Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $47.84 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $47.84Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 26% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Chronic Pain Management, and Abuse-Deterrent Formulations. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Chronic Pain Management, and Abuse-Deterrent Formulations. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COLL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL) stock moved in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance.
Collegium Pharmaceutical reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced an EPS of $2.25, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $1.89, and quarterly revenue of $209.36 million, exceeding the $191.25 million consensus. This strong performance included a 31% year-over-year increase in net revenue and a 27% rise in adjusted EBITDA, leading the company to raise its full-year 2025 financial guidance.
2. Continued Growth of Jornay PM.
Jornay PM, Collegium's differentiated treatment for ADHD, demonstrated substantial growth during the period. The company reported a 20% year-over-year increase in prescriptions for Jornay PM and generated $41.8 million in revenue from the product in the third quarter of 2025. This strong performance contributed significantly to the positive financial results and improved outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COLL Return | -3% | -7% | 24% | 33% | -7% | 66% | 131% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 36% | 20% | 3% | 5% | 22% | 134% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COLL Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 58% | 60% | 42% | 42% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COLL Max Drawdown | -33% | -13% | -24% | -9% | -7% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -6% | -13% | -21% | -7% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COLL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1290 days | 120 days |
Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE
In The Past
Collegium Pharmaceutical's stock fell -45.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -45.5% loss requires a 83.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COLL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Collegium Pharmaceutical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 102.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 255.2 |
| Rev LTM | 62,786 |
| Op Inc LTM | 22,391 |
| FCF LTM | 10,376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,927 |
| CFO LTM | 13,077 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,127 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 255.2 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 12.2 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 25.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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