Nayax (NYAX)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $40.44 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Nayax (NYAX)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $40.44Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 57% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, and Software as a Service (SaaS). |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, and Software as a Service (SaaS). |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 57% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NYAX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NYAX Return | - | - | - | -3% | 53% | 40% | 107% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 13% | -55% | 16% | 37% | -17% | -23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NYAX Win Rate | - | - | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 55% | 35% | 50% | 53% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NYAX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -17% | 0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -1% | -59% | -38% | -40% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NYAX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 302 days | 464 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ
In The Past
Nayax's stock fell -41.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/21/2022. A -41.4% loss requires a 70.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Nayax Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Nayax Stock with -17% Return (vs. 47% YTD) [7/14/2025] | |||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Nayax Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Nayax (NYAX) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nayax (NYAX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nayax (NYAX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nayax (NYAX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nayax (NYAX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| NYAX Stock Down -17% after 7-Day Loss Streak | July 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NYAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nayax
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 907 |
| Op Inc LTM | 23 |
| FCF LTM | 113 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 120 |
| CFO LTM | 138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 149 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 28.2 |
| P/CFO | 21.7 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3042025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10022023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |