Marcus & Millichap (MMI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.64 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Marcus & Millichap (MMI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.64Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.0% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.0% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MMI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points that could explain a -8.5% stock movement for Marcus & Millichap (MMI) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Lingering Commercial Real Estate Market Headwinds. While Marcus & Millichap reported a return to profitability in Q3 2025, the broader commercial real estate market faced significant challenges throughout 2023 and into 2024 due to high interest rates, inflation, and economic uncertainty. These persistent macroeconomic factors could continue to weigh on investor sentiment, leading to concerns about the long-term recovery and stability of the real estate investment sales and financing sectors, thereby impacting MMI's stock performance.
2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions. As of October 24, 2025, Wells Fargo maintained a "Sell" rating on Marcus & Millichap with a price target that implied a downside from the stock's then-current price. The overall average analyst rating for MMI stock during this period was also a "Sell," indicating a consensus belief among analysts that the stock was likely to underperform the broader market. Such analyst outlooks and target revisions can significantly influence investor decisions and contribute to a stock's decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MMI Return | -0% | 38% | -31% | 29% | -11% | -22% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 147% | 18% | -67% | 116% | -18% | 122% | 280% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MMI Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 56% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MMI Max Drawdown | -39% | -11% | -36% | -20% | -30% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -24% | -70% | -11% | -38% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JLL, OPEN, EXPI, CLBZ, GTSG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MMI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 832 days | 120 days |
Compare to JLL, OPEN, EXPI, CLBZ, GTSG
In The Past
Marcus & Millichap's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2022. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Marcus & Millichap
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,679 |
| Op Inc LTM | -15 |
| FCF LTM | 108 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 344 |
| CFO LTM | 119 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 446 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -72.8 |
| P/E | -52.7 |
| P/CFO | 13.4 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 37.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -19.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |