Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 6.4%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.1 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.

Key risks
GILD key risks include [1] looming patent expirations and subsequent generic competition for its highly profitable HIV franchise and [2] pipeline setbacks, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.1 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
6 Key risks
GILD key risks include [1] looming patent expirations and subsequent generic competition for its highly profitable HIV franchise and [2] pipeline setbacks, Show more.

GILD in ETFs

Weight = GILD's share of each fund

SPY0.24%
VOO0.26%
IVV0.24%
VTI0.23%
ITOT0.22%
QQQ0.67%
QQQM0.71%
IWB0.23%
+45 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 6/10/2026

Gilead Sciences (GILD) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. A significant revision in fiscal year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance to a loss due to substantial acquisition-related charges. Gilead Sciences' fiscal year runs from January 1 to December 31. The company revised its full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS outlook to an adjusted loss of $1.05 to $0.65 per share, a dramatic shift from its prior profit estimate of $8.45 to $8.85 per share. This change was primarily driven by an $11.5 billion charge for acquired in-process research and development (IPR&D) costs from recent acquisitions, which are expensed immediately.

2. The discontinuation of a Phase 3 oncology trial for a key therapeutic combination. Gilead and Merck discontinued the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-D46/EVOKE-03 trial for Trodelvy plus Keytruda in previously untreated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer on June 9, 2026. This decision was made after the combination failed to achieve statistical significance for progression-free survival and had a low probability of a meaningful overall survival benefit.

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Updated on 6/10/2026

Gilead Sciences (GILD) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. A significant revision in fiscal year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance to a loss due to substantial acquisition-related charges. Gilead Sciences' fiscal year runs from January 1 to December 31. The company revised its full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS outlook to an adjusted loss of $1.05 to $0.65 per share, a dramatic shift from its prior profit estimate of $8.45 to $8.85 per share. This change was primarily driven by an $11.5 billion charge for acquired in-process research and development (IPR&D) costs from recent acquisitions, which are expensed immediately.

2. The discontinuation of a Phase 3 oncology trial for a key therapeutic combination. Gilead and Merck discontinued the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-D46/EVOKE-03 trial for Trodelvy plus Keytruda in previously untreated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer on June 9, 2026. This decision was made after the combination failed to achieve statistical significance for progression-free survival and had a low probability of a meaningful overall survival benefit.

3. Weakness in the cell therapy portfolio due to increasing competitive pressures. Cell therapy product sales declined by 12% to $407 million in fiscal Q1 2026, reflecting increased competition. This followed a 6% decrease in cell therapy sales in fiscal Q4 2025 due to ongoing competitive headwinds.

4. Substantial insider selling activity over the past three months. Insiders at Gilead Sciences sold over $10.4 million worth of stock in the last three months leading up to June 10, 2026.

5. Initial investor disappointment regarding guidance for the new HIV prevention drug, Yeztugo. At the time of the fiscal Q4 2025 earnings call on February 10, 2026, Gilead's full-year 2026 sales forecast of approximately $800 million for Yeztugo fell short of investors' "whisper" expectations of $1 billion, contributing to an immediate stock dip.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.1% change in GILD stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266282026Change
Stock Price ($)147.14127.88-13.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,44129,7341.0%
Net Income Margin (%)28.9%31.0%7.2%
P/E Multiple21.517.2-19.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2411,242-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-13.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GILD-13.1% 
Market (SPY)6.6%35.9%
Sector (XLV)0.5%63.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.5% change in GILD stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)113020256282026Change
Stock Price ($)123.50127.883.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,08629,7342.2%
Net Income Margin (%)27.9%31.0%11.2%
P/E Multiple18.917.2-9.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2431,2420.1%
Cumulative Contribution3.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GILD3.5% 
Market (SPY)7.3%26.7%
Sector (XLV)2.6%53.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.0% change in GILD stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120256282026Change
Stock Price ($)106.53127.8820.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)28,73429,7343.5%
Net Income Margin (%)20.8%31.0%49.3%
P/E Multiple22.317.2-22.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2461,2420.3%
Cumulative Contribution20.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GILD20.0% 
Market (SPY)25.1%22.2%
Sector (XLV)23.0%49.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 85.2% change in GILD stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120236282026Change
Stock Price ($)69.05127.8885.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,04329,73410.0%
Net Income Margin (%)20.6%31.0%50.1%
P/E Multiple15.417.211.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,2481,2420.5%
Cumulative Contribution85.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GILD85.2% 
Market (SPY)81.3%22.2%
Sector (XLV)31.9%48.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GILD Return30%24%-2%19%37%2%161%
Peers Return23%18%-15%4%18%10%67%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GILD Win Rate58%33%42%67%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%62%37%48%60%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GILD Max Drawdown-10%-20%-14%-27%-17%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-18%-26%-21%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ABBV, MRK, BMY, PFE, JNJ. See GILD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGILDS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-13.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven181 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven230 days427 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven436 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-17.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven83 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2908 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-22.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven2484 days15 days

Compare to ABBV, MRK, BMY, PFE, JNJ

In The Past

Gilead Sciences's stock fell -9.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGILDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven230 days427 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven436 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2908 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-22.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven2484 days15 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.3%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven231 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-20.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven24 days1085 days

Compare to ABBV, MRK, BMY, PFE, JNJ

In The Past

Gilead Sciences's stock fell -9.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gilead Sciences (GILD)

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing innovative medicines for areas of unmet medical need across the United States, Europe, and other international markets. The company's core mission involves creating life-saving and life-improving treatments for a range of serious illnesses, working at the forefront of medical science to address complex health challenges.

Gilead's extensive product portfolio targets several critical disease areas. It is a recognized leader in HIV/AIDS treatment, with key products including Biktarvy and Genvoya, and also developed Veklury for COVID-19. Additionally, the company offers significant therapies for liver diseases such as Epclusa and Harvoni. Expanding its reach, Gilead has a growing presence in hematology, oncology, and cell therapy with products like Yescarta and Trodelvy for various cancers. Its primary customers are patients and healthcare providers globally, who rely on these specialized medicines to manage and treat complex and life-threatening conditions.

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The Pfizer or Merck of antiviral and oncology treatments.

Like a Bristol Myers Squibb, but historically a leader in breakthrough antiviral and liver disease medicines.

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  • Biktarvy, Genvoya, Descovy, Odefsey, Truvada, Complera/Eviplera, Stribild, Atripla: Products for the treatment of HIV/AIDS.
  • Veklury: An injection for intravenous use for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
  • Epclusa, Harvoni, Vosevi, Vemlidy, Viread: Products for the treatment of liver diseases.
  • Yescarta, Tecartus, Trodelvy, Zydelig: Products for the treatment of hematology, oncology, and cell therapy patients.
  • Letairis: An oral formulation for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
  • Ranexa: An oral formulation for the treatment of chronic angina.
  • AmBisome: A liposomal formulation for the treatment of serious invasive fungal infections.

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Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) primarily sells its pharmaceutical products to major wholesale distributors, who then distribute them to pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers. The company's major customers are:

  • AmerisourceBergen Corporation (NYSE: ABC)
  • Cardinal Health, Inc. (NYSE: CAH)
  • McKesson Corporation (NYSE: MCK)
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Daniel P. O'Day, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Daniel P. O'Day joined Gilead Sciences in March 2019 as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Before his tenure at Gilead, he served as the Chief Executive Officer of Roche Pharmaceuticals for over three decades, where he held various executive positions across the company’s pharmaceutical and diagnostics divisions in North America, Europe, and Asia. He was also a member of Roche's Corporate Executive Committee and served on the boards of Genentech, Flatiron Health, and Foundation Medicine. Mr. O'Day holds a bachelor's degree in biology from Georgetown University and an MBA from Columbia University.

Andrew Dickinson, Chief Financial Officer

Andrew Dickinson was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Gilead Sciences, effective November 1, 2019, having joined the company in 2016. In this role, he is responsible for the company's global finance, corporate development, information technology, operations, and strategy organizations. Prior to joining Gilead, Mr. Dickinson was the Global Co-Head of Healthcare Investment Banking at Lazard Frères & Co. for nine years. Earlier in his career, he served as General Counsel and Vice President of Corporate Development at Myogen, Inc., which was acquired by Gilead in 2006. He earned a B.A. in molecular, cellular, and developmental biology from the University of Colorado at Boulder and a J.D. from Loyola University of Chicago.

Johanna Mercier, Chief Commercial & Corporate Affairs Officer

Johanna Mercier joined Gilead in 2019 as Chief Commercial & Corporate Affairs Officer, with responsibility for driving global commercialization and expanding access to Gilead's therapies. Prior to Gilead, she spent 25 years at Bristol-Myers Squibb, where she held various senior leadership roles across the U.S. and international markets, including President and Head of BMS' Large Markets division. Ms. Mercier holds a bachelor's degree in biology from the University of Montreal and an MBA from Concordia University.

Flavius Martin, MD, Executive Vice President, Research

Flavius Martin, MD, joined Gilead as Executive Vice President, Research, in April 2021, overseeing the company's innovative research and preclinical programs. Before coming to Gilead, he was Vice President, Research Biology at Amgen, where he led Oncology, Inflammation, and Cardiometabolic Research and was the site head for Amgen South San Francisco. He also worked as a scientist and leader at Genentech prior to Amgen. Dr. Martin received his MD degree from the University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timisoara, Romania, and completed his postdoctoral studies at the University of Alabama at Birmingham.

Dietmar Berger, MD, PhD, Chief Medical Officer

Dietmar Berger, MD, PhD, joined Gilead Sciences as Chief Medical Officer on January 2, 2025. In this role, he is responsible for the company’s virology, oncology, and inflammation pipeline, as well as its global Development and Medical Affairs organizations. Dr. Berger is a board-certified internist, hematologist, and oncologist with over 25 years of experience in developing and delivering innovative medicines. Before joining Gilead, he served as Senior Vice President, Chief Medical Officer, and Global Head of Development at Sanofi. His prior experience also includes executive and development roles at Atara Biotherapeutics Inc., Genentech Inc., Bayer Healthcare Pharmaceuticals Inc., and Amgen Inc. He is a Professor of Medicine at the University of Freiburg Hospital in Germany and holds an MD and PhD from the Albert-Ludwigs University School of Medicine.

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The public company Gilead Sciences (symbol: GILD) faces several key risks to its business operations and future growth.
  1. Intensifying Competition and Market Share Erosion: Gilead operates in highly competitive therapeutic areas, particularly in HIV and oncology, where it faces significant rivalry from other major biopharmaceutical companies such as ViiV Healthcare, Roche, Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS), Novartis, Pfizer, and Amgen. This competition can lead to market share losses, pricing pressures, and the need for continuous innovation to maintain its market position. Furthermore, the expiration of patents on key drugs can lead to the entry of generic and biosimilar versions, causing substantial revenue declines and impacting profitability. While its major HIV drug, Biktarvy, has primary patent protection until 2027 and other patents extending to 2033, the company has experienced revenue losses and workforce reductions due to patent expirations on other products like Ranexa and Letairis. Gilead has also faced antitrust lawsuits alleging anticompetitive practices aimed at delaying the entry of generic competitors for its HIV treatments, which could result in significant legal and financial consequences.
  2. Pipeline Dependence and Clinical Trial Setbacks: As a biopharmaceutical company, Gilead's future growth is heavily dependent on the successful development and commercialization of new medicines from its pipeline. There are inherent risks associated with clinical trials, including the potential for unfavorable results, delays in timelines, or even outright failures. For example, the FDA has placed clinical holds on some of Gilead's investigational HIV programs. A notable setback was the abandonment of its anti-CD47 drug magrolimab, which was found to be ineffective and potentially harmful in a Phase 3 study, highlighting the significant financial and strategic risks associated with pipeline failures. Additionally, the company faces "pipeline liability" lawsuits alleging that it delayed bringing safer alternative drugs to market, which could create new legal precedents and financial liabilities.
  3. Regulatory and Legal Scrutiny: Beyond antitrust-related litigation, Gilead is subject to extensive regulatory and legal oversight that can significantly impact its business. This includes the risk of increased government regulation on drug pricing in the United States and Europe, which could pressure operating margins. The company has also faced scrutiny from the SEC regarding oncology revenue reporting and is subject to class-action lawsuits, which introduce financial uncertainties, potential fines, and reputational damage. Regulatory actions, such as FDA clinical holds on development programs, can cause significant delays and impact the trajectory of key pipeline assets.

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Here are the addressable market sizes for Gilead Sciences' main products and services:
  • HIV Drugs: The global HIV drugs market size was valued at USD 32.85 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 45.07 billion by 2033. Another source indicates the global HIV drugs market size was USD 38.27 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 66.09 billion by 2034. The market was valued at USD 32,804.43 million in 2022 and is estimated to reach USD 51,046.10 million by 2032. North America is the leading region in this market.
  • COVID-19 Antiviral Treatments (Veklury): The specific antiviral drugs for COVID-19 market size was USD 15.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 33.17 billion in 2030. The global COVID-19 therapeutics market size was USD 32542.5 million in 2025. The global COVID-19 infection market size was valued at USD 26.82 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 70.31 billion by 2032.
  • Hepatitis C (Epclusa, Harvoni, Vosevi): The global hepatitis C testing market size was valued at $1.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $2.6 billion by 2035. The hepatitis C market size reached a value of USD 18.0 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 47.1 billion by 2034. Another report states the global hepatitis C market size was USD 7.95 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach around USD 10.62 billion by 2034. The hepatitis C market size was USD 75.72 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 153.67 billion in 2030.
  • Hepatitis B (Vemlidy, Viread): The global hepatitis B vaccine market was valued at USD 6.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 12 billion by 2034. The hepatitis B therapeutics market size is forecast to increase by USD 469.5 million between 2023 and 2028. The global hepatitis B market is accounted at USD 4.94 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 6.86 billion by 2035. Another source indicates the global hepatitis B therapeutics market size was USD 2.48 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 6.66 billion in 2034.
  • CAR T-cell Therapy (Yescarta, Tecartus): The global CAR T-cell therapy market size was estimated at USD 5.82 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 22.36 billion by 2033. Other estimates include USD 8.95 billion in 2025, projected to USD 19.25 billion by 2034, and USD 20.54 billion in 2025, projected to surpass USD 268.0 billion by 2035. North America dominated the global CAR T-cell therapy market.
  • Trodelvy (Oncology): Global sales for Trodelvy are expected to reach nearly $3 billion by 2029.
  • Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (Letairis): The global pulmonary arterial hypertension market size was estimated at USD 8.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 13.34 billion by 2033. Other estimates include USD 8.11 billion in 2025, estimated to reach USD 11.27 billion by 2031, and USD 8.48 billion in 2025, predicted to increase to approximately USD 13.50 billion by 2034. North America maintains the largest share of this market.
  • Chronic Angina (Ranexa): The angina market size was $10.71 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $14.44 billion in 2029. Another source indicates the global angina market is expected to reach $14.84 billion by 2030. The global angina pectoris drugs market size was estimated at USD 11.37 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 15.71 billion by 2030. North America was the largest region in the angina market in 2024.
  • Invasive Fungal Infections (AmBisome): The Invasive Fungal Infection Market was valued at USD 7.55 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 9.44 billion by 2030. Another source states the global invasive fungal infection market was valued at USD 6.61 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach USD 9.06 billion in 2030. The invasive fungal infections market size is expected to grow to $10.1 billion in 2030. North America holds the largest market share in the global invasive fungal infection market.

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Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and product advancements:

  1. Continued Growth in the HIV Franchise: Gilead expects sustained growth from its leading HIV treatments, such as Biktarvy and Descovy. Additionally, the company is seeing significant momentum and growth in its HIV prevention business, particularly with new long-acting therapies like Yeztugo, a twice-yearly injectable, which has exceeded coverage goals and is gaining market share. This HIV prevention market is expected to continue developing and growing for many years.
  2. Expansion of the Oncology Portfolio: Diversification into oncology is a key driver, with products like Trodelvy showing positive sales momentum and contributing to revenue growth. The acquisition of Arcellx and the potential of anito-cel in the multiple myeloma market are also expected to bolster Gilead's oncology footprint and future revenues. Gilead reported approximately $3 billion in oncology revenues in 2025, accounting for about 12% of total revenues, with a sales target of $800 million for Yeztugo in 2026.
  3. Growth in the Liver Disease Segment: The company's liver disease business, driven by therapies such as Livdelzi for primary biliary cholangitis, has shown strong performance. Livdelzi, in particular, has seen a positive start to its launch and is projected to exceed $1 billion in peak revenue.
  4. Robust Pipeline and New Product Launches: Gilead boasts a strong pipeline with plans for up to 10 ongoing and potential new launches through 2027, including four commercial launches planned for 2026. A significant portion of these new products (6 out of 8 planned launches) are outside of its core HIV business, signaling a strategic diversification that is expected to broaden the company's revenue base and drive growth across varied therapeutic areas.

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Share Repurchases

  • Gilead's annual share buybacks totaled $1.922 billion in 2025.
  • The company repurchased $1.15 billion in shares during 2024.
  • Share repurchases amounted to $1 billion in 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • Gilead announced the acquisition of Arcellx for approximately $8 billion in early 2026 to enhance its cell therapy portfolio, focusing on anito-cel for multiple myeloma.
  • In March 2024, Gilead acquired CymaBay Therapeutics Inc. for $4.3 billion, integrating Seladelpar into its liver disease portfolio.
  • The company anticipated the acquisition of Interius BioTherapeutics for $350 million in cash, with the transaction expected in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Gilead announced an additional $11 billion investment in its U.S. operations through 2030, bringing its total U.S. manufacturing and R&D investments to over $32 billion.
  • The $11 billion investment includes $4 billion allocated to capital projects such as labs and equipment, $5 billion for technology, operations, and R&D site activities, and $2 billion for digital and advanced engineering initiatives.
  • Annual capital expenditures were estimated at $563 million in 2025, $523 million in 2024, and $585 million in 2023.

Better Bets vs. Gilead Sciences (GILD)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GILDABBVMRKBMYPFEJNJMedian
NameGilead S.AbbVie Merck Bristol-.Pfizer Johnson . 
Mkt Price127.88253.35128.6657.5224.29254.66128.27
Mkt Cap158.8448.4318.0117.2138.2613.4238.4
Rev LTM29,73462,81965,76848,48363,31496,36263,066
Op Inc LTM11,90120,84412,97013,59115,50825,79214,550
FCF LTM10,23019,98014,11511,9089,48317,41313,012
FCF 3Y Avg9,32519,08514,06512,5018,60318,07413,283
CFO LTM10,80621,22417,89013,30611,98422,87015,598
CFO 3Y Avg9,88420,10417,84213,78011,51723,61515,811

Growth & Margins

GILDABBVMRKBMYPFEJNJMedian
NameGilead S.AbbVie Merck Bristol-.Pfizer Johnson . 
Rev Chg LTM3.5%9.5%2.9%1.8%1.4%7.9%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.2%3.6%4.4%1.9%-9.2%4.4%3.4%
Rev Chg Q4.4%12.4%4.9%2.6%5.4%9.9%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%2.7%1.2%0.6%1.2%2.3%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM9.7%61.4%-36.4%72.7%3.1%20.7%15.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg0.1%12.1%69.7%21.0%203.9%5.7%16.5%
Op Mgn LTM40.0%33.2%19.7%28.0%24.5%26.8%27.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.7%26.9%19.9%20.2%17.3%25.6%22.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.3%-14.3%-0.4%-0.7%-0.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM36.3%33.8%27.2%27.4%18.9%23.7%27.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.4%34.7%28.0%29.2%18.9%26.2%28.6%
FCF/Rev LTM34.4%31.8%21.5%24.6%15.0%18.1%23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.5%33.0%22.0%26.5%14.0%20.1%24.3%

Valuation

GILDABBVMRKBMYPFEJNJMedian
NameGilead S.AbbVie Merck Bristol-.Pfizer Johnson . 
Mkt Cap158.8448.4318.0117.2138.2613.4238.4
P/S5.37.14.82.42.26.45.1
P/Op Inc13.321.524.58.68.923.817.4
P/EBIT13.550.524.210.313.123.618.6
P/E17.2123.435.616.118.529.223.8
P/CFO14.721.117.88.811.526.816.2
Total Yield8.3%3.4%5.4%10.5%12.5%5.5%6.9%
Dividend Yield2.5%2.6%2.6%4.3%7.1%2.0%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.2%5.4%5.2%10.5%5.7%4.1%5.5%
D/E0.10.20.20.40.50.10.2
Net D/E0.10.10.10.30.40.10.1

Returns

GILDABBVMRKBMYPFEJNJMedian
NameGilead S.AbbVie Merck Bristol-.Pfizer Johnson . 
1M Rtn-4.2%16.4%9.2%0.6%-7.2%13.0%4.9%
3M Rtn-4.1%22.0%8.3%-1.7%-8.7%6.5%2.4%
6M Rtn3.8%12.0%22.3%7.6%0.1%24.0%9.8%
12M Rtn18.6%43.5%68.1%30.3%7.4%71.3%36.9%
3Y Rtn85.7%111.7%24.3%3.3%-19.0%69.4%46.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.5%19.8%10.0%2.2%-5.1%12.3%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn-19.5%7.5%-4.6%-16.8%-24.0%-6.5%-11.6%
6M Excs Rtn-3.0%6.1%17.9%1.9%-5.5%18.7%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn3.2%20.4%46.2%8.7%-13.6%50.7%14.5%
3Y Excs Rtn13.4%37.7%-41.5%-67.6%-93.2%1.2%-20.2%

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
BLA761468  HEPCLUDEXbulevirtide-gmodinjection5222026-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
NDA220018  YEZTUGOlenacapavirsolution61820254.7%13.9%17.6%21.5%21.5%
NDA220020  YEZTUGOlenacapavir sodiumtablet61820254.7%13.9%17.6%21.5%21.5%
NDA217899  LIVDELZIseladelpar lysinecapsule814202426.1%41.8%65.7%82.7%82.7%
NDA215973  SUNLENCAlenacapavir sodiumsolution12222022-6.8%-6.6%-3.0%17.3%68.7%
NDA215974  SUNLENCAlenacapavir sodiumtablet12222022-6.8%-6.6%-3.0%17.3%68.7%
NDA214187  EPCLUSAsofosbuvirpellets61020213.0%3.5%-8.5%22.7%123.8%
NDA214787  VEKLURYremdesivirsolution1022202011.7%10.7%15.7%22.2%161.5%
NDA212480  SOVALDIsofosbuvirpellets82820196.5%19.6%6.9%21.4%161.3%
NDA212477  HARVONIledipasvirpellets82820196.5%19.6%6.9%21.4%161.3%
...         
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
BLA761468  HEPCLUDEXbulevirtide-gmodinjection5222026-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
NDA220018  YEZTUGOlenacapavirsolution61820254.7%13.9%17.6%21.5%21.5%
NDA220020  YEZTUGOlenacapavir sodiumtablet61820254.7%13.9%17.6%21.5%21.5%
NDA217899  LIVDELZIseladelpar lysinecapsule814202426.1%41.8%65.7%82.7%82.7%
NDA215973  SUNLENCAlenacapavir sodiumsolution12222022-6.8%-6.6%-3.0%17.3%68.7%
NDA215974  SUNLENCAlenacapavir sodiumtablet12222022-6.8%-6.6%-3.0%17.3%68.7%
NDA214187  EPCLUSAsofosbuvirpellets61020213.0%3.5%-8.5%22.7%123.8%
NDA214787  VEKLURYremdesivirsolution1022202011.7%10.7%15.7%22.2%161.5%
NDA212480  SOVALDIsofosbuvirpellets82820196.5%19.6%6.9%21.4%161.3%
NDA212477  HARVONIledipasvirpellets82820196.5%19.6%6.9%21.4%161.3%
NDA210251  BIKTARVYbictegravir sodiumtablet2072018-20.1%-5.7%-16.1%-10.8%111.3%
NDA209195  VOSEVIsofosbuvirtablet718201712.6%13.4%10.6%-0.1%147.1%
NDA208464  VEMLIDYtenofovir alafenamide fumaratetablet11102016-15.2%-13.1%-2.5%-3.1%132.7%
NDA208341  EPCLUSAsofosbuvirtablet6282016-3.1%-9.3%-10.1%-9.6%121.4%
NDA208215  DESCOVYemtricitabinetablet4042016-9.4%-16.2%-27.1%-15.6%94.4%
NDA208351  ODEFSEYemtricitabinetablet3012016-2.5%-12.2%-19.9%-9.0%105.3%
NDA207561  GENVOYAcobicistattablet11052015-19.3%-19.6%-31.4%-28.4%71.5%
NDA205834  HARVONIledipasvirtablet10102014-1.5%-1.9%-2.2%-25.4%79.6%
NDA203094  TYBOSTcobicistattablet9242014-16.0%-8.1%-5.0%-23.0%71.4%
NDA203093  VITEKTAelvitegravirtablet9242014-16.0%-8.1%-5.0%-23.0%71.4%
NDA205858  ZYDELIGidelalisibtablet723201417.4%14.7%30.7%-2.0%106.3%
NDA206545  ZYDELIGidelalisibtablet723201417.4%14.7%30.7%-2.0%106.3%
NDA204671  SOVALDIsofosbuvirtablet120620137.6%11.4%41.4%41.7%151.8%
NDA203100  STRIBILDcobicistattablet827201232.0%47.2%105.4%275.6%551.6%
NDA022577  VIREADtenofovir disoproxil fumaratepowder1182012-1.9%11.9%63.2%230.0%684.4%
NDA202123  COMPLERAemtricitabinetablet810201112.8%53.6%61.0%235.1%954.5%
NDA050814  CAYSTONaztreonamfor solution2222010-24.1%-31.4%-19.6%-7.0%678.3%
NDA022081  LETAIRISambrisentantablet6152007-5.9%13.4%34.0%11.2%822.1%
NDA021937  ATRIPLAefavirenztablet71220065.7%4.7%29.3%73.8%1,106.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Biktarvy14,33413,423 10,3908,624
Descovy2,7582,113 1,8721,700
Genvoya1,4981,762 2,4042,879
Yescarta1,4951,570 1,160695
Trodelvy1,3971,315 680380
Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir1,2721,596 1,5301,462
Odefsey1,1671,288 1,4691,568
Vemlidy1,070959 842814
Veklury9111,799 3,9055,565
Other Liver Disease874467   
Royalty, contract and other revenues527144 299297
AmBisome509533 497540
Other Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)500434 57195
Symtuza - Revenue share495592 530531
Tecartus344403 299176
Other290356 253281
Discovery, development and commercialization of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need  27,116  
Complera/Eviplera   200258
Ledipasvir/Sofosbuvir   115212
Letairis   196206
Other Hepatitis C virus (HCV)   166207
Other hepatitis B virus (HBV) / hepatitis Delta virus (HDV)   5544
Stribild   127189
Truvada   147371
Viread   91111
Total29,44128,75427,11627,28427,305


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$127.88 
Market Cap ($ Bil)158.8 
First Trading Date01/22/1992 
Distance from 52W High-16.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$129.61$128.14
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-1.3%-0.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.2%26.6%
Downside Capture16.9339.58
Upside Capture-6.1151.47
Correlation (SPY)33.0%22.8%
GILD Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.520.610.710.610.500.38
Up Beta0.150.850.850.750.520.38
Down Beta1.430.721.050.810.320.38
Up Capture46%7%21%47%52%17%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days11203062129397
Down Capture37%109%94%49%58%52%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days9213362119349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GILD
GILD24.0%26.6%0.78-
Sector ETF (XLV)21.4%15.4%1.0650.1%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.4%1.2621.9%
Gold (GLD)21.8%27.7%0.7011.2%
Commodities (DBC)21.8%18.6%0.92-11.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.1%13.6%0.8525.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.5%-1.256.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GILD
GILD18.2%24.2%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.0%14.8%0.2950.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6129.7%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.796.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%19.5%0.28-0.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.9%0.0831.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%54.0%0.397.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GILD
GILD8.1%25.5%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.4%16.6%0.5153.7%
Equity (SPY)15.2%18.0%0.7237.6%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.1%0.605.1%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.267.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2328.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)54.7%66.4%0.955.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5312026-7.2%
Average Daily Volume8.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,242.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-2.0%-1.5%-4.4%
2/10/20265.8%3.7%-0.8%
10/30/20251.1%4.2%4.6%
8/7/20258.3%7.9%5.1%
4/24/2025-2.8%-2.7%1.1%
2/11/20257.5%12.0%17.9%
11/6/20246.8%1.0%0.5%
8/8/2024-2.6%-1.7%4.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111315
# Negative13119
Median Positive4.6%4.2%4.6%
Median Negative-2.8%-2.7%-4.4%
Max Positive12.9%13.2%21.4%
Max Negative-4.2%-7.3%-9.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-2.0%-1.5%-4.4%
2/10/20265.8%3.7%-0.8%
10/30/20251.1%4.2%4.6%
8/7/20258.3%7.9%5.1%
4/24/2025-2.8%-2.7%1.1%
2/11/20257.5%12.0%17.9%
11/6/20246.8%1.0%0.5%
8/8/2024-2.6%-1.7%4.7%
4/25/20240.2%0.1%0.6%
2/6/2024-4.2%-5.4%-5.2%
11/7/2023-3.4%-7.3%-3.2%
8/3/20234.2%5.9%1.5%
4/27/2023-1.6%-6.0%-7.7%
2/2/20233.8%5.1%-0.3%
10/27/202212.9%13.2%21.4%
8/2/20224.6%4.1%6.6%
4/28/2022-3.6%-0.3%5.3%
2/1/2022-3.9%-7.0%-9.9%
10/28/2021-3.7%-1.3%4.9%
7/29/2021-2.2%-0.8%2.1%
4/29/2021-0.6%4.2%3.6%
2/4/20214.0%1.7%-1.6%
10/28/2020-0.3%2.0%2.2%
7/30/2020-3.9%-4.9%-9.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111315
# Negative13119
Median Positive4.6%4.2%4.6%
Median Negative-2.8%-2.7%-4.4%
Max Positive12.9%13.2%21.4%
Max Negative-4.2%-7.3%-9.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/04/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q
06/30/201908/06/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Product sales30.00 Bil30.20 Bil30.40 Bil1.3% RaisedGuidance: 29.80 Bil for 2026
2026 Product sales excluding Veklury29.40 Bil29.60 Bil29.80 Bil1.4% RaisedGuidance: 29.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Veklury 600.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Diluted (loss) earnings per share-3.25-3.05-2.85-143.9% LoweredGuidance: 6.95 for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP diluted (loss) earnings per share-1.05-0.85-0.65-109.8% LoweredGuidance: 8.65 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Product sales29.60 Bil29.80 Bil30.00 Bil4.4% Higher NewActual: 28.55 Bil for 2025
2026 Product sales excluding Veklury29.00 Bil29.20 Bil29.40 Bil6.0% Higher NewActual: 27.55 Bil for 2025
2026 Veklury 600.00 Mil -40.0% Lower NewActual: 1.00 Bil for 2025
2026 Diluted EPS6.756.957.153.0% Higher NewActual: 6.75 for 2025
2026 Non-GAAP diluted EPS8.458.658.856.1% Higher NewActual: 8.15 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/16/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell6162026123.923,000371,76215,395,163Form
2Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell6162026125.403,000376,20021,524,408Form
3O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell6022026131.4615,0001,971,84781,183,162Form
4Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell5182026131.2928,0003,676,19916,513,878Form
5Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell5182026132.273,000396,81022,907,974Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell6162026123.923,000371,76215,395,163Form
2Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell6162026125.403,000376,20021,524,408Form
3O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell6022026131.4615,0001,971,84781,183,162Form
4Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell5182026131.2928,0003,676,19916,513,878Form
5Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell5182026132.273,000396,81022,907,974Form
6O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell4292026129.1610,0001,291,60881,702,883Form
7Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell4162026140.963,000422,88018,152,688Form
8Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell4162026140.963,000422,88024,835,883Form
9O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell3302026136.8210,0001,368,16287,913,575Form
10Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell3172026144.233,000432,69019,006,485Form
11Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell3172026144.233,000432,69025,844,718Form
12O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell3022026144.7910,0001,447,85992,997,117Form
13Mercier, JohannaChief Comm & Corp Aff OfficerDirectSell2182026154.4428,0004,324,22818,576,883Form
14Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2182026154.433,000463,29025,910,111Form
15O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell2062026150.00115,64017,346,00092,086,800Form
16O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell1292026139.8910,0001,398,91177,877,104Form
17O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell1262026135.00115,64015,611,40076,504,230Form
18Bluestone, Jeffrey DirectSell1212026123.505,000617,5001,101,620Form
19Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell1162026124.313,000372,93012,831,403Form
20Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1162026124.313,000372,93018,709,028Form
21O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell12302025124.8310,0001,248,27270,739,325Form
22Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell12162025122.003,000366,00018,727,366Form
23Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell12162025122.003,000366,00012,958,962Form
24Bluestone, Jeffrey DirectSell12012025125.085,000625,4001,115,714Form
25Kramer, Kelly A DirectSell12012025127.102,805356,516170,187Form
26O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell12012025126.5410,0001,265,44472,282,528Form
27Kramer, Kelly A DirectSell12012025127.112,806356,671170,200Form
28Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell11182025125.232,500313,07519,354,923Form
29Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell11182025125.8628,0003,524,17313,491,669Form
30Telman, Deborah HEVP, Corporate Affairs & GCDirectSell11132025122.8553,6466,590,4875,365,659Form
31O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell10292025119.3910,0001,193,92669,391,318Form
32Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell10162025118.082,500295,20018,545,054Form
33Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell10162025118.083,000354,24013,011,589Form
34O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell9302025111.6610,0001,116,56466,011,598Form
35Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell9162025113.573,000340,71012,855,329Form
36Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell9162025113.572,500283,92518,120,661Form
37O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell8292025113.6310,0001,136,30067,692,232Form
38Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell8182025118.5328,0003,318,92713,532,687Form
39Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8182025118.532,500296,32518,977,838Form
40O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell7292025113.9410,0001,139,37069,014,464Form
41Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell7162025111.033,000333,09013,009,163Form
42Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7162025111.032,500277,57518,054,588Form
43Bluestone, Jeffrey DirectSell7152025109.745,000548,700978,881Form
44O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell7012025110.4510,0001,104,48468,005,825Form
45Dickinson, Andrew DChief Financial OfficerDirectSell6172025110.172,500275,42518,190,169Form
46Mercier, JohannaChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell6172025110.173,000330,51013,238,909Form
47O'Day, Daniel PatrickChairman & CEODirectSell6022025110.4210,0001,104,19368,489,534Form

GILD Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

AVOID (Score 1-2)

CONVICTION RATIONALE

The stock receives an AVOID rating due to a combination of poor risk/reward asymmetry and structural business model concerns. The downside potential from a failing Oncology strategy outweighs the modest upside from its stable HIV business. The competitive moat for its future growth drivers is contested and weakening, and its low valuation is a justified reflection of this structural problem, making it a value trap.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Primary: Quality Compounder / Stalwart, Secondary: Transition / Profit Pivot

Gilead's primary characteristic is its highly profitable, wide-moat, but mature HIV franchise, which aligns with the 'Stalwart' archetype. However, the company is in a clear transition, attempting to use its core cash flow to build a second growth pillar in Oncology, which is facing significant challenges. This strategic pivot under duress introduces elements of the 'Transition' archetype, as the market is judging the success of this diversification.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
HIV Franchise Durability via Biktarvy Patent Extension to 2036

The market is overly focused on competitive struggles in the Oncology expansion and is undervaluing the immense durability and cash flow generation of the core HIV franchise. The successful extension of the Biktarvy patent to 2036 provides a decade-plus runway of multi-billion dollar, high-margin revenue, which acts as a powerful funding engine for R&D, dividends, and buybacks, providing a significant margin of safety.

Mechanism: Gilead captures value through patent-protected monopoly pricing on its single-tablet HIV regimens. High switching costs for stable patients and a 'standard of care' network effect create a durable moat that locks in patients and prescribers, generating predictable, recurring revenue.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Biktarvy, the core asset, has U.S. patent protection extended to April 2036.
  • The HIV franchise maintains a dominant U.S. market share of over 52%.
  • Despite its maturity, the HIV franchise grew 6% YoY in Q4 2025, demonstrating resilience.
  • Strong pipeline with next-generation long-acting HIV treatments like Lenacapavir aims to extend franchise leadership.
PRIMARY RISK
Competitive Erosion in Cell Therapy & Oncology Pipeline Underperformance

The primary risk is that Gilead's strategic diversification into Oncology, intended to be the next growth engine, is failing. The Cell Therapy division is in active decline due to superior rival products, and the flagship ADC, Trodelvy, is not a best-in-class asset. This failure leaves Gilead fully exposed to its mature HIV franchise, risking a 'melting ice cube' scenario where the stock de-rates due to a lack of a viable long-term growth story.

Mechanism: The thesis breaks as direct share loss to competitors in Oncology (Cell Therapy) and inferior clinical data for pipeline assets (Trodelvy) lead to decelerating growth and impair the company's ability to offset the eventual maturation of the HIV market.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Cell Therapy sales fell 7% in FY 2025 and are projected by management to decline another 10% in 2026 due to 'ongoing competitive headwinds'.
  • In the key Oncology expansion market, Trodelvy is considered to have worse product performance than competitors like AstraZeneca's Enhertu.
  • The negative stock reaction to an earnings beat was driven by a weak outlook, indicating market concern is focused on the deteriorating growth in expansion areas.
  • Underwhelming sales guidance for the new HIV prevention drug Yeztugo ($800M vs. ~$907M consensus) adds to concern about the next growth cycle.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Threshold Rationale
Cell Therapy Franchise Sales YoY GrowthBreaching -10% declineManagement has guided for a 10% decline in 2026. Any acceleration below this level would signal that competitive erosion is worse than expected and management has lost control of the narrative.
Trodelvy Sales YoY GrowthDeceleration below +5%As Cell Therapy is already in decline, Trodelvy is the sole remaining growth driver in the Oncology franchise. If its growth stagnates, the entire diversification thesis is broken.
HIV Franchise Sales YoY GrowthSustained growth below +4%The bull thesis rests on the stability of this core business. While management guided to ~6% growth, any sign of premature decay in the core franchise would remove the last pillar of support for the stock.
Core Investment Debate

HIV Cash Cow Durability vs. Oncology Growth Engine Failure

BULL VIEW

The market is undervaluing the immense, durable cash flow from the Biktarvy patent extension to 2036, which provides a significant margin of safety.

CORE TENSION

Can the stable, high-margin HIV franchise offset the failing Oncology diversification strategy, which is actively losing market share and facing significant pipeline risk?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BEARISH

Cell Therapy sales fell 7% in FY 2025 and are guided to decline another 10% in 2026, confirming the bear thesis of competitive erosion in a key growth area.

BEAR VIEW

The strategic pivot to Oncology is failing due to competitive erosion in Cell Therapy and an inferior pipeline, risking a 'melting ice cube' scenario.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
May 29 - June 2, 2026
Trodelvy (Oncology) Data at ASCO 2026
Watch: Overall Response Rate (ORR) or Progression-Free Survival (PFS) from the EVOKE-02 study. Must show meaningful improvement.
February 22-25, 2026
HIV Long-Acting Oral Combo Data at CROI 2026
Watch: Pivotal Phase III data demonstrating non-inferiority to Biktarvy with a clean safety profile for the lenacapavir/islatravir combo.
Anytime (Court Ruling)
Patent Litigation Ruling for Descovy
Watch: Court ruling on claim construction or a press release announcing a settlement with generic manufacturers.
Anytime (Legislative Calendar)
Intensifying Scrutiny of Drug Pricing under IRA
Watch: Introduction of new bills in U.S. Congress to expand or accelerate IRA drug price negotiations.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
Sep 9, 2025
Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference
Details: Gilead presented its strategic vision, focusing on diversification of its HIV portfolio with lenacapavir and growth in oncology. The stock reaction was minimal.
Changed Little (-0.1%)
$114.32 -> $114.20
Oct 6, 2025
Biktarvy Patent Litigation Settlement
Details: Gilead announced settlement agreements with generic manufacturers, pushing the expected generic entry for Biktarvy to April 2036, reinforcing the bull thesis.
Muted (0.8%)
$111.95 -> $112.83
Oct 30, 2025
Q3 2025 Earnings Release
Details: Gilead reported a strong beat for Q3 2025, with Non-GAAP EPS of $2.47 exceeding estimates. The positive results led to a modest stock increase.
Modest 1.1% gain
$117.66 -> $119.00
Jan 12, 2026
J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference Presentation
Details: Gilead presented its strategic outlook at a major investor conference. The stock saw a modest gain during the conference week.
Modest 1.2% gain
$121.10 -> $122.60
Jan 21, 2026
Positive Trodelvy Phase 3 Data Published
Details: The New England Journal of Medicine published positive results for Trodelvy, supporting its use as a potential new standard of care, leading to a modest gain.
Modest 1.6% gain
$129.11 -> $131.14
Feb 10, 2026
Q4 2025 Earnings & Descovy Patent Lawsuit
Details: Gilead beat Q4 2025 EPS and revenue estimates and announced a lawsuit against Cipla to block a generic Descovy, fueling a positive market reaction.
Surged +5.8%
$147.23 -> $155.80
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 3%

CONSERVATIVE

Stock is in a Moderate Volatility regime. However, the Bearish sentiment, eroding moat in the critical oncology growth engine, and 'value trap' valuation warrant a Conservative sizing.

Diversification Alternatives
RPRX
INDUSTRY

Offers biopharma exposure through a diversified royalty model, avoiding the binary R&D pipeline risk that is the central problem for Gilead.

Core Thesis: The thesis is based on a diversified portfolio of royalty streams from approved drugs, providing predictable, high-margin cash flows without direct clinical development risk.
UTHR
INDUSTRY

UTHR has a focused strategy and a strong pipeline in its core PAH market, contrasting with Gilead's struggling and unfocused diversification efforts in Oncology.

Core Thesis: The core thesis rests on successfully managing its product lifecycle, transitioning patients from older drugs to new, patent-protected therapies within its focused PAH franchise.
How Is The Market Pricing GILD?

Gilead is transitioning from a company defined by its dominant, but maturing, HIV franchise to a more diversified biopharmaceutical firm with key growth drivers in oncology and long-acting HIV prevention, alongside a high-risk, high-reward R&D pipeline.

Filter all news through the lens of diversifying revenue beyond the core HIV treatment portfolio and mitigating future patent cliffs.

What will confirm the thesis

Strong uptake of new products like Yeztugo (long-acting HIV prevention) exceeding $800M in 2026 sales; positive clinical trial data from the oncology pipeline (e.g., Trodelvy in new indications); acquisitions that add late-stage pipeline assets in oncology or inflammation.

What will damage the thesis

Faster-than-expected market share erosion for Biktarvy due to competition from ViiV Healthcare; significant clinical trial failures in the late-stage oncology pipeline; continued revenue decline in the Cell Therapy (Yescarta, Tecartus) franchise despite management efforts.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarterly fluctuations in Veklury (remdesivir) sales, as they are unpredictable and tied to COVID-19 hospitalization rates; minor patent disputes on legacy products; early-stage pipeline announcements without clear timelines to commercialization.

Repricing Catalyst

The primary catalyst is the successful commercialization of Yeztugo, the first twice-yearly HIV prevention therapy, with a 2026 sales target of $800 million. This represents a significant new market opportunity and a shift towards long-acting injectables, potentially offsetting future pricing pressure and competition in the daily oral treatment market. Success here validates the R&D strategy and ability to innovate beyond the existing portfolio.

What GILD Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on Gilead Sciences Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results, Feb 10 2026
HIV Treatments & Prevention
$20.8B TTM (71% of Total) · 86% Margin
What It Is

Biktarvy (single-tablet HIV treatment), Descovy (oral HIV treatment and prevention), Yeztugo (twice-yearly injectable for HIV prevention).

Who Pays & How

Government and private health insurers pay for the drugs, which are distributed through major wholesalers. Patients rely on these drugs for life-long viral suppression (treatment) or prevention, creating high switching costs due to established efficacy and tolerability.

Per-unit sale of branded pharmaceuticals.
Competition
ViiV Healthcare (GSK/Pfizer/Shionogi) — Products: Juluca, Dovato, Cabenuva.
ViiV has a global market share of ~32% and is a leader in developing long-acting injectable HIV treatments, directly competing with Gilead's new focus area.
Gilead's Biktarvy is the most prescribed HIV treatment in the U.S. with over 52% market share, demonstrating deep physician and patient entrenchment. The company has extensive patent protection on key products into the 2030s.
Oncology (Cell Therapy & Trodelvy)
$3.2B TTM (11% of Total) · 86% Margin
What It Is

Yescarta & Tecartus (CAR-T cell therapies for blood cancers); Trodelvy (antibody-drug conjugate for breast and bladder cancer).

Who Pays & How

Insurers and national health systems pay for these high-cost cancer therapies for patients with limited other options. The treatments are highly specialized and often administered in certified medical centers.

Per-treatment (Cell Therapy) or per-unit sale (Trodelvy).
Competition
Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) - Abecma and Breyanzi (CAR-T therapies); Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Carvykti (CAR-T therapy).
Competitors are gaining traction in the CAR-T space, with newer products and potentially better safety or efficacy profiles in certain indications, leading to 'in- and out-of-class competition' cited by Gilead.
Gilead was an early mover in CAR-T with the Kite Pharma acquisition, establishing a manufacturing and logistics footprint. Trodelvy has a first-mover advantage in certain breast cancer indications.
Liver Disease & Other
$3.2B TTM (11% of Total) · 86% Margin
What It Is

Livdelzi (for liver disease), products for Hepatitis B (HBV) and Hepatitis C (HCV).

Who Pays & How

Insurers and national health systems pay for treatments for chronic liver conditions. While the HCV market has declined due to curative therapies, a long tail of patients remains, and HBV requires long-term treatment.

Per-unit sale of branded pharmaceuticals.
Competition
AbbVie (HCV), various companies with HBV treatments.
AbbVie has been a strong competitor in the HCV space with its own curative regimens.
Gilead pioneered the cure for HCV, building a strong legacy and market understanding. Livdelzi has achieved over 50% market share in its initial indication.
Veklury (COVID-19)
$0.9B TTM (3% of Total) · 86% Margin
What It Is

Veklury (remdesivir), an intravenous antiviral treatment for COVID-19.

Who Pays & How

Governments and hospitals pay for Veklury for the treatment of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Per-unit sale.
Competition
Pfizer - Paxlovid (oral antiviral).
Paxlovid is an oral treatment that can be taken at home, a significant advantage over intravenous Veklury for non-hospitalized patients.
Veklury has established itself as a standard of care for certain hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
GILD Evolution: Price Return by Era
1987–2000 · Founding & Antiviral Focus
Pioneering Antiviral R&D
Founded in 1987, the company focused on developing novel antiviral therapies. This era was defined by early R&D efforts and culminated in the first FDA approval for Vistide in 1996, establishing its core competency in treating life-threatening viruses.
2001–2012 · The HIV Revolution
Dominance in HIV Treatment +1000% (approx.)
This era cemented Gilead's market leadership. The approval of Viread in 2001 and the launch of Atripla in 2006, the first single-tablet regimen for HIV, transformed patient care and made Gilead the dominant force in HIV treatment. This period was characterized by massive revenue growth driven by a string of successful, market-defining HIV products.
2013–2018 · The HCV Peak and Trough
Curing Hepatitis C -40% (peak-to-trough)
Gilead launched Sovaldi and Harvoni, revolutionary cures for Hepatitis C, leading to a massive, multi-billion dollar surge in revenue. However, the success was short-lived as the curative nature of the drugs shrank the patient pool, leading to a steep decline in sales and a significant fall in the stock price from its peak as the market questioned future growth.
2019–Present · The Oncology Pivot
Diversification and the Search for New Growth Relatively flat
With the HCV franchise declining and HIV maturing, Gilead embarked on a major strategic pivot towards oncology through acquisitions like Kite Pharma (2017) for CAR-T cell therapy and Immunomedics (2020) for Trodelvy. This era is defined by the challenge of integrating these acquisitions, competing in the crowded oncology market, and launching new long-acting HIV prevention drugs to extend the life of its core franchise.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is in a downtrend. Multiple SMA levels broken and declining. Thesis requires reclaiming 200D before any bull case is credible. Relative to SPY: Lagging the market on the 63D window, but 'relative strength' is beginning to stabilize; watch for inflection. Volume and momentum show mild distribution. The selling pressure is present but not overwhelming. Earnings history is clearly negative. The market punished the print and the drift confirms distribution. Thesis is under pressure.
① Structure
-3
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-2
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-6 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Broken In Short Term · -
2 Momentum Mixed
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Mild Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/28/2026