Tearsheet

Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $4.46 | Market Cap: $14.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $4.46
Market Cap: $14.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11856%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 219x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -39%
4   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1775%
5   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10834%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10834%
6   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 151%
7   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%
8   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 186%
9   Key risks
ASTI key risks include [1] a substantial going concern risk due to its chronic unprofitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11856%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 219x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -39%
8 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1775%
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10834%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10834%
10 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 151%
11 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%
12 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 186%
13 Key risks
ASTI key risks include [1] a substantial going concern risk due to its chronic unprofitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASTI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI) stock moved by 114% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025: 1. Improved Financial Performance in Q2 2025: Ascent Solar Technologies significantly narrowed its net losses by 40.1% to $2.07 million in its fiscal Q2 2025 earnings report, with earnings per share (EPS) improving by 82.7% to a loss of $1.17 per share. This substantial reduction in losses, despite a revenue decline, indicated an improving financial trajectory.

2. Strategic Expansion and Projected Sales in Space and Defense: The company projected significant revenue growth, anticipating $5 million to $20 million in 2026 and $25 million to $40 million in 2027, driven by strategic collaborations with NASA and other key players in the aerospace and space sectors. These partnerships aim to position ASTI as a leading provider of solar technology for space and defense applications.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASTI Return0%0%1629900%-100%-96%-6%53%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASTI Win Rate8%0%17%17%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASTI Max Drawdown0%0%0%-100%-97%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FSLR, ENPH, SPWR, AMAT, NEE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASTIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-100.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven240864.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1 days148 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1088.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Ascent Solar Technologies's stock fell -100.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/24/2022. A -100.0% loss requires a 240864.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI)

Better Bets than Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ascent Solar Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASTIFSLRENPHSPWRAMATNEEMedian
NameAscent S.First So.Enphase .SunPower Applied .NextEra . 
Mkt Price4.46266.4033.251.74256.4179.9456.59
Mkt Cap0.028.64.30.1203.8165.016.5
Rev LTM04,3431,51230928,36826,2982,928
Op Inc LTM-71,362207-278,4707,404784
FCF LTM-7-943217-395,6983,073105
FCF 3Y Avg-10-557454-486,9262,421222
CFO LTM-7299256-397,95811,967278
CFO 3Y Avg-9762518-478,44511,847640

Growth & Margins

ASTIFSLRENPHSPWRAMATNEEMedian
NameAscent S.First So.Enphase .SunPower Applied .NextEra . 
Rev Chg LTM36.8%15.4%21.0%657.3%4.4%0.2%18.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-38.8%20.6%0.5%-3.2%11.4%3.2%
Rev Chg Q233.9%8.6%7.8%1,164.5%-3.5%5.3%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM48.6%2.0%2.0%26.4%-0.9%1.5%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-11,856.4%31.3%13.7%-8.6%29.9%28.2%20.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11,300.5%22.9%12.9%-72.6%29.2%31.5%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6,477.2%-0.9%0.9%13.1%-0.3%-1.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-10,834.4%6.9%16.9%-12.6%28.1%45.5%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11,110.6%21.7%27.1%-61.7%30.9%44.6%24.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-10,834.4%-21.7%14.4%-12.6%20.1%11.7%-0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14,003.1%-14.8%23.7%-63.7%25.4%9.3%-2.8%

Valuation

ASTIFSLRENPHSPWRAMATNEEMedian
NameAscent S.First So.Enphase .SunPower Applied .NextEra . 
Mkt Cap0.028.64.30.1203.8165.016.5
P/S230.86.62.90.57.26.36.4
P/EBIT-2.020.718.03.121.422.019.3
P/E-2.022.722.29.429.125.422.5
P/CFO-2.195.617.0-3.825.613.815.4
Total Yield-53.9%4.4%4.5%10.7%4.1%6.7%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%2.8%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-570.2%-2.6%3.9%-4.9%1.3%1.3%
D/E0.10.00.31.40.00.60.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.11.4-0.00.5-0.0

Returns

ASTIFSLRENPHSPWRAMATNEEMedian
NameAscent S.First So.Enphase .SunPower Applied .NextEra . 
1M Rtn211.9%6.6%23.5%8.1%14.5%-4.2%11.3%
3M Rtn107.4%25.4%-13.5%10.1%35.1%13.2%19.3%
6M Rtn184.1%83.7%-7.3%1.2%52.0%13.4%32.7%
12M Rtn70.9%46.1%-53.5%-58.3%15.0%46.1%
3Y Rtn-100.0%69.8%-88.9%-169.9%4.7%4.7%
1M Excs Rtn172.3%2.9%20.8%10.8%6.2%-7.4%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn107.2%19.4%-20.0%-3.8%26.0%9.1%14.3%
6M Excs Rtn171.7%70.7%-17.2%-7.3%36.4%1.2%18.8%
12M Excs Rtn38.6%28.6%-67.7%-39.1%1.0%28.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-174.9%-4.5%-161.1%-69.2%-71.2%-71.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Photovoltaic (PV)0    
Single Segment 1101
Total01101


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity216,653
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-33.2%
Average Daily Volume68,026
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.18
Basic Shares Quantity3,163,703
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/8/20220.0%0.0%6,489,900.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative000
Median Positive0.0%0.0%6,489,900.0%
Median Negative   
Max Positive0.0%0.0%6,489,900.0%
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021