Icecure Medical (ICCM)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.6995 | Market Cap: $41.8 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Icecure Medical (ICCM)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0.6995Market Cap: $41.8 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Healthcare Innovation. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.7 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -569% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -509%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -512% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Healthcare Innovation. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.7 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -569% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -509%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -512% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ICCM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Icecure Medical (ICCM) experienced a stock decline of -30.5% between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Lower-than-expected preliminary Q2 2025 product sales and geopolitical impact. IceCure Medical reported preliminary product sales for Q2 2025 of approximately $525,000, with more than $200,000 in shipments delayed to Q3 2025 due to temporary logistics issues stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict. Overall, H1 2025 product sales were $1.25 million, a decrease from $1.65 million in H1 2024, indicating a slowdown in commercial performance and operational challenges.
2. FDA's request for a post-market study and additional information regarding ProSense®. In August 2025, despite actively pursuing FDA marketing authorization for ProSense® in treating early-stage low-risk breast cancer, the FDA requested that IceCure conduct a post-market study and later asked for additional information on the submitted plan. This suggested a more prolonged or demanding regulatory path than initially anticipated, potentially tempering investor expectations, even with subsequent marketing authorization for a specific indication.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ICCM Return | -32% | 2246% | -49% | -31% | 3% | -31% | 299% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 3% | -9% | -5% | -14% | -9% | -2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ICCM Win Rate | 8% | 8% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 42% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ICCM Max Drawdown | -32% | 0% | -69% | -65% | -51% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -12% | -25% | -25% | -21% | -45% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ICCM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1997.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 520 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -5.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 120 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL
In The Past
Icecure Medical's stock fell -95.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -95.2% loss requires a 1997.4% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Icecure Medical Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ICCM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Icecure Medical
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 1.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 464 |
| Op Inc LTM | -13 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -14 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -12 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 5.1 |
| P/EBIT | -14.5 |
| P/E | -10.6 |
| P/CFO | 54.9 |
| Total Yield | -5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5282025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11262024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8202024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5282024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4032024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3292023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12052022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5182022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4012022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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