Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $48.81 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $48.81Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 26x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.4, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Key risksCOLL key risks include [1] patent infringement litigation threatening its core products Xtampza ER and Belbuca, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Chronic Pain Management, and Abuse-Deterrent Formulations. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Chronic Pain Management, and Abuse-Deterrent Formulations. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.4, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 26x |
| Key risksCOLL key risks include [1] patent infringement litigation threatening its core products Xtampza ER and Belbuca, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COLL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Collegium Pharmaceutical's (COLL) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Collegium Pharmaceutical reported stronger-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company's revenue reached a record $209.4 million, a 31% increase year-over-year, significantly surpassing analyst consensus estimates of approximately $193 million. Non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.25 also outperformed the analyst estimate of $2.08 per share.
2. The company raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance. Following the robust Q3 performance, Collegium Pharmaceutical increased its net revenue guidance to a range of $775 million to $785 million, up from the prior guidance of $745 million to $760 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also raised to $460 million to $470 million from the previous $440 million to $455 million, indicating a positive outlook for future performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COLL Return | -3% | -7% | 24% | 33% | -7% | 72% | 140% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COLL Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COLL Max Drawdown | -33% | -13% | -24% | -9% | -7% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COLL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,290 days | 120 days |
Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE
In The Past
Collegium Pharmaceutical's stock fell -45.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -45.5% loss requires a 83.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COLL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Collegium Pharmaceutical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 101.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 252.2 |
| Rev LTM | 62,786 |
| Op Inc LTM | 22,391 |
| FCF LTM | 10,376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,927 |
| CFO LTM | 13,077 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,127 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 252.2 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.1 |
| P/E | 19.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 25.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 39.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 42.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 24.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 24.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.3% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA208090 | XTAMPZA ER | oxycodone | capsule, extended release | 4262016 | -35.3% | -8.5% | -45.5% | 26.5% | 165.2% |
| NDA203794 | NUCYNTA | tapentadol hydrochloride | solution | 10152012 | |||||
| NDA200533 | NUCYNTA ER | tapentadol hydrochloride | tablet, extended release | 8252011 | |||||
| NDA022304 | NUCYNTA | tapentadol hydrochloride | tablet | 11202008 | |||||
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 13.4% | 32.1% | 33.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | 10.7% | 27.3% | 28.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% |
| 2/27/2025 | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | -7.3% | -12.8% | -11.8% |
| 7/29/2024 | -3.3% | 0.8% | 4.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -16.8% | -11.1% | -12.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 10.8% | 11.9% | 21.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.9% | 6.1% | 15.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.3% | -11.9% | -7.8% |
| Max Positive | 13.4% | 32.1% | 33.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.3% | -26.7% | -24.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |