Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.1 | Market Cap: $18.0 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.1Market Cap: $18.0 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -136%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 8322% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -670% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 18% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -136%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 8322% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -670% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AHT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) stock experienced a significant decline of 48.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors.
1. Continued Net Losses and Missed Revenue Targets.
Ashford Hospitality Trust reported a net loss of $69 million, or $11.35 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. This represented a higher loss compared to the previous year. Additionally, the company's revenue for the quarter fell by 3.8% to $266.06 million, missing analyst expectations of $273.80 million. These consistent losses and underperforming revenue likely contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's profitability and financial health.
2. Decline in Comparable Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR).
During the third quarter of 2025, comparable hotel RevPAR decreased by 1.5% to $128, driven by a 2.2% decrease in Average Daily Rate (ADR) and only a slight 0.7% increase in occupancy. This indicates a challenging operational environment for the company's hotel portfolio, suggesting difficulties in pricing and attracting guests, which directly impacts their core business performance. For the second quarter of 2025, comparable RevPAR for all hotels also decreased by 2.2% to $145.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AHT Return | -91% | -63% | -53% | -57% | -63% | -59% | -100% |
| Peers Return | -33% | 13% | -7% | -6% | -6% | 22% | -24% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AHT Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 48% | 47% | 45% | 43% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AHT Max Drawdown | -95% | -64% | -57% | -58% | -72% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -70% | -9% | -22% | -24% | -25% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CLDT, BHR, SOHO, VICI, HST. See AHT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AHT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3486.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -95.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2062.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1286.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 792 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CLDT, BHR, SOHO, VICI, HST
In The Past
Ashford Hospitality Trust's stock fell -97.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -97.2% loss requires a 3486.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AHT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ashford Hospitality Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 924 |
| Op Inc LTM | 52 |
| FCF LTM | 55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 74 |
| CFO LTM | 55 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 74 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 5.4 |
| P/E | 12.2 |
| P/CFO | 5.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| D/E | 4.3 |
| Net D/E | 4.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -6.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -76.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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