Check-Cap (CHEK)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.85 | Market Cap: $10.8 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Check-Cap (CHEK)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.85Market Cap: $10.8 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 111%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -166% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 359% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -228% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 111%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -166% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 359% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CHEK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 151% stock movement for Check-Cap (CHEK) from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Definitive Merger Agreement with MBody AI.
Check-Cap entered into a definitive merger agreement with MBody AI on September 12, 2025, a strategic move aimed at transforming Check-Cap into a leading embodied AI company.
2. Shareholder Approval of Transformational Merger.
On November 14, 2025, Check-Cap's shareholders overwhelmingly approved the merger-related proposals, with over 98% of votes in favor, thereby facilitating the company's shift towards embodied AI.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHEK Return | -73% | 47% | -84% | -5% | -52% | 88% | -95% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 3% | -9% | -5% | -14% | -9% | -2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHEK Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 42% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHEK Max Drawdown | -85% | 0% | -86% | -41% | -73% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -12% | -25% | -25% | -21% | -45% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CHEK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4623.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -88.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 748.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -95.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2144.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BDMD, PTHL
In The Past
Check-Cap's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4623.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CHEK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Check-Cap
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 1.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 464 |
| Op Inc LTM | -14 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -17 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -14 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | -13.5 |
| P/E | -9.5 |
| P/CFO | 54.9 |
| Total Yield | -5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 19.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -98.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12312024 | 8272025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 6302024 | 12312024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5152024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11272023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11302022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8312022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6012022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4062022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11032021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8052021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
| 3312021 | 5122021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 3182021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 9302020 | 11182020 | 6-K 9/30/2020 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |