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Box (BOX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $31.81 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Box (BOX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $31.81
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Cloud Security.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Cloud Security.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BOX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Box (BOX) stock moved by -2.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Box's Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Report Indicated a Bottom-Line Miss and Net Income Decline.

While Box exceeded revenue expectations for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026, reporting $301.1 million against analyst estimates, its adjusted earnings per share of $0.31 were either slightly below or in line with expectations. Furthermore, the company's net income of $12.1 million represented a decline compared to the previous year, and its non-GAAP earnings per share saw a 31% year-over-year decrease from $0.45. This mixed financial performance led to an initial negative market reaction, with shares plunging over 10% following the announcement on December 2, 2025. 2. Multiple Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions Occurred.

During the specified period, several analyst firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for Box, contributing to negative investor sentiment. UBS, for instance, downgraded Box from a "Buy" to a "Neutral" rating and lowered its price target from $42 to $36 on September 18, 2025. Additionally, Zacks Research downgraded Box from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" rating on September 26, 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BOX Return8%45%19%-18%23%1%90%
Peers Return26%16%-20%33%67%939%2614%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BOX Win Rate50%58%42%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate35%38%24%60%60%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BOX Max Drawdown-46%-4%-14%-24%-5%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-3%-23%-18%-12%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, DBX, BMR, BTTC. See BOX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBOXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven397 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven958 days120 days

Compare to GOOGL, AMZN, DBX, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

Box's stock fell -31.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -31.5% loss requires a 46.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Box (BOX)

Better Bets than Box (BOX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BOX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Box

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BOXGOOGLAMZNDBXBMRBTTCMedian
NameBox Alphabet Amazon.c.Dropbox Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Price31.81317.62229.1129.782.433.3430.80
Mkt Cap4.63,838.82,437.07.8--1,222.4
Rev LTM1,126385,477670,0382,528-22,528
Op Inc LTM68124,07776,190618--0618
FCF LTM30273,55213,481916--7,198
FCF 3Y Avg30168,99821,677839--11,258
CFO LTM338151,424121,137930--61,034
CFO 3Y Avg329120,99096,977863--48,920

Growth & Margins

BOXGOOGLAMZNDBXBMRBTTCMedian
NameBox Alphabet Amazon.c.Dropbox Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Rev Chg LTM6.3%13.4%10.9%-0.4%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%11.0%11.3%3.4%--8.6%
Rev Chg Q8.9%15.9%13.3%-0.7%--11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%3.8%3.0%-0.2%--2.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.1%32.2%11.4%24.4%--3.8%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%29.9%7.9%19.6%--13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.5%0.3%1.9%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM30.0%39.3%18.1%36.8%--33.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.8%35.3%15.8%34.3%--32.6%
FCF/Rev LTM26.8%19.1%2.0%36.2%--23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg28.2%20.5%3.5%33.4%--24.4%

Valuation

BOXGOOGLAMZNDBXBMRBTTCMedian
NameBox Alphabet Amazon.c.Dropbox Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Cap4.63,838.82,437.07.8--1,222.4
P/S4.47.63.53.1--3.9
P/EBIT52.019.327.412.8--23.4
P/E21.723.633.115.7--22.7
P/CFO14.719.419.38.5--17.0
Total Yield4.6%4.6%3.0%6.4%--4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.0%3.3%1.1%10.1%--5.2%
D/E0.10.00.10.4--0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.00.3---0.0

Returns

BOXGOOGLAMZNDBXBMRBTTCMedian
NameBox Alphabet Amazon.c.Dropbox Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
1M Rtn0.9%14.4%-8.1%2.8%6.6%4.7%3.7%
3M Rtn-2.8%36.9%-2.8%1.2%-10.0%-16.5%-2.8%
6M Rtn-16.1%89.2%10.2%0.9%-19.5%-16.5%-7.6%
12M Rtn0.1%83.0%5.0%3.8%-24.5%4,413.5%4.4%
3Y Rtn13.0%221.5%151.7%32.5%-3,304.7%151.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%13.2%-9.4%1.5%5.3%3.4%2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-8.7%29.5%-7.2%-6.1%-15.5%-22.3%-8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-31.6%73.8%-5.3%-14.5%-35.0%-32.0%-23.1%
12M Excs Rtn-22.8%72.6%-4.7%-8.4%-36.5%4,658.0%-6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.4%162.7%74.6%-41.1%-3,217.6%74.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment1,038991874771696
Total1,038991874771696


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,690,636
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.8%
Average Daily Volume1,686,245
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.90
Basic Shares Quantity144,896,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025310202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241204202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023531202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023313202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022316202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/31/2021