Tearsheet

Mitek Systems (MITK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.23 | Market Cap: $423.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Mitek Systems (MITK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.23
Market Cap: $423.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Identity Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Identity Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MITK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that may explain a stock movement of -9.1% for Mitek Systems (MITK) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Downward Adjustment of Revenue Projections: Revenue projections for fiscal year 2025 were adjusted downward, with estimates falling from a previously estimated $180.0 million to $174.5 million. This revised outlook likely created investor concern about future growth.

2. Negative Market Reaction to Revenues: The market showed a strong negative reaction to Mitek Systems' revenues around the start of the specified period, with shares tumbling by 30% on August 31, 2025. This indicates significant investor dissatisfaction with the company's revenue performance or outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MITK Return132%-0%-45%35%-15%-18%19%
Peers Return13%-2%-7%5%55%836%1483%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MITK Win Rate58%58%25%58%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%9%30%44%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MITK Max Drawdown-27%-21%-52%-10%-38%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-15%-8%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC. See MITK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMITKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1980.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven241 days1480 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

Mitek Systems's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mitek Systems (MITK)

Better Bets than Mitek Systems (MITK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MITK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mitek Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MITKADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameMitek Sy.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price9.24307.241.292.223.427.565.49
Mkt Cap0.465.40.1---0.4
Rev LTM1786,60527-21,026178
Op Inc LTM211,5151--06521
FCF LTM561,8471--255156
FCF 3Y Avg341,704---216216
CFO LTM571,9254--310183
CFO 3Y Avg351,775---271271

Growth & Margins

MITKADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameMitek Sy.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM7.0%13.8%29.7%--10.6%12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%11.7%---10.2%10.2%
Rev Chg Q1.7%17.1%86.2%--12.0%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%4.1%19.3%--2.9%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM11.7%22.9%5.0%--3.8%6.3%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.2%21.5%---6.9%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%0.8%-0.1%---0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM32.0%29.1%13.5%--30.2%29.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%30.7%---29.0%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM31.3%28.0%4.9%--24.9%26.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.1%29.5%---23.1%23.1%

Valuation

MITKADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameMitek Sy.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap0.465.40.1---0.4
P/S2.610.01.8---2.6
P/EBIT18.146.724.6---24.6
P/E29.363.235.8---35.8
P/CFO8.034.313.5---13.5
Total Yield3.4%1.6%2.8%---2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%3.3%----5.2%
D/E0.30.00.0---0.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.2----0.0

Returns

MITKADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameMitek Sy.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn1.1%1.2%-52.2%-12.3%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Rtn-4.9%-3.2%-53.8%-20.1%-14.5%-64.8%-17.3%
6M Rtn-5.4%3.0%104.0%-30.6%-14.5%-64.8%-10.0%
12M Rtn0.1%2.8%--27.5%4,785.7%-64.8%0.1%
3Y Rtn-11.6%52.8%--3,320.0%-64.8%20.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.1%1.2%-52.2%-12.2%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%-9.3%-59.4%-23.1%-19.8%-70.2%-21.5%
6M Excs Rtn-20.1%-11.7%89.3%-45.3%-29.2%-79.6%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.4%-8.3%--45.7%4,643.1%-78.4%-14.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.0%-15.5%--3,299.3%-137.6%-49.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,184,846
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.4%
Average Daily Volume275,641
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.93
Basic Shares Quantity45,894,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241216202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023415202410-Q 12/31/2023
9302023319202410-K 9/30/2023
63020231026202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023929202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022906202310-Q 12/31/2022
9302022731202310-K 9/30/2022
63020221028202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211213202110-K 9/30/2021