Tearsheet

Darden Restaurants (DRI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $189.48 | Market Cap: $22.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Darden Restaurants (DRI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $189.48
Market Cap: $22.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Key risks
DRI key risks include [1] margin pressure from commodity inflation in key inputs like beef and seafood, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
5 Key risks
DRI key risks include [1] margin pressure from commodity inflation in key inputs like beef and seafood, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Darden Restaurants (DRI) experienced a notable decline of 7.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors impacting the company's financial performance and investor sentiment during this period.

1. Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Disappointing Guidance: Darden Restaurants reported its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on September 18, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.97, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $2.01 per share. While total sales increased by 10.4% to $3.04 billion, meeting forecasts, the miss on profit targets negatively impacted investor confidence. Furthermore, the company's full-year earnings guidance, with a midpoint slightly below analyst expectations, offered little reassurance to the market and contributed to the stock's sharp decline on the day of the announcement.

2. Softer Trends at Olive Garden: Despite strong overall performance in some segments, reports indicated softer trends at Olive Garden, a key Darden brand. This slowdown in same-store sales growth, attributed to lower check averages, raised concerns among analysts and investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DRI Return10%29%-5%23%18%2%101%
Peers Return14%5%-7%27%49%-3%105%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRI Win Rate67%67%42%67%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate62%52%37%55%63%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRI Max Drawdown-68%-6%-25%0%-14%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-13%-27%-5%-17%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EAT, BLMN, TXRH, CAKE, YUM. See DRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven258.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven94 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven247.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1,480 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, WEN


In The Past

Darden Restaurants's stock fell -30.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/27/2021. A -30.0% loss requires a 42.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Darden Restaurants (DRI)

Better Bets than Darden Restaurants (DRI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
DRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020DRIDarden RestaurantsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
85.1%162.3%-18.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
DRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020DRIDarden RestaurantsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
85.1%162.3%-18.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Darden Restaurants

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Price189.53145.517.07171.5150.26153.14149.32
Mkt Cap22.16.50.611.42.342.68.9
Rev LTM12,3645,5943,9535,8343,7118,0615,714
Op Inc LTM1,4696071355172502,485562
FCF LTM1,0684701003411581,564405
FCF 3Y Avg9422641112911021,413278
CFO LTM1,7687372777473201,906742
CFO 3Y Avg1,5904843396482591,712566

Growth & Margins

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Rev Chg LTM8.3%23.2%7.7%14.4%4.9%11.6%10.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%13.2%-2.9%14.4%5.2%6.4%7.3%
Rev Chg Q10.4%18.5%2.1%12.8%4.8%8.4%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%3.9%0.5%2.9%1.1%1.9%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%10.9%3.4%8.9%6.7%30.8%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.8%7.6%5.6%8.6%5.7%31.7%8.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.6%-0.5%-0.4%0.1%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM14.3%13.2%7.0%12.8%8.6%23.6%13.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%9.8%8.5%12.6%7.2%23.0%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM8.6%8.4%2.5%5.8%4.3%19.4%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%5.2%2.8%5.6%2.8%18.9%5.4%

Valuation

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Cap22.16.50.611.42.342.68.9
P/S2.11.00.21.90.75.21.5
P/EBIT18.29.99.221.313.616.915.3
P/E23.112.8-10.625.215.829.219.5
P/CFO14.47.72.214.87.922.211.2
Total Yield6.9%7.8%0.1%4.8%8.4%5.3%6.1%
Dividend Yield2.6%0.0%9.6%0.8%2.1%1.8%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%7.4%9.4%3.0%5.0%3.6%4.8%
D/E0.20.33.60.10.80.30.3
Net D/E0.20.33.50.10.80.20.3

Returns

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
1M Rtn10.3%20.2%6.2%1.5%13.3%3.9%8.2%
3M Rtn-8.5%0.8%5.5%4.8%-7.1%3.8%2.3%
6M Rtn-13.6%-18.4%-19.4%-10.4%-13.8%11.7%-13.7%
12M Rtn18.0%8.8%-40.7%-6.8%1.8%15.9%5.3%
3Y Rtn49.5%310.7%-61.1%86.5%67.9%25.4%58.7%
1M Excs Rtn9.6%19.4%5.4%0.7%12.6%3.2%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn-2.2%3.4%2.5%6.4%-9.6%4.6%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn-26.0%-30.8%-31.8%-22.8%-26.2%-0.6%-26.1%
12M Excs Rtn6.1%2.7%-50.2%-17.9%-8.2%2.9%-2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.7%252.5%-130.9%15.6%-6.5%-43.3%-15.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Olive Garden5,0674,8784,5043,5934,014
LongHorn Steakhouse2,8062,6122,3741,8101,701
Other Business2,2252,1671,9761,3491,551
Fine Dining1,292831776443541
Corporate000  
Total11,39010,4889,6307,1967,807


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Olive Garden942879848691585
LongHorn Steakhouse435366354257192
Other Business23420420092-135
Fine Dining1751231314943
Corporate7152-44-92
General and administrative expenses-479-386-373-396-376
Goodwill impairment    -169
Total1,3141,2021,16264948


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Other Business2,9012,9692,9232,8362,902
Olive Garden2,8622,8362,7182,6642,758
Fine Dining2,5961,3451,3001,2721,251
LongHorn Steakhouse2,0261,9781,9111,8161,830
Corporate9371,1131,2842,0691,205
Total11,32310,24210,13610,6569,946


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,971,885
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.6%
Average Daily Volume1,391,772
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.85
Basic Shares Quantity116,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/18/2025-7.7%-10.6%-9.5%
6/20/20251.4%-3.0%-5.4%
3/20/20255.8%10.3%7.2%
12/19/202414.7%18.0%17.0%
9/19/20248.3%5.6%4.1%
6/20/20241.5%0.1%-5.0%
3/21/2024-6.5%-4.4%-11.9%
12/15/2023-0.4%-0.5%-2.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative11119
Median Positive5.8%6.0%6.5%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.0%-4.6%
Max Positive24.2%71.1%85.5%
Max Negative-7.7%-10.6%-11.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
8312025926202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025718202510-K 5/25/2025
2282025401202510-Q 2/23/2025
11302024102202510-Q 11/24/2024
8312024927202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024719202410-K 5/26/2024
2292024402202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023103202410-Q 11/26/2023
8312023929202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023721202310-K 5/28/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022104202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221004202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022722202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022405202210-Q 2/27/2022
11302021105202210-Q 11/28/2021