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MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.23 | Market Cap: $8,101
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.23
Market Cap: $8,101
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -1666016%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -151%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -63%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Holographic & Immersive Computing. Themes include Holographic Augmented Reality, Holographic Advertising, and Holographic Entertainment.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2534731%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 237%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 66549%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -1666016%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Holographic & Immersive Computing. Themes include Holographic Augmented Reality, Holographic Advertising, and Holographic Entertainment.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -151%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -209 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -63%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -46%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2534731%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 237%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 66549%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

HOLO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -30.4% stock movement for MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO) from 7/31/2025 to November 18, 2025: 1. Persistent Negative Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings. MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO) experienced a prevailing negative market sentiment, with analysts issuing "Sell" ratings and noting the stock's overall downward momentum, indicating a lack of investor confidence that likely contributed to the decline.

2. Unsustainable Gains from Positive Forecasts. While announcements of anticipated profitability for the first half of 2025 and projected full-year 2025 net income initially led to temporary stock surges, these gains proved unsustainable, suggesting investors may have viewed these forecasts with skepticism or that other market factors outweighed the positive outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HOLO Return---77%-84%-93%-98%-100%
Peers Return-5%14%2%19%94%16%199%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HOLO Win Rate-50%67%42%17%10% 
Peers Win Rate38%47%43%48%65%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HOLO Max Drawdown---84%-84%-98%-98% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-5%-27%-23%-15%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GLW, BELFA, IMTE, MTEK, APH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHOLOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3551.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GLW, BELFA, IMTE, MTEK, APH


In The Past

MicroCloud Hologram's stock fell -97.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/23/2023. A -97.3% loss requires a 3551.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO)

Better Bets than MicroCloud Hologram (HOLO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HOLO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MicroCloud Hologram

Financials

HOLOGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameMicroClo.Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Mkt Price3.1881.06116.450.821.10132.3342.12
Mkt Cap0.069.41.5--161.735.4
Rev LTM33414,915649--20,9747,782
Op Inc LTM-2092,00093--5,1681,047
FCF LTM-1721,16245--3,557603
FCF 3Y Avg-2286571--2,609468
CFO LTM-1712,26659--4,5001,163
CFO 3Y Avg-212,06883--3,2341,076

Growth & Margins

HOLOGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameMicroClo.Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Rev Chg LTM-15.1%18.3%23.7%--47.4%21.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%2.7%--20.7%2.7%
Rev Chg Q-46.4%20.9%44.8%--53.4%32.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.0%5.0%9.3%--11.5%7.2%
Op Mgn LTM-62.6%13.4%14.4%--24.6%13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.6%8.9%14.3%--22.2%11.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-12.5%1.4%1.7%--1.6%1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-51.4%15.2%9.1%--21.5%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-8.1%15.3%13.8%--20.1%14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-51.5%7.8%6.9%--17.0%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.3%6.4%11.7%--16.3%9.0%

Valuation

HOLOGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameMicroClo.Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Mkt Cap0.069.41.5--161.735.4
P/S0.04.72.3--7.73.5
P/EBIT-0.032.513.7--31.322.5
P/E-0.050.822.6--42.332.5
P/CFO-0.030.624.8--35.927.7
Total Yield-2,534,726.3%3.4%4.7%--2.9%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.2%--0.5%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-467,403.2%2.0%7.9%--3.1%2.5%
D/E426.40.10.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-16,660.20.10.1--0.00.1

Returns

HOLOGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameMicroClo.Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
1M Rtn-28.9%-3.7%-5.7%-16.8%-39.9%5.3%-11.2%
3M Rtn-33.2%24.6%4.0%-15.4%-53.2%19.3%-5.7%
6M Rtn-53.8%70.6%72.1%-34.6%-50.2%53.6%9.5%
12M Rtn-96.7%77.7%27.5%-32.5%-38.2%89.1%-2.5%
3Y Rtn-100.0%159.9%232.0%-87.2%-5.2%241.1%77.4%
1M Excs Rtn-29.0%-3.9%-5.8%-16.9%-40.0%5.2%-11.4%
3M Excs Rtn-32.8%22.5%3.9%-18.1%-52.9%16.4%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn-65.7%58.8%60.2%-46.5%-62.1%41.7%-2.4%
12M Excs Rtn-108.4%64.5%13.0%-46.6%-52.3%72.9%-16.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-168.6%93.3%175.4%-155.7%-75.4%175.2%8.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,669,043
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202532.2%
Average Daily Volume1,054,617
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.58
Basic Shares Quantity2,508
Short % of Basic Shares66548.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/14/2023-0.5%3.8%12.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive011
# Negative100
Median Positive 3.8%12.3%
Median Negative-0.5%  
Max Positive 3.8%12.3%
Max Negative-0.5%  

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202590320256-K 6/30/2025
12312024321202520-F 12/31/2024
630202492020246-K 6/30/2024
12312023402202420-F 12/31/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120224232024424B5 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
123120218122022DEFM14A 12/31/2021
63020219302021S-4 6/30/2021
123120203102022S-4/A 12/31/2020

Insider Activity

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