Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0  Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 173%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 63729900%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26499899%
0 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
1 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 173%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 63729900%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26499899%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MTSR Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTSR Return0%0%0%0%0%63729900%52509900%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-16%-43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTSR Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%78% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTSR Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Metsera (MTSR)

Better Bets than Metsera (MTSR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Metsera Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES
1Metsera Earnings Notes

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTSR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
16.1%16.1%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.6%2.6%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.2%14.2%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%-8.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
16.1%16.1%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.6%2.6%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.2%14.2%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%-8.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Metsera

Financials

MTSRVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameMetsera Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price63.73419.891.4712.002.155.588.79
Mkt Cap6.7107.8----57.2
Rev LTM011,419-0--0
Op Inc LTM-224-199--93---199
FCF LTM-1783,500--60---60
FCF 3Y Avg-1,984----1,984
CFO LTM-1783,846--60---60
CFO 3Y Avg-2,324----2,324

Growth & Margins

MTSRVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameMetsera Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.0%----11.0%
Rev Chg Q-12.1%----12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.9%----2.9%
Op Mgn LTM--1.7%-----1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.5%----26.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%----2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-33.7%----33.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.5%----22.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.6%----30.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.2%----19.2%

Valuation

MTSRVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameMetsera Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap6.7107.8----57.2
P/S-9.4----9.4
P/EBIT-21.124.5----1.7
P/E-21.729.6----4.0
P/CFO-37.628.0-----4.8
Total Yield-4.6%3.4%-----0.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.1%----2.1%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

MTSRVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameMetsera Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn21.8%7.2%-27.2%3.6%8.0%7.7%7.5%
3M Rtn93.2%-8.1%-5.2%-14.4%-4.6%
6M Rtn172.8%-15.8%59.8%--6.5%-26.6%
12M Rtn63,729,900.0%-11.6%5.0%--3.4%-0.8%
3Y Rtn63,729,900.0%34.6%-76.8%---34.6%
1M Excs Rtn20.6%2.2%-34.2%-1.9%5.3%-0.2%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn73.3%-18.5%-2.1%-8.1%-3.0%
6M Excs Rtn151.1%-37.6%38.0%--28.3%-4.9%
12M Excs Rtn63,729,882.8%-29.0%-17.8%--33.2%--23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn63,729,823.2%-41.0%-151.9%----41.0%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,870,247
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-24.8%
Average Daily Volume1,764,145
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.76
Basic Shares Quantity104,879,649
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2025-5.7%-12.7%-15.8%
3/26/2025-3.6%-15.9%-27.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative222
Median Positive   
Median Negative-4.7%-14.3%-21.6%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-5.7%-15.9%-27.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
123120231312025424B4 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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