Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1
1   Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil
3   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -231%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 282%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -231%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 282%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASBP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining why Aspire Biopharma (ASBP) stock moved by approximately -84% from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Significant Financial Challenges and Lack of Profitability: Aspire Biopharma has been facing substantial financial difficulties, as evidenced by its negative margins, reported significant losses with a negative EPS of -0.76, and zero revenue growth over the past three years.

2. Potential Nasdaq Delisting: The company has received a warning about a potential delisting from the Nasdaq Stock Market. This is due to its non-compliance with the requirement to maintain a Market Value of Listed Securities of at least $50 million for 30 consecutive trading days, indicating a severe depreciation in its market valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASBP Return0%0%0%0%0%-100%-100%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASBP Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%40% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASBP Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%-100% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASBPS&P 500
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-5.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3277 days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Aspire Biopharma's stock fell -5.3% during the 2018 Correction from a high on 3/19/2018. A -5.3% loss requires a 5.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aspire Biopharma (ASBP)

Better Bets than Aspire Biopharma (ASBP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASBP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aspire Biopharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASBPVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAspire B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price0.09457.362.631.1711.5421.937.08
Mkt Cap0.0116.9----58.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-19-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-33,337-6--60-64-6
FCF 3Y Avg-2,064-10---1,027
CFO LTM-33,718-6--60-64-6
CFO 3Y Avg-2,419-10---1,204

Growth & Margins

ASBPVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAspire B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ASBPVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAspire B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.0116.9----58.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-0.522.4----11.0
P/E-0.427.2----13.4
P/CFO-4.626.9----11.2
Total Yield-227.1%3.7%-----111.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E0.60.0----0.3
Net D/E0.6-0.0----0.3

Returns

ASBPVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAspire B.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn-73.5%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-1.9%
3M Rtn-83.1%15.2%--14.5%-14.5%
6M Rtn-72.9%3.1%-----34.9%
12M Rtn-99.6%-1.4%-----50.5%
3Y Rtn-99.6%44.0%-----27.8%
1M Excs Rtn-74.7%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-87.8%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn-88.4%-12.4%-----50.4%
12M Excs Rtn-112.9%-15.2%-----64.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.8%-28.7%-----100.7%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,698,507
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025411.7%
Average Daily Volume88,265,931
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity49,333,662
Short % of Basic Shares9.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024407202510-K 12/31/2024
63020249062024S-4 6/30/2024
3312024813202510-Q/A 3/31/2024
123120231142025424B3 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fell Donald G.6062025Buy0.399,5003,7053,705Form