Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 9.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -148%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 9.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -148%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FBNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of First Bancorp (FBNC) experienced a significant decline around mid-October 2025, with a reported drop of 5.4% that likely encompasses the -4.9% movement. This downturn was primarily driven by broader concerns within the regional banking sector. 1. Disclosures from other lenders raised concerns about loan quality.

The decline was triggered by disclosures from two other lenders that indicated deteriorating loan quality across the industry. 2. Zions Bancorp announced a significant charge-off.

Zions Bancorp reported a $50 million charge-off on a single loan, signaling potential issues with debt collection.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FBNC Return-13%38%-4%-11%22%17%46%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FBNC Win Rate42%67%50%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FBNC Max Drawdown-52%-2%-26%-37%-19%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFBNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven643 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven250.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2831 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

First Bancorp's stock fell -47.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -47.6% loss requires a 90.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Bancorp (FBNC)

Better Bets than First Bancorp (FBNC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FBNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FBNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price51.7111.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap2.10.30.2--84.21.2
Rev LTM3662696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM213-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg165-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM217-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg169-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

FBNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-2.6%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%0.0%
Rev Chg Q-7.1%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM59.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.5%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM58.2%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg43.5%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

FBNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap2.10.30.2--84.21.2
P/S6.01.12.7--7.44.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E22.14.911.6--28.816.8
P/CFO10.1-0.67.9--16.89.0
Total Yield6.2%20.2%13.5%--3.5%9.9%
Dividend Yield1.7%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.02.60.2--0.00.1
Net D/E-1.51.8-4.5---0.4-0.9

Returns

FBNCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn4.2%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-4.9%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn27.3%10.7%29.3%--46.1%28.3%
12M Rtn12.9%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%22.7%
3Y Rtn14.7%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%11.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-11.9%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%13.6%
12M Excs Rtn-2.0%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.4%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-58.9%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking399393320299276
Total399393320299276


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,651,780
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.6%
Average Daily Volume178,716
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.24
Basic Shares Quantity41,237,874
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0CRAWFORD JAMES C III 8192025Sell53.103,475184,5223,462,120Form
1Donnelly Abby Jill 7292025Buy49.416294520,177Form
2Taylor Frederick Leslie 5232025Buy41.0456223,0641,362,796Form
3Mayer Michael GoodwinPresident5142025Sell42.963,000128,8804,735,824Form