Tearsheet

Cellebrite DI (CLBT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $18.21 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Cellebrite DI (CLBT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $18.21
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software Security, Endpoint Protection, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software Security, Endpoint Protection, Show more.
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CLBT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Cellebrite DI (CLBT) stock moved by approximately 30% during the period from July 31, 2025, to today:

1. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Cellebrite reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, significantly surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.09. Revenue reached $126 million, exceeding estimates of $122.98 million and marking an 18% increase year-over-year. This strong performance included a 21% year-over-year growth in subscription revenue to $112.7 million and a 19% increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $439.8 million, leading to a substantial surge in the stock price.

2. Positive Updated Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance: Following the strong Q3 results, Cellebrite updated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $470 million and $475 million, representing 17-18% annual growth. The company also anticipates a free cash flow margin of approximately 30% for the full year, indicating strong future financial health and operational efficiency.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CLBT Return--24%-46%99%154%-18%73%
Peers Return13%13%-55%16%37%-17%-23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CLBT Win Rate100%58%25%67%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate23%55%35%50%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CLBT Max Drawdown--26%-51%0%-7%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-1%-59%-38%-40%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCLBTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-67.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven209.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven518 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-2.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven12 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, ARQQ


In The Past

Cellebrite DI's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/16/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 209.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cellebrite DI (CLBT)

Better Bets than Cellebrite DI (CLBT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CLBT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cellebrite DI

Financials

CLBTGENPATHSVRNTARQQMedian
NameCellebri.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.Arqit Qu. 
Mkt Price18.1726.1413.5216.1620.2725.9619.22
Mkt Cap4.416.17.25.31.2-5.3
Rev LTM4374,4731,497907894-907
Op Inc LTM621,697-46-32877-62
FCF LTM1491,30031017113-149
FCF 3Y Avg981,463268-44120-120
CFO LTM1611,32433541138-161
CFO 3Y Avg1081,480282-22149-149

Growth & Margins

CLBTGENPATHSVRNTARQQMedian
NameCellebri.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.Arqit Qu. 
Rev Chg LTM20.5%16.2%8.3%25.4%-2.3%-16.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.1%16.5%14.6%45.6%-0.2%-16.5%
Rev Chg Q18.3%25.3%14.4%21.7%-1.0%-18.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%5.8%3.1%5.0%-0.2%-4.2%
Op Mgn LTM14.2%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%8.6%-8.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.9%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%8.9%-8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-1.3%5.8%2.1%-1.2%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM36.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%15.5%-22.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.6%37.1%20.7%-5.5%16.6%-20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM34.1%29.1%20.7%1.8%12.6%-20.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.9%36.7%19.6%-8.7%13.4%-19.6%

Valuation

CLBTGENPATHSVRNTARQQMedian
NameCellebri.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.Arqit Qu. 
Mkt Cap4.416.17.25.31.2-5.3
P/S10.03.64.85.91.4-4.8
P/EBIT-16.110.0-156.4-17.515.2--16.1
P/E-28.928.2359.4-12.519.9-19.9
P/CFO27.112.221.7131.58.8-21.7
Total Yield-3.5%5.5%0.3%-8.0%5.0%-0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%9.5%3.6%-1.0%7.1%-3.9%
D/E0.00.50.00.00.4-0.0
Net D/E-0.10.5-0.2-0.10.2--0.1

Returns

CLBTGENPATHSVRNTARQQMedian
NameCellebri.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.Arqit Qu. 
1M Rtn-0.1%-1.0%-12.4%-3.1%0.1%-37.4%-2.0%
3M Rtn12.4%-16.3%21.0%-5.0%4.2%-20.1%-0.4%
6M Rtn6.8%-7.4%7.4%-19.2%13.1%7.0%6.9%
12M Rtn2.7%-9.7%9.3%-38.1%-13.7%227.8%-3.5%
3Y Rtn293.3%23.1%8.2%-2.9%-47.7%-86.5%2.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%-1.1%-12.6%-3.2%0.0%-37.6%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%-20.7%18.9%-8.7%2.2%-17.5%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-5.1%-19.3%-4.5%-31.0%1.2%-4.9%-5.0%
12M Excs Rtn-9.5%-23.9%-11.6%-53.1%-32.6%169.5%-17.7%
3Y Excs Rtn219.6%-44.9%-54.7%-77.9%-113.2%-157.7%-66.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment325271   
Other non-recurring  344259
Professional services  292326
Subscription services  12110182
Term-license  62295
Total325271246195172


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,331,271
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-14.1%
Average Daily Volume1,235,047
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.13
Basic Shares Quantity240,358,573
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024318202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202481520246-K 6/30/2024
331202452320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023321202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202390120236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022427202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111720226-K 9/30/2022
630202291320226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021329202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111020216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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