Fate Therapeutics (FATE)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $1.01 | Market Cap: $120.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Fate Therapeutics (FATE)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $1.01Market Cap: $120.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -113% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -174% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2242% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 400% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1549%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1617% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -134% | ||
| Key risksFATE key risks include [1] critical reliance on the success of specific product candidates like FT819 in autoimmune indications, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -113% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -174% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2242% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -43% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 400% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1549%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1617% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -134% |
| Key risksFATE key risks include [1] critical reliance on the success of specific product candidates like FT819 in autoimmune indications, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Fate Therapeutics (FATE) experienced a negative movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025. Here are key points that may have contributed to this decline:1. Decreased Collaboration Revenue in Q3 2025: Fate Therapeutics reported a 44% decline in revenue for the third quarter of 2025 compared to Q3 2024, falling to $1.741 million. This decrease was primarily attributed to lower collaboration revenue from its partnership with Ono Pharmaceutical, reflecting softer timing of milestone payments and reduced revenue recognition, rather than a loss of product demand.
2. Sustained Losses and Market Skepticism: Despite beating analyst expectations for Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) and narrowing its net loss, the stock fell significantly month-to-date following the earnings report. The company has reported sustained losses for 12 consecutive years, contributing to ongoing market skepticism about its financial viability and path to profitability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.0% change in FATE stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 24.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9252025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.97 | 1.01 | 4.04% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8.47 | 7.14 | -15.74% |
| P/S Multiple | 13.59 | 16.84 | 23.96% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118.53 | 119.00 | -0.40% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.04% |
Market Drivers
9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FATE | 4.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.9% | 14.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 16.2% | 27.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.2% change in FATE stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -46.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6262025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.10 | 1.01 | -8.18% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13.34 | 7.14 | -46.48% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.76 | 16.84 | 72.46% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118.38 | 119.00 | -0.53% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.18% |
Market Drivers
6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FATE | -8.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 16.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 16.6% | 32.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.2% change in FATE stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -46.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12252024 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.66 | 1.01 | -39.16% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13.45 | 7.14 | -46.92% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.54 | 16.84 | 15.83% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117.77 | 119.00 | -1.04% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.16% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FATE | -39.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.3% | 21.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -90.8% change in FATE stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -89.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12262022 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.01 | 1.01 | -90.83% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 69.01 | 7.14 | -89.66% |
| P/S Multiple | 15.48 | 16.84 | 8.80% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 97.02 | 119.00 | -22.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -91.30% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FATE | -72.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.3% | 21.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 18.5% | 24.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FATE Return | 365% | -36% | -83% | -63% | -56% | -41% | -95% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -60% | -10% | -55% | -2% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FATE Win Rate | 83% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 34% | 32% | 33% | 37% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FATE Max Drawdown | -12% | -47% | -83% | -84% | -57% | -59% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -64% | -44% | -57% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALLO, CRSP, NTLA, CRBU, IPSC. See FATE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FATE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7015.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 120 days |
Compare to ATRA, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Fate Therapeutics's stock fell -98.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -98.6% loss requires a 7015.2% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Fate Therapeutics (FATE):
- Imagine the advanced cell therapies from Novartis or Gilead, but Fate Therapeutics is developing the 'ready-to-wear' version for broader patient access.
- Think of them as the Ford of cell therapies, aiming to mass-produce standardized, off-the-shelf cancer treatments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- FT576: A BCMA-targeting CAR NK cell therapy currently in clinical development for multiple myeloma.
- FT522: A CD19-targeting CAR NK cell therapy currently in clinical development for B-cell lymphomas and leukemias.
- FT536: An iPSC-derived NK cell therapy engineered with a high-affinity CD16 receptor, designed to enhance antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity against various cancers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Fate Therapeutics (FATE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company and sells primarily to other companies through collaboration and licensing agreements.
Its major customer is:
- Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4528)
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Bob Valamehr, Ph.D., M.B.A. President & CEO
Bahram (Bob) Valamehr was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Fate Therapeutics as of January 1, 2025. He previously served as the company's President of Research and Development for nearly 15 years, Chief Development Officer, and Vice President of Cancer Immunotherapy from 2016 to 2018. Prior to joining Fate Therapeutics, Dr. Valamehr held key scientific roles at Amgen, the Center for Cell Control (an NIH Nanomedicine Development Center), and the Broad Stem Cell Research Center, where his work focused on controlling pluripotency and modulating stem cell fate. He is credited with leading the development of Fate's induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) platform, which has resulted in numerous high-tier journal publications, over 500 issued patents, and the allowance of thirteen Investigational New Drug (IND) applications. Dr. Valamehr earned his Ph.D. from the Department of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology at UCLA, his M.B.A. from Pepperdine University, and his B.S. from the Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry at UCLA.
Kamal Adawi, M.S., M.B.A. Chief Financial Officer
Kamal Adawi was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Fate Therapeutics in October 2025. Before joining Fate Therapeutics, Mr. Adawi served as the Chief Financial Officer at Mindera Health. His prior experience includes serving as Corporate Secretary at Exagen Inc. and Chief Financial Officer at Pathway Genomics. Additionally, Mr. Adawi has held various financial leadership positions at companies such as Becton Dickinson, GenMark Dx, and Digirad Corporation.
Cindy Tahl, J.D. Chief Legal & Compliance Officer
Cindy Tahl serves as the Chief Legal & Compliance Officer at Fate Therapeutics, where she is responsible for providing legal advice, overseeing company compliance, and directing the development and expansion of the company's intellectual property portfolio. Before her tenure at Fate Therapeutics, Ms. Tahl worked as a technology transactions attorney at Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati, P.C. and practiced intellectual property law at Kenyon & Kenyon, LLP in New York. She has extensive experience working with biotechnology companies at various stages of growth, assisting clients with corporate transactions and patent strategy.
Tunde Babalola, Ph.D. Senior Vice President, Technical Operations
Tunde Babalola is the Senior Vice President of Technical Operations at Fate Therapeutics, where he is responsible for overseeing all GxP operations, process development, quality, and compliance activities. Dr. Babalola brings over 15 years of diverse experience in the fields of cell therapy, biologics, small molecules, combination products, and medical implants. Prior to joining Fate Therapeutics, he held leadership roles at Kite, A Gilead Company, where he led quality control and quality assurance site organizations for Yescarta® and Tecartus®.
Vaneet Sandhu, M.D. Vice President, Clinical Development
Vaneet Sandhu is the Vice President of Clinical Development at Fate Therapeutics, where she leads the development of the company's clinical programs focused on autoimmunity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Fate Therapeutics (FATE) are primarily centered around its clinical-stage nature, financial stability, and the highly competitive biotechnology landscape.
- Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risks: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Fate Therapeutics faces significant risks related to the successful development and regulatory approval of its product candidates. These risks include the possibility that product candidates may cause undesirable side effects, which could delay or halt their preclinical or clinical development, prevent regulatory approval, or limit their commercial potential. Delays in initiating, conducting, or completing clinical trials, including difficulties in recruiting patients or manufacturing adequate clinical supplies, could also substantially harm the business. The success of therapies like FT819 in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and other autoimmune indications is critical to the company's future, and any setbacks in efficacy or unexpected safety issues could significantly impact development timelines and commercial prospects. Furthermore, there is a risk that results observed in prior studies may not be replicated in ongoing or future studies, and any negative outcomes in crucial registrational trials could severely damage investor confidence and the company's valuation.
- Financial Challenges and Need for Additional Funding: Fate Therapeutics has consistently reported negative earnings, posing a significant challenge to its long-term viability. Despite having an extended cash runway, persistent losses indicate that the company may eventually need to secure additional funding, which could lead to dilution for existing shareholders. With ongoing operational losses, the company is projected to have negative earnings per share for the current and next fiscal year. If clinical trials do not yield positive results within its current cash runway, Fate Therapeutics may struggle to obtain favorable financing terms or attract strategic partnerships necessary for continued development and operations.
- Competition and Market Acceptance: Fate Therapeutics operates within the highly competitive and rapidly evolving field of cellular immunotherapies. The company faces significant competition from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies, and its operating results could suffer if it fails to compete effectively. Many approved CAR T-cell therapies already exist in the market, increasing the competitive pressure for Fate Therapeutics' iPSC-derived cell therapies. Even if product candidates are successfully developed and approved, intense competition or a lack of market acceptance could limit their commercial success.
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The emergence of robust, highly effective, and scalable alternative allogeneic cell therapy platforms that are not derived from induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) presents a clear emerging threat. While Fate Therapeutics is a leader in iPSC-derived cell therapies, other companies are developing off-the-shelf cell therapies using different foundational sources, such as gene-edited primary donor cells or cord blood, combined with advanced engineering techniques. Should these alternative platforms demonstrate superior clinical efficacy, safety profiles, or manufacturing advantages (e.g., lower cost or greater ease of production) compared to iPSC-derived therapies in late-stage clinical trials, they could diminish the unique value proposition and competitive advantage of Fate Therapeutics' iPSC platform. Companies pursuing these alternative approaches include Allogene Therapeutics (gene-edited donor T-cells) and Caribou Biosciences (CRISPR-edited allogeneic CAR-T and NK cells), whose successful advancement could challenge the long-term market positioning of iPSC-based cell therapies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Fate Therapeutics (symbol: FATE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing next-generation cellular immunotherapies for cancer and autoimmune disorders using its proprietary induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) platform. The addressable markets for their main product candidates and target disease areas are as follows:FT819 (Systemic Lupus Erythematosus / B-cell Mediated Autoimmune Diseases)
The global lupus market size is projected to grow to $6.78 billion by 2032. Additionally, the annual market for autoimmune therapies for lupus is estimated at $40 billion. FT819 is an off-the-shelf CAR T-cell therapy being developed for B-cell mediated autoimmune diseases, including moderate-to-severe Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE).FT825 (Solid Tumors)
The global solid tumor therapeutics market size was valued at USD 207.29 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to USD 307.41 billion by 2030. North America represented 42.43% of this market in 2024. FT825 (also known as ONO-8250) is an off-the-shelf CAR T-cell program for advanced solid tumors, developed in collaboration with Ono Pharmaceutical.FT522 and other programs targeting Hematologic Malignancies
The global hematologic malignancy therapeutics market reached US$ 77.06 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to US$ 154.32 billion by 2033. North America accounted for approximately 42.5% of the market share in 2024. FT522 is an off-the-shelf, CD19-targeted CAR NK cell product candidate currently in a Phase 1 clinical trial for relapsed/refractory B-cell lymphoma, which falls under hematologic malignancies. Fate Therapeutics also has other iPSC-derived NK and T-cell programs generally targeting hematologic malignancies.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Fate Therapeutics (FATE) over the next 2-3 years:
- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of FT819 in Autoimmune Diseases: Fate Therapeutics' lead product candidate, FT819, an off-the-shelf CAR T-cell therapy, is a significant driver of future revenue. The company received Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation for FT819 from the FDA in April 2025, which is expected to expedite its development and regulatory review pathway. Fate Therapeutics aims to commence a registrational study for FT819 in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and Lupus Nephritis (LN) in 2026. Promising clinical data for FT819 in these indications, demonstrating significant disease improvement with less-intensive or no conditioning, supports its potential to address substantial unmet medical needs in the autoimmune disease market.
- Expansion of FT819 and FT839 into Additional Autoimmune Indications: Beyond SLE and LN, Fate Therapeutics plans to broaden the clinical investigation of FT819 to include other B cell-mediated autoimmune diseases such as anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV), idiopathic inflammatory myositis (IIM), and systemic sclerosis (SSc) in the second half of 2025. Additionally, the company intends to initiate clinical investigation for FT839 in autoimmunity beginning in 2026. This strategic expansion into multiple autoimmune indications represents a substantial opportunity for future revenue growth by targeting a larger patient population.
- Progress in Solid Tumor Programs, including FT825/ONO-8250 and Collaborative Candidates: The company's pipeline includes programs for solid tumors, such as FT825/ONO-8250, an iPSC-derived CAR T-cell product candidate that has shown a favorable safety profile in initial Phase 1 clinical data. Furthermore, Fate Therapeutics has an ongoing partnership with Ono Pharmaceuticals, which is already generating revenue from preclinical development activities for a second collaboration candidate targeting an undisclosed solid tumor antigen. Continued advancement and potential future milestones or commercialization from these solid tumor programs and collaborations could contribute to revenue growth.
- Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: The existing collaboration with Ono Pharmaceuticals, which contributed $1.9 million in revenue in the second quarter of 2025, demonstrates the potential for revenue generation through strategic alliances. As Fate Therapeutics' proprietary induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) product platform and pipeline advance, establishing new partnerships or expanding existing ones could lead to additional upfront payments, research funding, milestone payments, and future royalties, thereby diversifying and increasing revenue streams.
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Share Issuance
- In March 2024, Fate Therapeutics priced an underwritten offering of 14,545,454 shares of common stock at $5.50 per share and a concurrent private placement of pre-funded warrants for 3,636,364 shares, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $100.0 million.
- In June 2020, Fate Therapeutics completed a public offering of 7,108,796 shares of common stock, including the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase additional shares, at $28.31 per share, resulting in aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $201.3 million.
- On October 13, 2025, the Board approved an increase of an additional 1,750,000 shares to the reserve under the Inducement Plan, adopted without stockholder approval pursuant to Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4).
Inbound Investments
- Fate Therapeutics received a $4 million award from the California Institute of Regenerative Medicine (CIRM) in January 2025 to support IND-enabling activities for its FT836 product candidate.
- In June 2022, Fate Therapeutics expanded its collaboration with Ono Pharmaceutical to include the research and development of CAR-targeted natural killer (NK) cell candidates for solid tumors. The collaboration with Ono Pharmaceutical also generates revenue from preclinical development activities for collaboration candidates.
- As of March 31, 2025, Fate Therapeutics reported $272.7 million in cash and investments, with a projected operating runway through the first half of 2027. The company reported $248.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of June 30, 2025, extending its operating runway through the end of 2027.
Capital Expenditures
- Fate Therapeutics anticipates incurring significant operating and capital expenditures as it continues research and development, seeks regulatory approval for product candidates, in-licenses or acquires new product candidates, implements additional infrastructure and internal systems, and hires additional personnel.
- Net proceeds from the June 2020 public offering were intended to fund, among other things, the expansion of its cGMP compliant manufacturing operations, including the construction, commissioning, and qualification of its new facility.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Fate Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 1.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 22 |
| Op Inc LTM | -193 |
| FCF LTM | -143 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -176 |
| CFO LTM | -142 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -173 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -33.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -17.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,577.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1,110.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -864.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -896.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -937.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -925.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 17.3 |
| P/EBIT | -1.8 |
| P/E | -1.9 |
| P/CFO | -1.6 |
| Total Yield | -55.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -50.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -74.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -158.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.01 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/01/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -46.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.18 | $1.13 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.1% | -10.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 98.1% | 100.4% |
| Downside Capture | 168.94 | 181.57 |
| Upside Capture | 150.07 | 106.03 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.1% | 16.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.07 | 0.71 | 0.99 | 1.76 | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Up Beta | 3.77 | 0.41 | -0.29 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| Down Beta | 2.51 | 1.64 | 1.28 | 2.02 | 0.61 | 1.45 |
| Up Capture | 17% | -24% | 109% | 153% | 92% | 139% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 29 | 55 | 111 | 329 |
| Down Capture | 226% | 74% | 108% | 211% | 148% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 66 | 131 | 406 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of FATE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FATE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -39.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 99.7% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 21.7% | 16.6% | -1.2% | -5.2% | 10.0% | 22.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of FATE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FATE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -59.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 90.7% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.55 | 0.41 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 27.5% | 32.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 30.0% | 22.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of FATE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FATE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -11.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 85.1% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 | 0.48 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 30.2% | 33.6% | 3.0% | 10.0% | 25.1% | 14.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -4.6% | 1.0% | 7.7% |
| 8/12/2025 | 20.7% | 21.8% | 8.9% |
| 3/5/2025 | 14.9% | 11.6% | -24.9% |
| 11/12/2024 | -8.8% | -8.4% | -19.1% |
| 8/13/2024 | -2.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% |
| 5/9/2024 | 4.6% | 6.2% | -1.0% |
| 2/26/2024 | 7.3% | 1.9% | -1.3% |
| 11/8/2023 | -8.6% | 6.4% | -3.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -7.2% | -14.8% |
| Max Positive | 20.7% | 21.8% | 67.8% |
| Max Negative | -9.4% | -19.9% | -30.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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