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Fate Therapeutics (FATE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.06 | Market Cap: $125.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Fate Therapeutics (FATE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.06
Market Cap: $125.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -107%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -178 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2097%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -72%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1365%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1402%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -133%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -107%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -178 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2097%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -72%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1365%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1402%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -133%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FATE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Fate Therapeutics (FATE) stock moved by approximately 3.8% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Fate Therapeutics reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 13, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company reported an EPS of -$0.27, beating the consensus estimate of -$0.29, and quarterly revenue of $1.74 million, which was above analysts' expectations of $1.63 million.

2. Strong Cash Position and Extended Operating Runway. The company announced a robust financial position with $225.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of September 30, 2025. Fate Therapeutics also projected an operating runway through year-end 2027, providing financial stability and confidence in its future operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FATE Return365%-36%-83%-63%-56%-39%-95%
Peers Return9%-4%-34%-44%-24%-2%-71%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FATE Win Rate83%33%25%33%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate21%19%15%21%17%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FATE Max Drawdown-12%-47%-83%-84%-57%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-13%-38%-47%-36%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ATRA, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI. See FATE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFATES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7015.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days120 days

Compare to ATRA, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Fate Therapeutics's stock fell -98.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -98.6% loss requires a 7015.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Fate Therapeutics (FATE)

Better Bets than Fate Therapeutics (FATE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FATE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fate Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FATEATRAACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameFate The.Atara Bi.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price1.0812.55-2.541.07-1.81
Mkt Cap0.10.2----0.1
Rev LTM8189-0--8
Op Inc LTM-1789--5---5
FCF LTM-119-64--6---64
FCF 3Y Avg-156-140--10---140
CFO LTM-116-64--6---64
CFO 3Y Avg-148-140--10---140

Growth & Margins

FATEATRAACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameFate The.Atara Bi.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM-31.2%202.4%----85.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.4%307.0%----145.8%
Rev Chg Q-71.8%-38.6%-----55.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-36.5%-5.5%-----21.0%
Op Mgn LTM-2,097.2%4.6%-----1,046.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1,295.8%-1,583.3%-----1,439.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-704.3%11.3%-----346.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,365.0%-33.9%-----699.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-887.9%-1,122.5%-----1,005.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,402.2%-33.9%-----718.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-908.5%-1,127.9%-----1,018.2%

Valuation

FATEATRAACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameFate The.Atara Bi.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap0.10.2----0.1
P/S15.70.5----8.1
P/EBIT-0.79.5----4.4
P/E-0.816.2----7.7
P/CFO-1.1-1.5-----1.3
Total Yield-129.2%6.2%-----61.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-56.9%-155.8%-----106.4%
D/E0.60.2----0.4
Net D/E-1.1-0.0-----0.6

Returns

FATEATRAACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameFate The.Atara Bi.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn-14.3%-9.4%-----11.8%
3M Rtn8.0%-0.6%----3.7%
6M Rtn-23.9%50.7%----13.4%
12M Rtn-58.9%-1.3%-----30.1%
3Y Rtn-94.8%-89.5%-----92.1%
1M Excs Rtn-14.3%-9.4%-----11.8%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%-7.3%-----0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-38.7%35.9%-----1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-79.5%-10.5%-----45.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-167.2%-160.5%-----163.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development collaborations6496563111
Total6496563111


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development collaborations-191    
Total-191    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development collaborations-161    
Total-161    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,586,108
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.0%
Average Daily Volume1,994,485
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.80
Basic Shares Quantity118,528,046
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021