Tearsheet

Denali Therapeutics (DNLI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.43 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Denali Therapeutics (DNLI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.43
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -548 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -548 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DNLI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Denali Therapeutics (DNLI) stock experienced a 24.4% movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, primarily driven by a series of significant advancements in its clinical pipeline, regulatory progress, and a substantial financing agreement. Here are the key points contributing to this movement:

1. FDA Priority Review for Tividenofusp Alfa (DNL310) BLA: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted Denali's Biologics License Application (BLA) for tividenofusp alfa (DNL310) for the treatment of Hunter syndrome (MPS II) with priority review, establishing a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target date of January 5, 2026. This milestone indicated significant regulatory progress towards the potential commercialization of Denali's lead therapeutic candidate.

2. FDA Alignment on Accelerated Approval Pathway for DNL126: Denali Therapeutics achieved alignment with the FDA on an accelerated approval pathway for DNL126, an Enzyme Transport Vehicle-enabled therapy for Sanfilippo syndrome Type A (MPS IIIA). This development further validated Denali's Transport Vehicle platform and expanded the potential for its pipeline in rare diseases.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DNLI Return381%-47%-38%-23%-5%-12%2%
Peers Return42%10%-34%7%-4%15%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNLI Win Rate67%42%42%33%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%42%27%46%37%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNLI Max Drawdown-18%-49%-53%-42%-30%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-23%-47%-31%-29%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTGX, ANIK, CHRS, ACSB, AIXC. See DNLI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDNLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven417.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven77 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days120 days

Compare to PTGX, ANIK, CHRS, ACSB, AIXC


In The Past

Denali Therapeutics's stock fell -80.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -80.7% loss requires a 417.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Denali Therapeutics (DNLI)

Better Bets than Denali Therapeutics (DNLI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DNLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Denali Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNLIPTGXANIKCHRSACSBAIXCMedian
NameDenali T.Protagon.Anika Th.Coherus .Acesis AIxCrypto 
Mkt Price19.0086.079.471.22-2.549.47
Mkt Cap3.35.50.10.1--1.7
Rev LTM0209113278-0113
Op Inc LTM-54819-12-93--5-12
FCF LTM-412641-90--6-6
FCF 3Y Avg-37858-4-138--10-10
CFO LTM-398658-90--6-6
CFO 3Y Avg-364594-138--10-10

Growth & Margins

DNLIPTGXANIKCHRSACSBAIXCMedian
NameDenali T.Protagon.Anika Th.Coherus .Acesis AIxCrypto 
Rev Chg LTM--35.4%30.6%152.1%--30.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg---6.2%30.9%--12.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.8%-5.9%91.2%--0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-1.5%2.0%--0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-9.1%-11.0%-33.4%---11.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--2.1%-108.0%---52.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.4%-2.9%1.6%---2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.3%7.2%-32.5%--7.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--3.9%-70.9%---33.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.5%0.6%-32.5%--0.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---3.4%-71.0%---37.2%

Valuation

DNLIPTGXANIKCHRSACSBAIXCMedian
NameDenali T.Protagon.Anika Th.Coherus .Acesis AIxCrypto 
Mkt Cap3.35.50.10.1--1.7
P/S-20.21.20.7--1.2
P/EBIT-4.6222.9-10.92.2---1.2
P/E-5.092.3-4.11.2---1.4
P/CFO-6.364.716.7-2.1--7.3
Total Yield-19.9%1.1%-24.4%81.3%---9.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.1%-0.8%-1.3%-56.9%---6.7%
D/E0.00.00.20.2--0.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.8---0.3

Returns

DNLIPTGXANIKCHRSACSBAIXCMedian
NameDenali T.Protagon.Anika Th.Coherus .Acesis AIxCrypto 
1M Rtn23.7%13.3%-3.6%-23.8%--4.9%
3M Rtn24.1%48.1%5.1%-3.2%--14.6%
6M Rtn31.8%67.0%-18.7%53.1%--42.4%
12M Rtn-20.5%108.7%-45.4%-28.7%---24.6%
3Y Rtn-41.8%966.5%-70.0%-82.4%---55.9%
1M Excs Rtn23.7%13.4%-3.5%-23.7%--4.9%
3M Excs Rtn23.1%39.1%-1.2%-12.2%--11.0%
6M Excs Rtn17.0%52.3%-33.4%38.4%--27.7%
12M Excs Rtn-37.5%83.0%-60.1%-13.5%---25.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.9%996.6%-140.6%-153.9%---123.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Therapeutics331    
Alzheimer's Disease Services 3000
Antibody Transport Vehicle (ATV):Triggering receptors expressed on myeloid cells 2 (TREM2) 05  
Antibody Transport Vehicle(ATV): Abeta Program License 0   
Central Nervous System (CNS) Program License 40   
Option Research Services 341 
Peripheral program license 1015 10
Protein Transport Vehicle (PTV):Progranulin (PGRN) Collaboration Agreement 05  
Takeda Collaboration Agreement Services 5220276
Leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) Program License   307 
Sanofi Collaboration Agreement: Retained Activities   110
Total3311084933627


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Therapeutics1,154    
Total1,154    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,017,386
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.9%
Average Daily Volume1,547,313
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.06
Basic Shares Quantity172,421,492
Short % of Basic Shares8.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021