Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -122 Mil
2   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.68
3   Key risks
NKTX key risks include [1] clinical uncertainties from its strategic pivot of lead candidate NKX019 into autoimmune diseases and [2] the challenge of differentiating its CAR-NK technology platform against intense competition.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -122 Mil
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.68
6 Key risks
NKTX key risks include [1] clinical uncertainties from its strategic pivot of lead candidate NKX019 into autoimmune diseases and [2] the challenge of differentiating its CAR-NK technology platform against intense competition.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NKTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Continued Net Losses and Zero Revenue: Nkarta reported a net loss of $21.7 million for the third quarter of 2025 and a cumulative net loss of $76.68 million for the first three quarters of 2025. Analysts have consistently forecast $0 revenue for Nkarta in 2025, and the company's earnings are anticipated to decrease further in the coming year.

2. Delay in Key Clinical Data Readouts: Initial clinical data for NKX019 in multiple autoimmune indications, which was previously expected in the second half of 2025, is now planned to be presented at a medical conference in 2026. This postponement of crucial clinical trial results likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NKTX Return-75%-61%10%-62%-27%
Peers Return-64%-29%-43%-10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKTX Win Rate60%42%33%42%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate34%33%30%43%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NKTX Max Drawdown-79%-67%-78%-67%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-68%-56%-51%-47% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FATE, ALLO, CRSP, CRBU, CELU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNKTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4592.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Nkarta's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4592.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nkarta (NKTX)

Better Bets than Nkarta (NKTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Nkarta Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NKTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nkarta

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NKTXFATEALLOCRSPCRBUCELUMedian
NameNkarta Fate The.Allogene.CRISPR T.Caribou .Celulari. 
Mkt Price1.771.051.4254.741.621.301.52
Mkt Cap0.20.10.35.00.20.00.2
Rev LTM070359418
Op Inc LTM-122-160-225-574-147-49-153
FCF LTM-94-115-159-328-128-7-122
FCF 3Y Avg-109-144-209-271-123-29-133
CFO LTM-92-111-158-302-126-7-118
CFO 3Y Avg-87-138-207-256-116-28-127

Growth & Margins

NKTXFATEALLOCRSPCRBUCELUMedian
NameNkarta Fate The.Allogene.CRISPR T.Caribou .Celulari. 
Rev Chg LTM--46.9%-100.0%-82.5%-19.0%-15.8%-46.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--26.8%-57.8%388.5%28.8%63.1%28.8%
Rev Chg Q--43.4%--8.6%-43.2%-43.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--15.7%-0.0%1.9%-9.0%-4.5%
Op Mgn LTM--2,241.8%--1,641.1%-1,577.4%-120.1%-1,609.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--1,299.5%--685.5%-1,110.8%-287.1%-898.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--144.5%--62.7%127.0%-13.9%-38.3%
CFO/Rev LTM--1,549.2%--864.3%-1,351.7%-16.2%-1,108.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--896.6%--374.0%-904.5%-158.0%-635.3%
FCF/Rev LTM--1,617.3%--937.6%-1,374.2%-16.4%-1,155.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--925.3%--402.2%-946.9%-168.1%-663.7%

Valuation

NKTXFATEALLOCRSPCRBUCELUMedian
NameNkarta Fate The.Allogene.CRISPR T.Caribou .Celulari. 
Mkt Cap0.20.10.35.00.20.00.2
P/S-17.5-142.816.30.816.9
P/EBIT--0.8--8.7-1.0-0.5-0.9
P/E-1.5-0.8-1.3-10.2-1.0-0.4-1.1
P/CFO-1.7-1.1-1.7-16.5-1.2-5.2-1.7
Total Yield-67.0%-124.9%-77.0%-9.8%-104.0%-235.5%-90.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--65.7%--6.2%-53.5%-65.0%-59.3%
D/E-0.6-0.00.21.90.4
Net D/E--1.1--0.3-0.81.9-0.6

Returns

NKTXFATEALLOCRSPCRBUCELUMedian
NameNkarta Fate The.Allogene.CRISPR T.Caribou .Celulari. 
1M Rtn-2.2%7.9%15.4%-1.0%-14.3%-14.5%-1.6%
3M Rtn-7.3%10.5%25.7%-7.3%-5.8%-39.5%-6.6%
6M Rtn-2.7%-13.2%10.1%23.2%26.6%-27.4%3.7%
12M Rtn-22.0%-44.1%-31.4%22.7%-16.5%-40.9%-26.7%
3Y Rtn-74.8%-92.0%-79.5%17.9%-79.1%-91.2%-79.3%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%7.2%14.7%-1.8%-15.0%-15.2%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.4%3.7%16.0%-14.4%-10.3%-42.0%-11.4%
6M Excs Rtn-15.1%-25.6%-2.3%10.8%14.2%-39.8%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-35.4%-53.7%-35.9%14.0%-26.3%-52.5%-35.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-145.4%-162.0%-150.8%-61.2%-148.6%-160.5%-149.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Research and development of cell therapies for patients with autoimmune diseases37947327433848
Total37947327433848


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,309,675
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.2%
Average Daily Volume617,972
Days-to-Cover Short Interest16.68
Basic Shares Quantity74,024,543
Short % of Basic Shares13.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20252.6%-7.7%-4.6%
8/12/202512.8%17.3%5.6%
3/26/202543.8%39.4%54.0%
11/7/2024-2.4%-17.4%-24.5%
3/21/2024-31.3%-16.7%-43.1%
11/9/2023-1.0%14.9%36.1%
8/10/20231.5%-2.0%-20.5%
3/16/20232.4%-10.1%22.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive976
# Negative7910
Median Positive5.0%9.0%31.2%
Median Negative-2.3%-10.0%-22.5%
Max Positive43.8%39.4%119.0%
Max Negative-31.3%-17.4%-43.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021