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Camden Property Trust (CPT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $107.77 | Market Cap: $11.7 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

Camden Property Trust (CPT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $107.77
Market Cap: $11.7 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
Key risks
CPT key risks include [1] an oversupply of new apartments in its specific operating markets, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
5 Key risks
CPT key risks include [1] an oversupply of new apartments in its specific operating markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CPT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Analyst Price Target Reductions and "Hold" Consensus**

Several financial institutions, including Truist Financial, UBS Group, and Royal Bank of Canada, reduced their price targets for Camden Property Trust (CPT) during late 2025. Truist Financial cut its target from $123 to $116 in mid-December, while UBS Group and Royal Bank of Canada also lowered their price objectives in November, contributing to a broader "Hold" consensus rating among analysts and potentially exerting downward pressure on the stock. **2. Elevated Interest Rates and Broader REIT Market Headwinds**

The commercial real estate market in 2025, including residential REITs like Camden Property Trust, continued to be significantly shaped by elevated interest rates. The Federal Reserve maintained a "wait-and-see" approach on rate cuts throughout much of 2025, keeping borrowing costs historically high compared to the previous decade's low-rate era. Rising rates generally dampen investor demand for REITs due to reduced dividend attractiveness and limited growth opportunities. **3. Underperformance Relative to Broader Market Indices**

Despite some positive individual company news, CPT's stock demonstrated an overall bearish trend. The stock declined 3.4% over the three months leading up to mid-December 2025, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's positive movement during the same timeframe. This suggests specific pressures on Camden Property Trust or the residential REIT sector that led to its relative decline. **4. Moderating Growth Expectations and Rental Rate Adjustments**

While Camden Property Trust reported a third-quarter 2025 earnings beat, the company also noted a slight decline in blended rate growth and a reduction in its full-year same-store revenue growth guidance from 1% to 0.75%. This adjustment in growth outlook, despite an EPS beat, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to the stock's negative movement. **5. Valuation Scrutiny and Analyst Sentiment on Upside Potential**

By mid-December 2025, Camden Property Trust's stock was trading around $104.54, with the MarketBeat consensus indicating an average price target of $117.57. While some narratives suggested the stock was undervalued, the consistent trimming of price targets by multiple analysts implied a perception of limited immediate upside or continued scrutiny of its valuation, contributing to the stock's -1.8% movement over the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CPT Return-2%83%-36%-8%21%-6%22%
Peers Return-15%64%-33%9%20%-12%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPT Win Rate67%92%33%50%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate42%83%23%47%58%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CPT Max Drawdown-37%-4%-38%-23%-7%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-4%-36%-11%-8%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVB, EQR, MAA, ESS, UDR. See CPT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven394 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven179 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven351.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,146 days1,480 days

Compare to AVB, EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR


In The Past

Camden Property Trust's stock fell -53.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -53.0% loss requires a 112.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Camden Property Trust (CPT)

Better Bets than Camden Property Trust (CPT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
CPT_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022CPTCamden Property TrustDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.6%-17.8%-18.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
CPT_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022CPTCamden Property TrustDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.6%-17.8%-18.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Camden Property Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPTAVBEQRMAAESSUDRMedian
NameCamden P.AvalonBa.Equity R.Mid-Amer.Essex Pr.UDR  
Mkt Price107.79181.2661.98137.09262.4536.41122.44
Mkt Cap11.725.823.516.016.912.016.5
Rev LTM1,5693,0133,0452,2001,8401,7022,020
Op Inc LTM286915856636486309561
FCF LTM3851,3561,231757892602824
FCF 3Y Avg3821,3821,235797857564827
CFO LTM7821,5991,5411,0991,0328821,065
CFO 3Y Avg7891,5931,5521,1271,0048561,065

Growth & Margins

CPTAVBEQRMAAESSUDRMedian
NameCamden P.AvalonBa.Equity R.Mid-Amer.Essex Pr.UDR  
Rev Chg LTM1.6%4.7%4.4%1.2%7.6%2.4%3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%6.1%5.3%5.4%6.7%5.2%5.3%
Rev Chg Q2.2%4.4%4.7%0.6%6.2%2.8%3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%1.1%1.2%0.2%1.5%0.7%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM18.2%30.4%28.1%28.9%26.4%18.2%27.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%31.4%30.0%30.8%27.2%17.6%28.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.7%0.5%0.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM49.8%53.1%50.6%49.9%56.1%51.8%51.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg51.0%55.5%53.1%52.1%57.9%51.6%52.6%
FCF/Rev LTM24.5%45.0%40.4%34.4%48.5%35.4%37.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.7%48.2%42.2%36.9%49.4%34.0%39.6%

Valuation

CPTAVBEQRMAAESSUDRMedian
NameCamden P.AvalonBa.Equity R.Mid-Amer.Essex Pr.UDR  
Mkt Cap11.725.823.516.016.912.016.5
P/S7.49.18.17.49.47.27.7
P/EBIT27.619.318.021.316.433.320.3
P/E43.123.524.328.621.582.326.4
P/CFO14.817.215.914.916.714.015.4
Total Yield6.3%5.2%8.3%7.8%8.3%5.8%7.0%
Dividend Yield4.0%0.9%4.2%4.3%3.7%4.6%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%5.0%5.0%4.8%5.2%4.4%4.9%
D/E0.30.30.40.30.40.50.3
Net D/E0.30.30.40.30.40.50.3

Returns

CPTAVBEQRMAAESSUDRMedian
NameCamden P.AvalonBa.Equity R.Mid-Amer.Essex Pr.UDR  
1M Rtn6.6%2.1%5.0%5.2%4.0%5.6%5.1%
3M Rtn3.3%-5.0%-3.1%-0.6%-0.5%-1.2%-0.9%
6M Rtn-4.0%-10.7%-8.1%-5.9%-5.8%-9.4%-7.0%
12M Rtn-4.8%-17.4%-11.4%-8.5%-7.5%-14.4%-9.9%
3Y Rtn7.8%22.2%15.3%-1.8%38.9%5.8%11.6%
1M Excs Rtn5.8%1.4%4.2%4.5%3.3%4.9%4.4%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%-6.9%-5.8%-2.7%-2.7%-2.5%-2.7%
6M Excs Rtn-16.4%-23.0%-20.5%-18.3%-18.2%-21.8%-19.4%
12M Excs Rtn-17.1%-28.3%-23.0%-20.2%-20.3%-25.6%-21.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-63.6%-50.9%-58.0%-73.8%-33.7%-65.7%-60.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment1,542    
Development and lease-up communities 0000
Dispositions/Other 44312219
Non-same store communities 2008399105
Same store communities 1,1781,030932904
Resident Relief Funds   -9 
Total1,5421,4231,1441,0441,028


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,859,088
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-28.1%
Average Daily Volume1,917,194
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.49
Basic Shares Quantity108,524,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20252.5%2.5%2.4%
7/31/2025-2.1%-2.0%2.5%
5/1/20255.3%2.3%2.6%
2/6/20251.2%1.2%3.7%
10/31/2024-1.8%2.4%7.0%
8/1/20242.7%3.2%8.8%
5/2/20244.5%6.3%3.1%
2/1/20241.1%-1.7%1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151315
# Negative8108
Median Positive1.4%2.3%3.1%
Median Negative-1.9%-2.3%-2.1%
Max Positive5.3%11.0%16.4%
Max Negative-6.6%-7.2%-10.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0CAMPO RICHARD JChairman and CEO5082025Sell119.505,572665,85434,621,540Form
1Gallagher Michael PChief Accounting Officer3112025Sell122.1813516,4954,837,918Form
2Baker LaurieEVP - Chief Operating Officer2192025Sell118.382,308273,2219,299,696Form
3CAMPO RICHARD JChairman and CEO2122025Sell119.0745,0005,358,15030,254,734Form
4Brunner Heather J. 1082025Sell114.501,853212,1781,206,539Form