Camden Property Trust (CPT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $107.77 | Market Cap: $11.7 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs
Camden Property Trust (CPT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $107.77Market Cap: $11.7 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Multi-Family Residential REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% | Key risksCPT key risks include [1] an oversupply of new apartments in its specific operating markets, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% |
| Key risksCPT key risks include [1] an oversupply of new apartments in its specific operating markets, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Analyst Price Target Reductions and "Hold" Consensus**
Several financial institutions, including Truist Financial, UBS Group, and Royal Bank of Canada, reduced their price targets for Camden Property Trust (CPT) during late 2025. Truist Financial cut its target from $123 to $116 in mid-December, while UBS Group and Royal Bank of Canada also lowered their price objectives in November, contributing to a broader "Hold" consensus rating among analysts and potentially exerting downward pressure on the stock.
**2. Elevated Interest Rates and Broader REIT Market Headwinds**
The commercial real estate market in 2025, including residential REITs like Camden Property Trust, continued to be significantly shaped by elevated interest rates. The Federal Reserve maintained a "wait-and-see" approach on rate cuts throughout much of 2025, keeping borrowing costs historically high compared to the previous decade's low-rate era. Rising rates generally dampen investor demand for REITs due to reduced dividend attractiveness and limited growth opportunities.
**3. Underperformance Relative to Broader Market Indices**
Despite some positive individual company news, CPT's stock demonstrated an overall bearish trend. The stock declined 3.4% over the three months leading up to mid-December 2025, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's positive movement during the same timeframe. This suggests specific pressures on Camden Property Trust or the residential REIT sector that led to its relative decline.
**4. Moderating Growth Expectations and Rental Rate Adjustments**
While Camden Property Trust reported a third-quarter 2025 earnings beat, the company also noted a slight decline in blended rate growth and a reduction in its full-year same-store revenue growth guidance from 1% to 0.75%. This adjustment in growth outlook, despite an EPS beat, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to the stock's negative movement.
**5. Valuation Scrutiny and Analyst Sentiment on Upside Potential**
By mid-December 2025, Camden Property Trust's stock was trading around $104.54, with the MarketBeat consensus indicating an average price target of $117.57. While some narratives suggested the stock was undervalued, the consistent trimming of price targets by multiple analysts implied a perception of limited immediate upside or continued scrutiny of its valuation, contributing to the stock's -1.8% movement over the period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPT Return | -2% | 83% | -36% | -8% | 21% | -6% | 22% |
| Peers Return | -15% | 64% | -33% | 9% | 20% | -12% | 5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPT Win Rate | 67% | 92% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 83% | 23% | 47% | 58% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPT Max Drawdown | -37% | -4% | -38% | -23% | -7% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -4% | -36% | -11% | -8% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVB, EQR, MAA, ESS, UDR. See CPT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 179 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 351.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,146 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AVB, EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR
In The Past
Camden Property Trust's stock fell -53.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -53.0% loss requires a 112.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | CPT | Camden Property Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.6% | -17.8% | -18.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | CPT | Camden Property Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.6% | -17.8% | -18.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Camden Property Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 122.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,020 |
| Op Inc LTM | 561 |
| FCF LTM | 824 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 827 |
| CFO LTM | 1,065 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,065 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 28.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 51.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 37.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.5 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.3 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 15.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 11.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -60.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 7/31/2025 | -2.1% | -2.0% | 2.5% |
| 5/1/2025 | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -1.8% | 2.4% | 7.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.7% | 3.2% | 8.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| 2/1/2024 | 1.1% | -1.7% | 1.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| Max Positive | 5.3% | 11.0% | 16.4% |
| Max Negative | -6.6% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | CAMPO RICHARD J | Chairman and CEO | 5082025 | Sell | 119.50 | 5,572 | 665,854 | 34,621,540 | Form |
| 1 | Gallagher Michael P | Chief Accounting Officer | 3112025 | Sell | 122.18 | 135 | 16,495 | 4,837,918 | Form |
| 2 | Baker Laurie | EVP - Chief Operating Officer | 2192025 | Sell | 118.38 | 2,308 | 273,221 | 9,299,696 | Form |
| 3 | CAMPO RICHARD J | Chairman and CEO | 2122025 | Sell | 119.07 | 45,000 | 5,358,150 | 30,254,734 | Form |
| 4 | Brunner Heather J. | 1082025 | Sell | 114.50 | 1,853 | 212,178 | 1,206,539 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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