Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BGC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why BGC's stock may have moved by -10.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Penn Capital Management Unwound a Significant Stake.

During the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, Penn Capital Management sold 1.6 million shares of BGC Group, representing a net position change estimated at $17.1 million. Such a substantial institutional sale could exert downward pressure on the stock price. 2. Neutral Market Reaction to Strong Q3 2025 Earnings.

Despite BGC Group reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, with revenues up 31% year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beating consensus estimates, the stock price remained largely unchanged immediately after the announcement, indicating a neutral market reaction. This suggests that the positive news might have been largely anticipated or that other underlying concerns limited an upward movement, potentially contributing to a overall negative trend over the specified period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BGC Return----26%-5%21%
Peers Return16%43%-13%15%67%70%370%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BGC Win Rate---100%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%59%53%45%62%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BGC Max Drawdown-----8%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-1%-31%-19%-9%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MS, GS, SCHW, HOOD, RJF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BGC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BGC (BGC)

Better Bets than BGC (BGC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BGC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BGC

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BGCMSGSSCHWHOODRJFMedian
NameBGC Morgan S.Goldman .Charles .Robinhoo.Raymond . 
Mkt Price8.77173.72836.5793.99133.64158.79146.21
Mkt Cap4.2272.9259.0169.7118.831.9144.3
Rev LTM2,52564,24758,69822,9144,20413,58718,250
Op Inc LTM278---2,004-1,141
FCF LTM344-6,74715,769-1,3971,1191,954732
FCF 3Y Avg256-23,827-31,5119,4371,219-1,588-666
CFO LTM412-3,67917,888-7531,1752,148794
CFO 3Y Avg321-20,550-29,28010,0751,260-1,406-543

Growth & Margins

BGCMSGSSCHWHOODRJFMedian
NameBGC Morgan S.Goldman .Charles .Robinhoo.Raymond . 
Rev Chg LTM21.7%17.6%15.2%22.3%74.6%11.0%19.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%7.6%6.4%5.4%47.5%8.3%7.9%
Rev Chg Q44.1%19.1%19.6%26.6%100.0%5.1%23.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.3%4.5%4.4%6.0%17.9%1.2%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM11.0%---47.7%-29.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.3%---9.9%-9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%---5.1%-3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM16.3%-5.7%30.5%-3.3%27.9%15.8%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.5%-38.8%-60.4%54.3%47.4%-14.1%0.2%
FCF/Rev LTM13.6%-10.5%26.9%-6.1%26.6%14.4%14.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%-44.6%-64.7%51.2%45.9%-15.6%-2.1%

Valuation

BGCMSGSSCHWHOODRJFMedian
NameBGC Morgan S.Goldman .Charles .Robinhoo.Raymond . 
Mkt Cap4.2272.9259.0169.7118.831.9144.3
P/S1.93.94.27.530.32.34.0
P/EBIT15.8---63.5-39.7
P/E32.215.414.820.958.014.518.2
P/CFO11.9-67.913.8-229.0108.414.412.8
Total Yield3.9%6.5%6.8%4.8%1.7%6.9%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--15.6%-22.7%7.9%5.2%-8.6%-8.6%
D/E0.41.41.50.20.10.10.3
Net D/E0.21.00.8-0.40.0-0.40.1

Returns

BGCMSGSSCHWHOODRJFMedian
NameBGC Morgan S.Goldman .Charles .Robinhoo.Raymond . 
1M Rtn-6.4%6.2%7.0%1.2%-9.1%-0.1%0.6%
3M Rtn-10.2%17.7%15.1%-2.0%32.6%-4.4%6.5%
6M Rtn-5.6%37.3%41.1%8.1%84.9%9.9%23.6%
12M Rtn-8.7%36.9%41.8%17.3%245.9%-2.8%27.1%
3Y Rtn-108.8%137.0%19.1%1,237.7%39.3%108.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.3%6.2%7.1%1.2%-9.1%-0.0%0.6%
3M Excs Rtn-17.4%10.8%6.9%-8.8%24.5%-12.3%-0.9%
6M Excs Rtn-20.3%22.6%26.3%-6.7%70.2%-4.8%8.9%
12M Excs Rtn-22.7%22.1%27.4%1.4%242.4%-18.5%11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.1%64.7%-49.8%1,281.4%-29.5%41.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rates610550559544595
Energy, Commodities, and Shipping (ECS)386292296293289
Foreign Exchange (FX)315300301315370
Credit285271288330307
Equities237234248  
Data, software and post-trade11196   
Interest and dividend income4521   
Other revenues2016   
Fees from related parties1615   
All other revenues  146137136
Insurance  178183156
Equities derivatives and cash equities   255251
Total2,0251,7952,0152,0572,104


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,999,652
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.1%
Average Daily Volume3,449,624
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.48
Basic Shares Quantity480,138,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hauf Jason W.Chief Financial Officer8222025Sell9.8629,023286,167761,153Form