Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -182 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34467%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 558x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Autologous Renal Cell Therapy, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 178%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21712%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27814%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 529%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -95%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Autologous Renal Cell Therapy, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -182 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34467%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 558x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 178%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21712%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27814%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 529%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PROK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why ProKidney's stock (PROK) moved by -18.8% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025: 1. Analyst Downgrades and Mixed Ratings.

During this period, Zacks Research downgraded ProKidney's stock from a "strong-buy" rating to a "hold" rating in August 2025. Additionally, Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell" rating in October 2025, and B of A Securities had downgraded the stock from "Hold" to "Sell" in June 2025, just before the specified timeframe, influencing sentiment. The overall analyst consensus appeared to reflect caution, with a mix of hold and sell ratings contributing to negative pressure on the stock price. 2. Continued Financial Losses and Cash Burn Concerns.

ProKidney reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, which, despite beating some analyst estimates for EPS and revenue, still showed a net loss of $0.12 per share and a net loss of $35.8 million for the quarter. As a clinical-stage company, ProKidney continues to incur significant research and development expenses, leading to ongoing cash burn. Although the company's cash reserves are expected to fund operations into mid-2027, the persistent losses and the capital-intensive nature of drug development can weigh on investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PROK Return----74%-5%33%-67%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-17%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROK Win Rate--20%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROK Max Drawdown----82%-33%-70% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPROKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1038.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

ProKidney's stock fell -91.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/13/2023. A -91.2% loss requires a 1038.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ProKidney (PROK)

Better Bets than ProKidney (PROK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopicDate
0DASHBOARDS  
1ProKidney Stock Up 15%, Buy Or Wait?Return 
2ARTICLES  
3What’s Behind The 500% Rise In ProKidney Stock? July 9th, 2025

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PROK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ProKidney

Financials

PROKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProKidneyVertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price2.25434.021.3513.731.984.883.56
Mkt Cap0.3110.9----55.6
Rev LTM111,723-0--1
Op Inc LTM-182-92--93---93
FCF LTM-1473,337--60---60
FCF 3Y Avg-1282,064----968
CFO LTM-1143,718--60---60
CFO 3Y Avg-1052,419----1,157

Growth & Margins

PROKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProKidneyVertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM72.2%2.7%----37.4%
Op Mgn LTM-34,467.0%-0.8%-----17,233.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM25,986.6%1.0%----12,993.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-21,711.6%31.7%-----10,839.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-27,814.0%28.5%-----13,892.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

PROKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProKidneyVertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap0.3110.9----55.6
P/S558.19.5----283.8
P/EBIT-1.824.9----11.5
P/E-4.130.2----13.1
P/CFO-2.629.8----13.6
Total Yield-24.6%3.3%-----10.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-94.4%2.3%-----46.0%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-1.0-0.0-----0.5

Returns

PROKVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProKidneyVertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn-24.2%4.1%-12.9%23.1%-13.5%-7.6%-10.2%
3M Rtn-11.4%11.3%-0.7%13.7%11.2%-44.1%5.3%
6M Rtn178.3%-1.5%46.7%--11.4%-22.6%
12M Rtn32.7%-6.8%97.9%--8.9%-13.0%
3Y Rtn-76.8%37.9%-78.6%----76.8%
1M Excs Rtn-24.4%4.0%-13.0%23.0%-13.7%-7.7%-10.4%
3M Excs Rtn-7.5%7.0%-1.8%30.5%9.1%-50.0%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn166.4%-13.4%34.8%--23.3%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%-23.7%1.0%--22.3%--12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-147.5%-29.1%-148.3%----147.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,294,628
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202514.5%
Average Daily Volume1,446,465
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.50
Basic Shares Quantity130,730,840
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20253.7%  
8/12/20255.8%4.0%33.0%
3/17/2025-6.8%-1.9%-31.7%
11/12/2024-4.7%-23.0%-4.7%
8/9/20244.3%14.4%14.4%
3/22/20242.9%14.3%80.7%
11/14/2023-5.0%10.0%10.6%
8/10/20231.7%-23.2%-34.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive545
# Negative676
Median Positive3.7%12.1%22.1%
Median Negative-3.6%-15.9%-18.6%
Max Positive5.8%14.4%80.7%
Max Negative-6.8%-23.2%-34.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023322202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
63020228262022S-1/A 6/30/2022
123120216102022DEFM14A 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. 4242025Buy0.71387,393276,36652,679,399Form
1Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. 4212025Buy0.7525,00018,69054,915,205Form
2Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. 4182025Buy0.75100,00074,82054,940,573Form
3Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. 4162025Buy0.73268,105194,59152,883,479Form
4Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. 4142025Buy0.611,032,218627,69244,143,393Form