Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -2440%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5074%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 921%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -2440%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5074%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 921%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATHA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Athira Pharma's (ATHA) stock moved by -0.9% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Athira Pharma implemented a 10-for-1 reverse stock split in September 2025. This corporate action, effective September 17, 2025, aimed to increase the per-share price but often signals underlying financial distress and can be viewed negatively by investors, potentially contributing to a downward pressure on the stock.

2. The company continued to explore strategic alternatives following the failure of its LIFT-AD clinical trial in late 2024. This ongoing uncertainty regarding Athira's future strategic direction, especially for its primary Alzheimer's drug candidate, fosgonimeton, as highlighted in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results, likely weighed on investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATHA Return--62%-76%-23%-76%-28%-99%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATHA Win Rate67%50%33%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATHA Max Drawdown--73%-79%-56%-83%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATHAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2364.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-14.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Athira Pharma's stock fell -95.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -95.9% loss requires a 2364.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Athira Pharma (ATHA)

Better Bets than Athira Pharma (ATHA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATHA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Athira Pharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATHAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAthira P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price3.85463.132.541.0711.0721.227.46
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-58-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-713,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-862,064-10----10
CFO LTM-713,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-862,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

ATHAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAthira P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ATHAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAthira P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-0.022.4----11.2
P/E-0.027.2----13.6
P/CFO-0.026.9----13.5
Total Yield-5,069.7%3.7%-----2,533.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2,581.5%2.3%-----1,289.6%
D/E0.90.0----0.4
Net D/E-24.4-0.0-----12.2

Returns

ATHAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAthira P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn-7.8%8.7%---9.9%--7.8%
3M Rtn-2.3%16.8%--12.5%-12.5%
6M Rtn16.7%3.9%----10.3%
12M Rtn-38.9%1.3%-----18.8%
3Y Rtn-88.3%44.1%-----22.1%
1M Excs Rtn-7.8%8.7%---9.9%--7.8%
3M Excs Rtn-5.9%11.3%--4.5%-4.5%
6M Excs Rtn1.9%-10.8%-----4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-54.8%-14.6%-----34.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-159.2%-25.9%-----92.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and commercializing therapeutics1602583322802
Total1602583322802


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity71,309
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.5%
Average Daily Volume27,893
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.56
Basic Shares Quantity3,909,296
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021