Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RLI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -4.3% stock movement for RLI from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Weakness in the Property Segment and Increased Competition: RLI experienced challenges in its property insurance segment, specifically in the hurricane and earthquake markets. This was attributed to increased competition and less disciplined pricing by competitors, making it difficult for RLI to achieve profitable growth in these areas.

2. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: Although RLI surpassed earnings per share (EPS) expectations for the third quarter of 2025, its reported revenue of $510.22 million fell slightly below analysts' forecasts of $519.22 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RLI Return18%11%25%4%28%-22%69%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RLI Win Rate75%50%58%50%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RLI Max Drawdown-23%-7%-12%-5%0%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-15.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven24 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-35.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven941 days1480 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

RLI's stock fell -15.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/31/2022. A -15.9% loss requires a 18.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About RLI (RLI)

Better Bets than RLI (RLI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for RLI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RLIHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameRLI Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price62.65133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap5.837.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM1,85627,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM5815,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg4784,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM5865,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg4835,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

RLIHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameRLI Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM5.2%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.7%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%9.3%
Rev Chg Q8.4%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM31.6%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.2%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%22.2%
FCF/Rev LTM31.3%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%21.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.8%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%22.1%

Valuation

RLIHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameRLI Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap5.837.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S3.21.41.11.91.91.31.6
P/EBIT13.58.19.111.78.58.18.8
P/E17.010.514.215.011.610.712.9
P/CFO10.26.32.29.38.46.37.3
Total Yield9.9%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.1%
Dividend Yield4.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.4%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.4%
D/E0.00.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.4

Returns

RLIHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameRLI Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn10.5%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.9%
3M Rtn-3.5%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%-0.7%
6M Rtn-13.6%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%3.3%
12M Rtn-24.8%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%0.1%
3Y Rtn4.4%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%67.1%
1M Excs Rtn10.6%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-7.2%
6M Excs Rtn-28.3%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-39.4%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.4%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%-5.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Casualty758712634570558
Property402308232184164
Surety134125115113117
Net investment income12086696869
Net unrealized gains on equity securities65-121653278
Net realized gains (losses)33589641818
Total1,5121,6981,1799841,004


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,034,166
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.1%
Average Daily Volume555,696
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.46
Basic Shares Quantity91,849,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023421202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221021202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022422202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021