Open Text (OTEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.71 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Open Text (OTEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.71Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 9.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 9.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OTEX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Open Text (OTEX) stock moved by approximately 2% in the period leading up to December 4, 2025:
1. Technical Buy Signal and Price Rebound: Open Text's stock experienced a 3.13% price increase from November 20, 2025, to December 2, 2025, following the issuance of a technical "buy signal" from a pivot bottom point on November 20, 2025. This indicated a rebound in investor confidence after a perceived low point.
2. Support from Accumulated Volume: The stock found a significant support level at $33.47 due to accumulated trading volume. This level likely acted as a floor, attracting buyers and contributing to an upward price reaction when tested.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OTEX Return | 5% | 6% | -36% | 45% | -30% | 22% | -12% |
| Peers Return | 62% | 4% | -31% | 38% | 62% | -21% | 105% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OTEX Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 43% | 28% | 56% | 48% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OTEX Max Drawdown | -33% | -3% | -45% | 0% | -33% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -13% | -39% | -3% | -13% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADBE, VEEV, PEGA, SPSC, BMR. See OTEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OTEX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ADBE, VEEV, PEGA, SPSC, BMR
In The Past
Open Text's stock fell -53.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -53.6% loss requires a 115.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OTEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Open Text
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,968 |
| Op Inc LTM | 799 |
| FCF LTM | 906 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 719 |
| CFO LTM | 1,056 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 864 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| P/S | 5.7 |
| P/EBIT | 29.5 |
| P/E | 35.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -18.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -32.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Design, development, marketing and sale of Information Management software and solutions | 5,770 | 4,485 | 3,494 | 3,386 | 3,110 |
| Total | 5,770 | 4,485 | 3,494 | 3,386 | 3,110 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Design, development, marketing and sale of Information Management software and solutions | 465 | ||||
| Total | 465 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |