Lyell Immunopharma (LYEL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.35 | Market Cap: $330.6 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Lyell Immunopharma (LYEL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.35Market Cap: $330.6 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -176% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -216 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -360392% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2180x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -285800%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -286662% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -258% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -176% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -216 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -360392% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 2180x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -285800%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -286662% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -258% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LYEL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Lyell Immunopharma reported its business highlights and financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 12, 2025, which included updates on its clinical programs and financial position.
2. The company announced the acquisition of exclusive global rights to a next-generation CAR T-cell product candidate in clinical development for metastatic colorectal cancer on November 10, 2025.
3. Lyell presented two oral presentations from the Phase 1/2 clinical trial of Ronde-Cel for aggressive large B-cell lymphoma at the 67th ASH Annual Meeting and Exposition on November 3, 2025, demonstrating high rates of durable complete responses.
4. Lyell Immunopharma initiated the PiNACLE pivotal trial of LYL314 in patients with large B-cell lymphoma in the third- or later-line setting and presented positive new clinical data from its Phase 1/2 trial of LYL314 earlier in the year.
5. The company entered into a securities purchase agreement for a private placement, aiming to raise gross proceeds of up to approximately $100 million, which was reported to extend its cash runway into mid-2027 to support advancing its pipeline through key clinical milestones.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LYEL Return | - | - | -55% | -44% | -67% | 63% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -1% | -7% | -13% | -25% | 2% | -34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LYEL Win Rate | - | 17% | 42% | 42% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 29% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 15% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LYEL Max Drawdown | - | - | -64% | -60% | -69% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -10% | -17% | -24% | -25% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LYEL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1191.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Lyell Immunopharma's stock fell -92.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/10/2021. A -92.3% loss requires a 1191.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Lyell Immunopharma Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | |
| LYEL Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LYEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lyell Immunopharma
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 59.4 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -10 |
| CFO LTM | -6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -13.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -180,196.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -129,769.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -9,375.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -142,884.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -96,576.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -143,316.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -96,904.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 59.4 |
| P/S | 1,094.0 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 13.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.1 |
| Total Yield | -124.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -31.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 56.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 21.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 48.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
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