179.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| BXP Earnings Notes | |||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for BXP Stock with 5.5% Return (vs. 4.1% YTD) [10/27/2025] | Notification | ||
| How Low Can BXP Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for BXP Stock with 9% Return (vs. 9.3% YTD) [9/16/2025] | Notification | ||
| BXP vs Merck: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| BXP vs VICI Properties: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does BXP Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than BXP Stock: Pay Less Than BXP To Get More From UNH, HCA | |||
| Better Bet Than BXP Stock: Pay Less Than BXP To Get More From HHH, VICI | |||
| Why BXP Stock Moved: BXP Stock Has Gained 23% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| BXP Stock Surges 5.5%, With A 5-Day Winning Spree | October 28th, 2025 | ||
| BXP Stock Up 9% after 5-Day Win Streak | September 17th, 2025 | ||
| BXP Stock Up 5.8% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BXP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 08312022 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.1% | -10.4% | -38.7% |
| 12312020 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.8% | 26.2% | -5.2% |
| 05312020 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.9% | 42.8% | -15.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 08312022 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.1% | -10.4% | -38.7% |
| 12312020 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.8% | 26.2% | -5.2% |
| 05312020 | BXP | BXP | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.9% | 42.8% | -15.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BXP
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 964 |
| Op Inc LTM | 219 |
| FCF LTM | 41 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 156 |
| CFO LTM | 417 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 383 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | -2.3 |
| P/E | -3.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | 1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -30.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -41.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -27.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -32.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -38.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -51.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -96.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 3,274 | ||||
| Development and management services | 28 | 28 | 30 | 40 | |
| Direct reimbursements of payroll and related costs from management services contracts | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | |
| Hotel | 39 | 14 | 7 | 49 | |
| Lease | 2,918 | 2,753 | 2,646 | 2,758 | |
| Parking and other | 107 | 82 | 71 | 104 | |
| Base rent | 0 | ||||
| Recoveries from tenants | 0 | ||||
| Total | 3,274 | 3,109 | 2,889 | 2,766 | 2,961 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 190 | ||||
| Total | 190 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -5.0% | -5.9% | -1.9% |
| 7/30/2025 | -1.5% | -0.6% | 7.9% |
| 4/29/2025 | -2.1% | -1.8% | 5.7% |
| 1/28/2025 | -5.9% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
| 10/29/2024 | -4.0% | -5.6% | -3.9% |
| 7/30/2024 | -1.8% | -5.9% | 2.3% |
| 4/30/2024 | -4.3% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 1/30/2024 | -5.0% | -9.6% | -7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| # Negative | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 1.8% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -2.4% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.4% | 6.0% | 38.8% |
| Max Negative | -5.9% | -9.9% | -11.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |